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Ludwigsburg vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 99-58
28-18 26-18 22-10 23-12
Position#12
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#30
Record2-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game73.5
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 1
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bakken Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LudwigsburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Manresa
#3
L
55-63
55
63
-8
35avg 69
H06/05
Champions League
Hapoel Holon
#8
W
88-68
88
68
+20
79avg 69
H08/05
Champions League
Heidelberg
#14
W
98-83
98
83
+15
90avg 69
H11/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
no box
H14/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
no box
H17/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
97-79
97
79
+18
93avg 69
A19/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
84-89
84
89
-5
71avg 69
A27/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
76-100
76
100
-24
no box
A29/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
67-73
67
73
-6
57avg 69
H03/06
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
100-86
100
86
+14
68avg 69
A02/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
18-15
14-20
6-8
27-19
15-10
27-19
19-20
17-24
29-17
29-21
23-21
27-26
11-20
23-17
22-20
20-23
17-15
16-15
16-16
31-16
27-19
19-22
20-22
24-25
19-20
23-25
18-19
17-25
18-24
24-24
17-27
15-16
22-19
12-25
18-13
26-22
29-18
24-24
21-22
166.7Avg total
85.0Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.081.7166.7+3.360%
Last 5 (5)84.885.4170.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.787.3163.0-11.70%
vs Similar (15)81.578.6160.1+2.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.574.9158.4+8.692%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
A25/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
111-97
111
97
+14
no box
H30/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
118-72
118
72
+46
no box
H09/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
95-82
95
82
+13
no box
A12/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
91-74
91
74
+17
no box
H16/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
A19/05
Basketligaen
Swans Gmunden
#20
W
83-65
83
65
+18
51avg 51
H23/09
Champions League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
88-82 OT
88
82
+6
no box
H25/09
Champions League
Bears Academy
#9
W
92-62
92
62
+30
no box
A28/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
75-84
75
84
-9
no box
A01/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
21-14
23-15
29-13
18-20
29-27
37-28
27-22
36-21
28-14
29-11
25-26
26-21
27-23
21-20
21-18
27-16
13-24
30-20
21-14
24-17
12-17
26-21
19-22
22-7
23-19
10-20
28-19
21-19
21-17
15-21
17-17
23-12
20-26
17-14
32-10
20-23
23-19
16-16
16-26
169.2Avg total
92.8Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.573.5159.0+12.0100%
Season at home (2)85.573.5159.0+12.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.876.4169.2+16.490%
Last 5 (5)83.874.0157.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)83.592.0175.5-8.550%
vs Similar (7)77.677.3154.9+0.357%
vs Weaker (21)95.080.4175.4+14.586%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +4.8+4.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +4.8+4.8
LudwigsburgBakken Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#3
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H06/05
Champions League
Hapoel Holon
#8
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H08/05
Champions League
Heidelberg
#14
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H11/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H14/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H17/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A19/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A27/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A29/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H03/06
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A02/10
BBL
81.9Avg total
42.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.077.8+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.335.674.9+3.771%-
Last 30 away (13)42.838.881.6+3.954%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.381.9+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.640.886.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.343.081.3-4.733%-
vs Similar (15)40.236.676.8+3.653%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.236.078.2+6.283%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A25/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H30/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
64-35
64
35
+29
H09/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A12/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H16/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A19/05
Basketligaen
Swans Gmunden
#20
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H23/09
Champions League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H25/09
Champions League
Bears Academy
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A28/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A01/10
Basketligaen
83.8Avg total
45.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.941.786.5+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.542.189.6+5.353%-
Last 30 away (15)42.341.283.5+1.160%-
Last 10 (10)45.538.383.8+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.277.0+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)39.544.584.0-5.050%-
vs Similar (7)40.037.677.6+2.457%-
vs Weaker (21)47.042.889.8+4.257%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.7
52.3%
51.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.8
36.5%
35.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws15.711.4
72.6%
74.3%11.4
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.323.2
56.2%
51.4%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.7
34.9%
35.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.611.0
66.3%
74.3%11.0
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ludwigsburg
WLLLWWWWWL
Bakken Bears
LWWWWWWWWW
#12
League position
#30
+1.8
Net rating
+9.4
113.8
Offensive rating
114.0
112.0
Defensive rating
104.7
53.3%
Effective FG%
54.6%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
13.4%
Turnover %
16.6%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.5%
3-point %
34.9%
54.1%
Assist %
56.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 114.0Defence112.0 · 104.7Shooting53.3% · 54.6%3-point %36.5% · 34.9%Ball care13.4% · 16.6%Off. rebounds27.4% · 34.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Ludwigsburg   ■ Bakken Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ludwigsburg wins
0
Bakken Bears wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/22AHeidelberg100-86
03/06/22HAlba Berlin67-73
29/05/22AAlba Berlin76-100
27/05/22AAlba Berlin84-89
19/05/22AUlm97-79
17/05/22HUlm81-77 OT
14/05/22HUlm104-99 OT
11/05/22HHeidelberg98-83
08/05/22HHapoel Holon88-68
06/05/22HManresa55-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/22AVaerlose75-84
28/09/22ABears Academy92-62
25/09/22HFMP Beograd88-82 OT
23/09/22HSwans Gmunden83-65
19/05/22ASvendborg81-77
16/05/22HSvendborg91-74
12/05/22ASvendborg95-82
09/05/22HSvendborg118-72
30/04/22HRanders111-97
25/04/22ARanders94-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg
Champions League 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Bakken Bears
Champions League 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.585.5-
Allowed / game73.573.5-
Point differential+12.0+12.0-
Avg total159.0159.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%50%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja220100%102.565.5+37.0
2 Peristeri110100%86.070.0+16.0
3 Benfica440100%85.270.2+15.0
4 Bilbao110100%68.054.0+14.0
5 Bakken Bears220100%85.573.5+12.0
6 Tofas220100%75.067.5+7.5
7 Hapoel Holon110100%84.081.0+3.0
8 Karsiyaka110100%91.088.0+3.0
9 Hapoel Jerusalem110100%69.067.0+2.0
10 Chemnitz32167%89.076.3+12.7
11 FMP Beograd32167%83.376.0+7.3
12 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
13 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
14 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
15 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
16 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
17 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
18 Darussafaka1010%67.069.0-2.0
19 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
20 AEK Athens1010%88.091.0-3.0
21 Legia1010%81.084.0-3.0
22 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
23 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
24 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
25 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
26 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
27 VEF Riga1010%76.089.0-13.0
28 Nymburk1010%54.068.0-14.0
29 Bnei Herzliya1010%70.086.0-16.0
30 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
31 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
32 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
33 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
34 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
35 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 35 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ludwigsburg2826222399
Bakken Bears1818101258
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