Ludwigsburg vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 24 Oct 2017

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 95-83

24-14 26-16 25-26 20-27

Position#4

Record7-1

FormWLWLW

Points / game86.0

Allowed / game66.0

Ludwigsburg 🏆

Neptunas

Position#21

Record2-0

FormWWLWW

Points / game81.0

Allowed / game76.5

Champions LeagueRound 3

European cup2017

Meetings · Ludwigsburg v Neptunas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Neptunas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LudwigsburgLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Univ. Cluj-Napoca

#51

88-77

+11

A26/09

Champions League

Basic-Fit Brussels

#55

85-59

+26

H29/09

Champions League

Basic-Fit Brussels

#55

75-50

+25

A02/10

Champions League

Bremerhaven

#16

98-77

+21

A05/10

BBL

Frankfurt

79-62

+17

H08/10

BBL

PAOK

#24

103-70

103

+33

H10/10

Champions League

Giessen

#11

81-83

-2

H13/10

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

#13

74-67

A15/10

BBL

Tenerife

72-82

-10

A17/10

Champions League

Bamberg

91-74

+17

H21/10

BBL

27-9

19-26

21-25

21-17

20-6

27-16

17-16

21-21

23-16

20-12

10-9

22-13

22-20

29-19

17-19

30-19

22-15

19-16

24-11

14-20

20-24

28-16

30-12

25-18

20-19

16-27

27-22

18-15

19-17

20-19

16-19

19-12

15-19

13-29

19-11

25-23

23-18

27-14

22-21

19-21

154.7Avg total

84.6Scored

70.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	86.0	66.0	152.0	+20.0	88%
Season at home (4)	92.0	65.0	157.0	+27.0	100%
Season away (4)	80.0	67.0	147.0	+13.0	75%
Last 10 (10)	84.6	70.1	154.7	+14.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	75.2	159.4	+9.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	82.0	81.7	163.7	+0.3	50%
vs Similar (6)	73.7	79.8	153.5	-6.2	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	85.7	69.9	155.7	+15.8	89%

This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siauliai

82-73

A21/09

LKL

Nevezis

92-73

+19

H24/09

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

73-64

H28/09

LKL

Skycop

#10

94-78

+16

A01/10

LKL

Lietkabelis

76-88

-12

A04/10

LKL

Juventus

73-72

A07/10

LKL

Chalon/Saone

#33

75-73

H10/10

Champions League

Rytas

79-92

-13

A14/10

LKL

Ventspils

#34

87-80

H18/10

Champions League

Alytaus Dzukija

98-58

+40

H22/10

LKL

22-22

21-10

18-18

21-23

26-11

19-23

24-17

23-22

22-18

17-21

14-8

20-17

19-20

22-18

28-18

25-22

19-14

15-23

21-33

21-18

17-10

18-30

29-15

9-17

18-24

18-15

15-16

24-18

12-22

16-29

26-21

25-20

24-22

24-26

22-16

17-16

19-8

25-22

28-10

26-18

158.0Avg total

82.9Scored

75.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	81.0	76.5	157.5	+4.5	100%
Season at home (2)	81.0	76.5	157.5	+4.5	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	82.9	75.1	158.0	+7.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	75.0	157.4	+7.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	66.5	75.7	142.2	-9.2	31%
vs Similar (6)	80.5	74.0	154.5	+6.5	67%
vs Weaker (11)	85.4	72.2	157.5	+13.2	91%

This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LudwigsburgNeptunas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.7	38.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	17.7	38.2	+2.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	19.7	38.9	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	16.3	37.4	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.5	21.2	38.7	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.7	21.0	37.7	-4.3	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.8	17.1	38.8	+4.7	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.3	37.6	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	17.7	38.9	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	19.0	36.3	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.1	36.9	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.2	35.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	16.2	19.9	36.1	-3.8	31%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.5	18.8	39.3	+1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.3	16.2	38.5	+6.1	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	18.4	40.7	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	16.5	38.2	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	20.2	43.3	+2.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.2	20.7	41.8	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	23.2	17.1	40.3	+6.2	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	18.7	39.2	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	21.3	40.9	-1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.7	41.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	24.4	44.6	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.7	19.8	37.5	-2.2	46%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.7	17.5	39.2	+4.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.1	21.5	43.5	+0.6	55%	-

LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Univ. Cluj-Napoca

#51

46-35

+11

A26/09

Champions League

Basic-Fit Brussels

#55

47-22

+25

H29/09

Champions League

Basic-Fit Brussels

#55

43-28

+15

A02/10

Champions League

Bremerhaven

#16

51-39

+12

A05/10

BBL

Frankfurt

41-31

+10

H08/10

BBL

PAOK

#24

48-40

H10/10

Champions League

Giessen

#11

36-46

-10

H13/10

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

#13

39-36

A15/10

BBL

Tenerife

28-48

-20

A17/10

Champions League

Bamberg

50-32

+18

H21/10

BBL

78.6Avg total

42.9Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	37.0	79.3	+5.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.2	34.2	76.4	+8.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	39.9	82.2	+2.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	35.7	78.6	+7.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	40.4	80.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.5	41.2	79.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	37.8	41.7	79.5	-3.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	45.0	34.1	79.1	+10.9	83%	-

This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siauliai

43-32

+11

A21/09

LKL

Nevezis

45-34

+11

H24/09

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

39-39

H28/09

LKL

Skycop

#10

41-38

A01/10

LKL

Lietkabelis

34-37

-3

A04/10

LKL

Juventus

35-40

-5

A07/10

LKL

Chalon/Saone

#33

36-39

-3

H10/10

Champions League

Rytas

28-51

-23

A14/10

LKL

Ventspils

#34

48-48

H18/10

Champions League

Alytaus Dzukija

44-30

+14

H22/10

LKL

78.1Avg total

39.3Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	38.3	77.7	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	36.3	78.1	+5.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	40.3	77.3	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	38.8	78.1	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	41.6	79.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	33.8	39.8	73.6	-5.9	15%	-
vs Similar (6)	42.2	36.3	78.5	+5.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (11)	44.4	37.6	82.0	+6.7	64%	-

This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.1	38.1	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	16.7	37.2	+3.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	16.5	36.8	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	17.0	39.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.0	17.7	36.7	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.1	17.9	38.1	+2.2	61%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	17.2	35.5	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	14.8	34.4	+4.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	19.7	36.7	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	17.2	39.7	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	15.6	39.6	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	14.8	16.8	31.6	-1.9	46%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.3	17.8	36.2	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.4	17.5	39.8	+4.9	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.7	38.9	+1.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	19.0	38.3	+0.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.9	39.3	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.8	20.5	37.3	-3.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.6	17.9	38.5	+2.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.5	37.1	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	18.1	37.1	+0.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.0	37.1	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.1	40.2	+2.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.8	19.2	36.9	-1.4	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.6	17.1	35.7	+1.5	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	36.9	76.8	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	35.3	76.1	+5.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	38.5	77.4	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	34.4	76.1	+7.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	34.8	78.8	+9.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	41.3	38.8	80.2	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.8	38.2	74.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	40.7	35.8	76.6	+4.9	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	35.8	72.6	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.6	32.9	71.5	+5.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.1	38.7	73.7	-3.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	36.3	79.9	+7.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	33.4	77.6	+10.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	32.6	35.9	68.5	-3.3	31%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.3	37.7	76.0	+0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (11)	41.0	34.5	75.5	+6.5	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ludwigsburg wins

Neptunas wins

Date	Game	Score
08/03/17	Neptunas v Ludwigsburg	58-52
01/03/17	Ludwigsburg v Neptunas	73-61

Ludwigsburglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/10/17	H	Bamberg	91-74
17/10/17	A	Tenerife	72-82
15/10/17	A	Basketball Braunschweig	74-67
13/10/17	H	Giessen	81-83
10/10/17	H	PAOK	103-70
08/10/17	H	Frankfurt	79-62
05/10/17	A	Bremerhaven	98-77
02/10/17	A	Basic-Fit Brussels	75-50
29/09/17	H	Basic-Fit Brussels	85-59
26/09/17	A	Univ. Cluj-Napoca	88-77

Neptunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/10/17	H	Alytaus Dzukija	98-58
18/10/17	H	Ventspils	87-80
14/10/17	A	Rytas	79-92
10/10/17	H	Chalon/Saone	75-73
07/10/17	A	Juventus	73-72
04/10/17	A	Lietkabelis	76-88
01/10/17	A	Skycop	94-78
28/09/17	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	73-64
24/09/17	H	Nevezis	92-73
21/09/17	A	Siauliai	82-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg

Champions League 2017

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	88%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WWWL	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	88%	100%	75%
Points / game	86.0	92.0	80.0
Allowed / game	66.0	65.0	67.0
Point differential	+20.0	+27.0	+13.0
Avg total	152.0	157.0	147.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	75%	75%	75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Neptunas

