PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ludwigsburg vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 May 2018
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 74-85
17-18 15-24 21-18 21-25
Position#4
Record20-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Murcia 🏆
Position#18
Record10-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game76.9
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - 3rd place
European cup2017
Meetings · Ludwigsburg v Murcia
09 Apr 2024
LUD72
MUR85
13 Nov 2018
LUD81
MUR80
06 May 2018
LUD74
MUR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LudwigsburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A01/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#17
W
89-77
89
77
+12
A04/04
Champions League
Oldenburg
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H07/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
86-96
86
96
-10
A14/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H20/04
BBL
Ulm
#10
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A22/04
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#9
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H27/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#7
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A29/04
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H01/05
BBL
Monaco
#1
L
65-87
65
87
-22
H04/05
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
14-17
23-19
19-20
20-20
23-22
19-18
27-17
26-19
19-23
29-18
16-26
23-23
22-30
20-18
21-25
18-16
18-13
21-11
15-19
19-16
17-19
19-29
22-20
17-17
23-19
21-14
26-27
20-19
23-21
16-17
14-13
17-22
23-21
20-26
28-10
20-11
18-25
16-25
11-26
159.5Avg total
80.0Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.070.0151.9+12.080%
Season at home (13)84.274.0158.2+10.269%
Season away (12)79.565.6145.1+13.992%
Last 10 (10)80.079.5159.5+0.560%
Last 5 (5)78.079.4157.4-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)72.889.8162.5-17.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)86.274.2160.4+12.085%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#12
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A27/03
Champions League
Valencia
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A01/04
ACB
Karsiyaka
#12
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H04/04
Champions League
Real Betis
#18
W
102-87
102
87
+15
A08/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H12/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A15/04
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H22/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
L
75-92
75
92
-17
H25/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A29/04
ACB
AEK Athens
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A04/05
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
23-15
14-21
16-14
20-15
21-15
19-23
24-20
18-12
13-17
21-26
29-17
28-23
25-17
30-24
19-23
23-16
20-21
14-9
25-16
11-23
19-19
22-15
19-26
15-16
17-16
28-18
24-23
19-21
24-21
21-23
11-27
19-26
22-21
18-21
26-19
17-18
17-22
20-15
21-22
158.9Avg total
81.8Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.976.9154.8+0.953%
Season at home (9)75.675.3150.9+0.244%
Season away (10)80.078.4158.4+1.660%
Last 10 (10)81.877.1158.9+4.760%
Last 5 (5)78.082.4160.4-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.173.4148.6+1.743%
vs Similar (12)76.776.4153.1+0.250%
vs Weaker (11)78.674.3152.9+4.473%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
LudwigsburgMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#4
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A01/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#17
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A04/04
Champions League
Oldenburg
#5
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H07/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A14/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H20/04
BBL
Ulm
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A22/04
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#9
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H27/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A29/04
BBL
Tubingen
#18
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/05
BBL
Monaco
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H04/05
Champions League
79.4Avg total
39.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.337.380.6+6.080%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.736.178.8+6.587%-
Last 30 away (15)44.038.582.5+5.573%-
Last 10 (10)39.739.779.4+0.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.077.4+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)38.542.581.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)44.136.580.6+7.685%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#12
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A27/03
Champions League
Valencia
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A01/04
ACB
Karsiyaka
#12
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H04/04
Champions League
Real Betis
#18
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A08/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H12/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A15/04
