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Ludwigsburg vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 82-77
12-18 29-19 21-20 20-20
Position#6
Record15-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Position#14
Record10-17
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game89.9
GermanyBBLRound 27
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Ludwigsburg v Crailsheim Merlins
13 Jan 2024
LUD106
CME59
08 Apr 2023
LUD82
CME77
23 Apr 2022
LUD77
CME75
06 Dec 2020
LUD97
CME88
15 Mar 2020
LUD v CME
upcoming
15 Dec 2018
LUD82
CME70
30 Dec 2015
LUD100
CME65
12 Oct 2014
LUD91
CME80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
93-92
93
92
+1
84avg 74
H11/02
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
108-94
108
94
+14
98avg 74
A14/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#2
L
86-92
86
92
-6
no box
A18/02
German Cup
Heidelberg
#10
W
111-87
111
87
+24
102avg 74
H05/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
102-93
102
93
+9
100avg 74
H08/03
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
73avg 74
A11/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
64avg 74
H19/03
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
no box
A25/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
68avg 74
A29/03
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
60avg 74
A02/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
28-20
20-21
20-31
31-27
25-16
22-24
30-27
28-23
21-14
20-29
17-26
31-22
27-27
28-14
25-24
32-27
20-22
27-22
23-22
20-13
24-21
30-22
9-21
18-22
20-19
20-20
19-22
15-22
24-30
18-15
19-26
24-18
17-23
19-21
15-29
18-16
16-24
20-18
18-31
177.4Avg total
88.3Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)87.885.7173.5+2.258%
Season at home (13)92.183.9176.0+8.277%
Season away (13)83.687.5171.1-3.838%
Last 10 (10)88.389.1177.4-0.850%
Last 5 (5)76.686.6163.2-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.585.0167.5-2.533%
vs Similar (8)86.185.4171.5+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.184.8171.9+2.356%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#4
L
95-97
95
97
-2
no box
H08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#7
L
79-92
79
92
-13
70avg 79
A11/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
73avg 79
H14/02
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
83-101
83
101
-18
80avg 79
A02/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
86-94
86
94
-8
81avg 79
A05/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
79-86
79
86
-7
70avg 79
A12/03
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
76-68
76
68
+8
70avg 79
H18/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
72avg 79
A26/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
93-88
93
88
+5
91avg 79
H01/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
78-73
78
73
+5
75avg 79
H05/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
23-24
24-15
34-32
18-24
24-25
18-22
19-21
16-16
24-27
19-23
26-25
22-32
22-30
13-17
26-22
22-27
21-20
16-24
27-23
15-21
17-19
22-20
25-26
22-14
10-23
15-22
29-9
30-22
16-23
21-24
15-24
30-21
21-23
23-27
19-17
14-20
22-24
14-17
28-12
171.9Avg total
83.6Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.289.9176.1-3.737%
Season at home (13)89.588.2177.6+1.354%
Season away (14)83.291.6174.8-8.421%
Last 10 (10)83.688.3171.9-4.730%
Last 5 (5)81.681.6163.2+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)84.393.5177.7-9.218%
vs Similar (16)87.789.2176.9-1.544%
vs Weaker (3)91.077.7168.7+13.3100%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: +3.7+3.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: +3.7+3.7
LudwigsburgCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H11/02
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A14/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#2
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A18/02
German Cup
Heidelberg
#10
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H05/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H08/03
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/03
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A25/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A29/03
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A02/04
BBL
89.0Avg total
46.4Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.241.185.2+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.940.586.5+5.467%-
Last 30 away (15)42.441.684.0+0.840%-
Last 10 (10)46.442.689.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.680.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.741.384.0+1.317%-
vs Similar (8)43.942.886.6+1.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.940.185.0+4.862%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A11/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H14/02
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A02/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A05/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A12/03
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H18/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A26/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H01/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/04
BBL
86.4Avg total
40.3Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.644.787.3-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.843.985.6-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)43.445.488.8-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)40.346.186.4-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.081.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.547.086.5-7.518%-
vs Similar (16)44.144.188.2-0.156%-
vs Weaker (3)46.339.385.7+7.067%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.0
57.1%
54.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
35.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.915.8
75.6%
75.8%15.8
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.317.3
57.1%
54.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
35.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.115.8
82.7%
75.8%15.8
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ludwigsburg
LLLLWWWLWW
Crailsheim Merlins
WWLWLLLLLL
#6
League position
#14
+1.5
Net rating
-6.6
117.1
Offensive rating
110.7
115.7
Defensive rating
117.3
54.9%
Effective FG%
55.2%
57.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
15.7%
Turnover %
18.0%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.9%
3-point %
35.4%
60.2%
Assist %
59.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.1 · 110.7Defence115.7 · 117.3Shooting54.9% · 55.2%3-point %34.9% · 35.4%Ball care15.7% · 18.0%Off. rebounds33.8% · 23.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Ludwigsburg   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23ABayern72-89
29/03/23ABonn75-91
25/03/23AUlm76-93
19/03/23HAlba Berlin77-83
11/03/23AHamburg83-77
08/03/23HBayreuth102-93
05/03/23HHeidelberg111-87
18/02/23AOldenburg86-92
14/02/23ABayreuth108-94
11/02/23HBasketball Braunschweig93-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/23HBayreuth78-73
01/04/23HBasketball Braunschweig93-88
26/03/23AHeidelberg82-93
18/03/23HUlm76-68
12/03/23ARostock79-86
05/03/23AOldenburg86-94
02/03/23ABonn83-101
14/02/23HAlba Berlin85-91
11/02/23AGottingen79-92
08/02/23HGaziantep95-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL58%
HomeWWWWL77%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %58%77%38%
Points / game87.892.183.6
Allowed / game85.783.987.5
Point differential+2.2+8.2-3.8
Avg total173.5176.0171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%46%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW37%
HomeLLWWW54%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %37%54%21%
Points / game86.289.583.2
Allowed / game89.988.291.6
Point differential-3.7+1.3-8.4
Avg total176.1177.6174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%15%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn2624292%89.373.5+15.8
2 Alba Berlin2624292%88.977.4+11.5
3 Bayern2620677%82.074.9+7.1
4 Oldenburg2516964%84.981.7+3.2
5 Gottingen24141058%86.786.6+0.1
6 Ludwigsburg26151158%87.885.7+2.2
7 Ulm26141254%87.084.9+2.1
8 Wurzburg27141352%82.984.0-1.2
9 Rostock26131350%83.887.5-3.7
10 Bamberg27131448%87.487.1+0.3
11 Chemnitz26111542%83.283.3-0.2
12 Heidelberg26101638%86.790.2-3.4
13 Hamburg27101737%81.784.4-2.7
14 Crailsheim Merlins27101737%86.289.9-3.7
15 Syntainics MBC2791833%82.588.1-5.6
16 Basketball Braunschweig2781930%79.884.7-4.9
17 Frankfurt2662023%78.287.0-8.8
18 Bayreuth2752219%82.289.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ludwigsburg1229212082
Crailsheim Merlins1819202077
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