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Bayern vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 93-64
29-14 19-18 29-17 16-15
Position#3
Record18-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game73.7
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#8
Record12-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game84.6
GermanyBBLRound 27
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Bayern v Crailsheim Merlins
28 Jan 2024
BAY98
CME81
30 Oct 2022
BAY88
CME77
27 Mar 2022
BAY93
CME64
21 May 2021
BAY83
CME79
19 May 2021
BAY86
CME66
31 Jan 2021
BAY103
CME105
01 Dec 2019
BAY82
CME63
21 Apr 2019
BAY99
CME79
29 Nov 2015
BAY106
CME59
28 Mar 2015
BAY110
CME76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
L
66-71
66
71
-5
52avg 73
A01/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
70-52
70
52
+18
74avg 73
H03/02
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
91-82 OT
91
82
+9
no box
A06/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
72-53
72
53
+19
73avg 73
H13/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
L
58-77
58
77
-19
47avg 73
A15/02
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
88avg 73
H02/03
BBL
Olympiacos
#5
L
88-98
88
98
-10
83avg 73
H04/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
W
83-62
83
62
+21
75avg 73
H06/03
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
61-96
61
96
-35
52avg 73
A08/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#16
L
67-80
67
80
-13
51avg 73
A22/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-9
20-19
12-17
25-26
13-16
17-13
19-12
21-11
25-18
17-12
12-26
23-21
19-4
20-14
20-17
13-18
13-22
15-24
13-17
17-14
13-16
15-30
30-14
28-15
29-28
24-22
16-23
19-25
20-16
14-19
24-13
25-14
12-26
15-22
18-30
16-18
16-26
19-16
17-13
15-25
148.8Avg total
74.2Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.373.7154.0+6.775%
Season at home (12)82.271.2153.4+10.983%
Season away (12)78.576.1154.6+2.467%
Last 10 (10)74.274.6148.8-0.450%
Last 5 (5)77.082.2159.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.581.2154.8-7.825%
vs Similar (11)77.975.5153.5+2.464%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)77.069.9146.9+7.173%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Kyiv Basket
#21
W
82-62
82
62
+20
no box
H08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#4
L
70-79
70
79
-9
no box
A11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#1
L
74-106
74
106
-32
63avg 79
A13/02
BBL
Giessen
#18
W
87-81
87
81
+6
74avg 79
H15/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A19/02
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
no box
H20/02
German Cup
Bonn
#2
L
96-101
96
101
-5
no box
A05/03
BBL
Leiden
#10
W
71-68
71
68
+3
no box
H09/03
FIBA Europe Cup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
L
74-91
74
91
-17
61avg 79
A12/03
BBL
Leiden
#10
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
A16/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-8
11-15
16-14
27-25
24-25
19-17
13-20
14-17
17-25
22-22
17-34
18-25
22-29
19-19
30-18
16-15
19-21
27-15
11-21
28-14
22-15
21-24
15-25
18-22
23-23
29-28
21-22
23-28
11-15
23-22
16-15
21-16
15-22
17-25
17-23
25-21
24-23
25-30
11-19
17-13
162.2Avg total
79.2Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.084.6171.6+2.457%
Season at home (10)87.179.1166.2+8.090%
Season away (11)86.989.5176.5-2.627%
Last 10 (10)79.283.0162.2-3.840%
Last 5 (5)78.886.2165.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)81.480.1161.6+1.367%
vs Similar (10)84.482.9167.3+1.560%
vs Weaker (11)82.475.6158.0+6.755%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
BayernCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A01/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H03/02
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A06/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
39-18
39
18
+21
H13/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#6
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A15/02
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H02/03
BBL
Olympiacos
#5
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H04/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H06/03
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A08/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#16
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A22/03
Euroleague
71.7Avg total
34.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.237.375.5+0.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.135.974.0+2.169%-
Last 30 away (14)38.438.977.3-0.457%-
Last 10 (10)34.537.271.7-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.444.279.6-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.841.278.0-4.575%-
vs Similar (11)37.339.376.5-2.055%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.334.874.1+4.567%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyiv Basket
#21
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A13/02
BBL
Giessen
#18
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H15/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A19/02
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H20/02
German Cup
Bonn
#2
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A05/03
BBL
Leiden
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/03
FIBA Europe Cup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A12/03
BBL
Leiden
#10
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A16/03
FIBA Europe Cup
84.1Avg total
41.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.440.684.0+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.638.880.4+2.850%-
Last 30 away (14)45.442.688.1+2.864%-
Last 10 (10)41.842.384.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.045.487.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)43.239.382.6+3.978%-
vs Similar (10)43.842.986.7+0.950%-
vs Weaker (11)43.239.582.7+3.645%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.115.1
53.7%
54.4%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.9
35.9%
35.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.413.0
74.7%
73.1%13.0
They take 55.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.119.3
56.6%
54.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.3
38.3%
35.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.515.3
78.5%
73.1%15.3
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LLWLWLWWWL
Crailsheim Merlins
LLWLLWWLLW
#3
League position
#8
+2.6
Net rating
-1.9
109.9
Offensive rating
115.4
107.3
Defensive rating
117.3
53.8%
Effective FG%
57.0%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
17.4%
Turnover %
14.9%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
20.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.9%
3-point %
38.3%
64.0%
Assist %
59.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 115.4Defence107.3 · 117.3Shooting53.8% · 57.0%3-point %35.9% · 38.3%Ball care17.4% · 14.9%Off. rebounds27.7% · 20.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Bayern   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Bayern wins
3
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/22APanathinaikos67-80
08/03/22ABonn61-96
06/03/22HBamberg83-62
04/03/22HOlympiacos88-98
02/03/22HHamburg86-75
15/02/22AChemnitz58-77
13/02/22HFrankfurt72-53
06/02/22ABasketball Braunschweig91-82 OT
03/02/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv70-52
01/02/22ABarcelona66-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/22ALeiden77-85
12/03/22As.Oliver Wurzburg74-91
09/03/22HLeiden71-68
05/03/22ABonn96-101
20/02/22HAlba Berlin76-86
19/02/22ABasketball Braunschweig85-71
15/02/22HGiessen87-81
13/02/22AAlba Berlin74-106
11/02/22AReggiana70-79
08/02/22HKyiv Basket82-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL75%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game80.382.278.5
Allowed / game73.771.276.1
Point differential+6.7+10.9+2.4
Avg total154.0153.4154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%58%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %12%17%8%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%90%27%
Points / game87.087.186.9
Allowed / game84.679.189.5
Point differential+2.4+8.0-2.6
Avg total171.6166.2176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %10%10%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin2116576%85.772.6+13.0
2 Bayern2418675%80.373.7+6.7
3 Bonn2720774%88.580.9+7.6
4 Ludwigsburg2417771%80.174.5+5.7
5 Ulm2417771%82.678.8+3.9
6 Chemnitz2415962%79.578.5+1.0
7 Gottingen24141058%81.480.8+0.5
8 Crailsheim Merlins2112957%87.084.6+2.4
9 Hamburg26141254%84.982.7+2.2
10 Bamberg25111444%83.987.2-3.2
11 Bayreuth27111641%80.585.6-5.0
12 Basketball Braunschweig2491538%84.485.6-1.2
13 Heidelberg2591636%78.382.3-4.0
14 Syntainics MBC2591636%84.990.4-5.4
15 Oldenburg2791833%84.387.2-2.9
16 s.Oliver Wurzburg2581732%81.586.5-5.0
17 Giessen2461825%79.984.8-4.9
18 Frankfurt2561924%72.680.8-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2919291693
Crailsheim Merlins1418171564
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