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H22/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H25/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A29/04
ACB
AEK Athens
#11
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A04/05
Champions League
76.6Avg total
39.7Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.135.973.0+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.935.471.4+0.550%-
Last 30 away (16)38.136.374.4+1.856%-
Last 10 (10)39.736.976.6+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)36.040.676.6-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.135.371.4+0.943%-
vs Similar (12)35.935.771.6+0.250%-
vs Weaker (11)38.936.575.5+2.464%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.025.0
62.5%
52.6%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.0
27.3%
34.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws26.020.0
76.9%
73.8%20.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.419.1
47.3%
52.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.89.1
41.7%
34.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.513.8
67.3%
73.8%13.8
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 06 May 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ludwigsburg
LWWWLWLWWL
Murcia
LLLWLWWWWW
#4
League position
#18
+37.0
Net rating
+3.0
130.1
Offensive rating
111.4
93.1
Defensive rating
108.5
54.8%
Effective FG%
52.7%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
13.3%
Turnover %
16.1%
40.5%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.33
27.3%
3-point %
41.7%
71.0%
Assist %
53.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence130.1 · 111.4Defence93.1 · 108.5Shooting54.8% · 52.7%3-point %27.3% · 41.7%Ball care13.3% · 16.1%Off. rebounds40.5% · 34.9%Free throws0.42 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Ludwigsburg   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ludwigsburg wins
0
Murcia wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/18HMonaco65-87
01/05/18HTubingen88-79
29/04/18ABayreuth73-70
27/04/18Hs.Oliver Wurzburg87-77
22/04/18AUlm77-84
20/04/18HBasketball Braunschweig72-59
14/04/18AAlba Berlin86-96
07/04/18HOldenburg90-86
04/04/18ABayreuth89-77
01/04/18ABamberg73-80
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/18AAEK Athens75-77
29/04/18ABaskonia85-87
25/04/18HJoventut Badalona75-92
22/04/18HTecnyconta Zaragoza84-73
15/04/18AGran Canaria71-83
12/04/18HFuenlabrada82-62
08/04/18AReal Betis102-87
04/04/18HKarsiyaka81-72
01/04/18AValencia84-73
27/03/18AKarsiyaka79-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg
Champions League 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL80%
HomeWWLLL69%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %80%69%92%
Points / game82.084.279.5
Allowed / game70.074.065.6
Point differential+12.0+10.2+13.9
Avg total151.9158.2145.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%62%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
Champions League 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL53%
HomeWWLLW44%
AwayLLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %53%44%60%
Points / game77.975.680.0
Allowed / game76.975.378.4
Point differential+0.9+0.2+1.6
Avg total154.8150.9158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%11%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco1917289%84.869.0+15.8
2 Antwerp Giants65183%77.575.7+1.8
3 Tenerife1613381%81.166.9+14.2
4 Ludwigsburg2520580%82.070.0+12.0
5 Nymburk1611569%83.280.1+3.2
6 Minsk64267%69.764.5+5.2
7 Banvit1812667%76.673.8+2.8
8 Saratov64267%72.272.0+0.2
9 Besiktas1610662%79.474.7+4.8
10 Oldenburg1610662%83.881.5+2.3
11 Karsiyaka2012860%82.381.2+1.1
12 AEK Athens1911858%82.579.8+2.7
13 Venezia148657%81.981.4+0.4
14 Estudiantes169756%79.476.3+3.1
15 Nanterre1810856%79.376.7+2.6
16 Strasbourg1810856%78.475.9+2.4
17 Bayreuth1810856%81.880.3+1.6
18 Murcia1910953%77.976.9+0.9
19 Joventut Badalona42250%76.069.0+7.0
20 Academic42250%84.580.2+4.2
21 Neptunas168850%82.279.5+2.7
22 Alba Fehervar42250%78.578.2+0.2
23 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%76.877.5-0.8
24 PAOK168850%75.176.1-0.9
25 Sassari147750%82.783.9-1.1
26 Karpos21150%80.082.5-2.5
27 Bakken Bears21150%81.584.5-3.0
28 Keravnos21150%69.573.0-3.5
29 Benfica42250%73.878.0-4.2
30 Skycop21150%69.079.5-10.5
31 Bonn167944%78.477.9+0.5
32 Avellino146843%74.973.4+1.5
33 Chalon/Saone146843%72.773.6-0.9
34 Ventspils146843%73.977.5-3.6
35 Oostende146843%69.675.0-5.4
36 Zielona Gora1661038%76.178.8-2.8
37 Juventus1661038%79.684.6-5.0
38 Donar Groningen62433%78.875.7+3.2
39 Aris1441029%66.474.2-7.8
40 Petrol Olimpija1441029%71.178.9-7.8
41 Gaziantep1441029%73.885.1-11.4
42 Kataja41325%75.280.2-5.0
43 Hapoel Holon1431121%82.988.9-6.0
44 Enisey1431121%76.084.9-8.9
45 HydroTruck Radom1631319%74.079.6-5.6
46 Capo d'Orlando1631319%65.576.9-11.4
47 Nizhny Novgorod2020%74.578.0-3.5
48 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%67.071.0-4.0
49 BC Lulea2020%76.582.0-5.5
50 Budivelnyk2020%57.564.5-7.0
51 Univ. Cluj-Napoca2020%74.583.0-8.5
52 Z-Mobile Prishtina2020%62.073.0-11.0
53 Mornar Bar2020%66.079.0-13.0
54 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%63.079.0-16.0
55 Basic-Fit Brussels2020%54.580.0-25.5
56 KK Bosna2020%59.093.5-34.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ludwigsburg1715212174
Murcia1824182585
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.