Champions League 2017

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	2	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	81.0	81.0	-
Allowed / game	76.5	76.5	-
Point differential	+4.5	+4.5	-
Avg total	157.5	157.5	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Monaco	2	2	0	100%	87.5	54.5	+33.0
2	Bayreuth	2	2	0	100%	89.0	79.5	+9.5
3	Neptunas	2	2	0	100%	81.0	76.5	+4.5
4	Gaziantep	2	2	0	100%	83.5	79.5	+4.0
5	Murcia	2	2	0	100%	73.0	69.0	+4.0
6	Ludwigsburg	8	7	1	88%	86.0	66.0	+20.0
7	Antwerp Giants	6	5	1	83%	77.5	75.7	+1.8
8	Estudiantes	4	3	1	75%	79.5	73.0	+6.5
9	Nanterre	4	3	1	75%	79.5	74.0	+5.5
10	Karsiyaka	4	3	1	75%	87.2	82.2	+5.0
11	Besiktas	3	2	1	67%	74.0	65.0	+9.0
12	Minsk	6	4	2	67%	69.7	64.5	+5.2
13	Venezia	3	2	1	67%	96.7	91.7	+5.0
14	Banvit	3	2	1	67%	87.3	87.0	+0.3
15	Saratov	6	4	2	67%	72.2	72.0	+0.2
16	Ventspils	3	2	1	67%	77.0	78.7	-1.7
17	Nymburk	2	1	1	50%	85.5	75.5	+10.0
18	Joventut Badalona	4	2	2	50%	76.0	69.0	+7.0
19	Strasbourg	2	1	1	50%	81.5	75.5	+6.0
20	Tenerife	2	1	1	50%	77.0	72.5	+4.5
21	Academic	4	2	2	50%	84.5	80.2	+4.2
22	Bonn	4	2	2	50%	77.5	74.5	+3.0
23	Oldenburg	2	1	1	50%	84.5	82.5	+2.0
24	Alba Fehervar	4	2	2	50%	78.5	78.2	+0.2
25	BC Kalev/Cramo	4	2	2	50%	76.8	77.5	-0.8
26	Avellino	2	1	1	50%	83.5	84.5	-1.0
27	Enisey	2	1	1	50%	75.5	77.0	-1.5
28	Karpos	2	1	1	50%	80.0	82.5	-2.5
29	Bakken Bears	2	1	1	50%	81.5	84.5	-3.0
30	Keravnos	2	1	1	50%	69.5	73.0	-3.5
31	Benfica	4	2	2	50%	73.8	78.0	-4.2
32	Oostende	2	1	1	50%	61.5	71.5	-10.0
33	Juventus	4	2	2	50%	74.8	85.0	-10.2
34	Skycop	2	1	1	50%	69.0	79.5	-10.5
35	Aris	2	1	1	50%	70.0	81.5	-11.5
36	Donar Groningen	6	2	4	33%	78.8	75.7	+3.2
37	Chalon/Saone	3	1	2	33%	72.3	69.3	+3.0
38	Zielona Gora	3	1	2	33%	65.7	68.0	-2.3
39	AEK Athens	3	1	2	33%	84.0	87.3	-3.3
40	Capo d'Orlando	4	1	3	25%	73.2	69.5	+3.8
41	Kataja	4	1	3	25%	75.2	80.2	-5.0
42	HydroTruck Radom	5	1	4	20%	74.0	80.0	-6.0
43	Nizhny Novgorod	2	0	2	0%	74.5	78.0	-3.5
44	Kapfenberg Bulls	2	0	2	0%	67.0	71.0	-4.0
45	Sassari	2	0	2	0%	81.5	85.5	-4.0
46	BC Lulea	2	0	2	0%	76.5	82.0	-5.5
47	Budivelnyk	2	0	2	0%	57.5	64.5	-7.0
48	Univ. Cluj-Napoca	2	0	2	0%	74.5	83.0	-8.5
49	Petrol Olimpija	2	0	2	0%	76.0	85.0	-9.0
50	Z-Mobile Prishtina	2	0	2	0%	62.0	73.0	-11.0
51	Mornar Bar	2	0	2	0%	66.0	79.0	-13.0
52	Hapoel Holon	2	0	2	0%	66.0	81.5	-15.5
53	Dinamo Tbilisi	2	0	2	0%	63.0	79.0	-16.0
54	PAOK	2	0	2	0%	76.0	94.0	-18.0
55	Basic-Fit Brussels	2	0	2	0%	54.5	80.0	-25.5
56	KK Bosna	2	0	2	0%	59.0	93.5	-34.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ludwigsburg	24	26	25	20	95
Neptunas	14	16	26	27	83

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Ludwigsburg vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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