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Ludwigsburg vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 73-61
15-16 18-21 27-13 13-11
Position#13
Record10-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#6
Record10-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game68.4
EuropeChampions League
European cup2016
Meetings · Ludwigsburg v Neptunas
24 Oct 2017
LUD95
NEP83
01 Mar 2017
LUD73
NEP61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LudwigsburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H22/01
German Cup
Besiktas
#3
L
85-88
85
88
-3
A25/01
Champions League
Bayreuth
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H29/01
BBL
Maccabi Rishon
#34
W
83-66
83
66
+17
A08/02
Champions League
Giessen
#9
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H11/02
BBL
Bamberg
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A15/02
BBL
Bamberg
#1
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H18/02
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#3
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A19/02
German Cup
Maccabi Rishon
#34
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H22/02
Champions League
Vechta
#17
W
92-74
92
74
+18
A25/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-7
15-12
18-21
18-27
22-24
11-18
22-19
30-27
23-19
5-23
21-12
27-25
22-15
19-22
18-12
24-17
22-16
13-19
22-19
26-23
24-24
8-17
27-24
16-19
15-22
20-14
19-25
24-24
19-20
22-23
14-25
15-16
11-19
20-16
27-25
26-22
27-17
19-16
26-23
20-18
158.4Avg total
79.8Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.375.4157.7+6.962%
Season at home (8)82.271.8154.0+10.575%
Season away (8)82.479.0161.4+3.450%
Last 10 (10)79.878.6158.4+1.250%
Last 5 (5)79.881.8161.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.880.3147.2-13.50%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.478.2154.7-1.844%
vs Weaker (14)86.475.5161.9+10.979%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skycop
#6
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A07/01
LKL
PAOK
#22
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A10/01
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#3
W
86-61
86
61
+25
H15/01
LKL
Ventspils
#23
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H18/01
Champions League
Rytas
#2
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H21/01
LKL
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A24/01
Champions League
Skycop
#6
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H28/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A04/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H11/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H26/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-15
15-18
22-22
20-19
18-18
17-26
12-18
26-20
23-15
23-10
19-16
21-20
20-16
18-15
20-22
26-15
20-11
24-10
21-26
20-31
22-13
14-15
24-19
11-18
16-16
19-9
19-14
18-21
15-9
10-23
27-16
17-18
18-14
17-19
20-20
15-26
16-7
21-14
8-22
14-11
142.3Avg total
73.6Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.168.4143.5+6.671%
Season at home (7)80.768.9149.6+11.986%
Season away (7)69.468.0137.4+1.457%
Last 10 (10)73.668.7142.3+4.970%
Last 5 (5)68.264.8133.0+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.681.2155.8-6.640%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.771.3145.0+2.450%
vs Weaker (15)76.366.3142.7+10.080%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
LudwigsburgNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
W
36-19
36
19
+17
H22/01
German Cup
Besiktas
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A25/01
Champions League
Bayreuth
#4
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H29/01
BBL
Maccabi Rishon
#34
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A08/02
Champions League
Giessen
#9
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H11/02
BBL
Bamberg
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A15/02
BBL
Bamberg
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H18/02
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A19/02
German Cup
Maccabi Rishon
#34
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H22/02
Champions League
Vechta
#17
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A25/02
BBL
72.1Avg total
35.8Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.076.1+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.335.071.3+1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.841.080.8-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)35.836.372.1-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.037.674.6-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.341.774.0-9.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.939.774.6-4.822%-
vs Weaker (14)42.736.779.4+6.079%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skycop
#6
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A07/01
LKL
PAOK
#22
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A10/01
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#3
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H15/01
LKL
Ventspils
#23
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H18/01
Champions League
Rytas
#2
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H21/01
LKL
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A24/01
Champions League
Skycop
#6
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H28/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A04/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H11/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H26/02
LKL
64.9Avg total
35.6Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.134.071.1+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.832.170.9+6.765%-
Last 30 away (13)34.836.571.4-1.738%-
Last 10 (10)35.629.364.9+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)33.627.861.4+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.633.268.8+2.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.533.770.2+2.860%-
vs Weaker (15)38.034.572.5+3.553%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ludwigsburg wins
0
Neptunas wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/17AVechta92-74
22/02/17HMaccabi Rishon84-82
19/02/17AAlba Berlin70-84
18/02/17HBamberg78-85
15/02/17ABamberg75-84
11/02/17HGiessen83-77
08/02/17AMaccabi Rishon83-66
29/01/17HBayreuth76-79
25/01/17ABesiktas85-88
22/01/17HUlm72-67
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/17HPieno Zvaigzdes59-54
11/02/17HJuventus70-79
04/02/17AAlytaus Dzukija69-66
28/01/17HSkycop72-60
24/01/17AHydroTruck Radom71-65
21/01/17HRytas85-78
18/01/17HVentspils84-68
15/01/17HLietkabelis86-61
10/01/17APAOK73-82
07/01/17ASkycop67-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg
Champions League 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW62%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game82.382.282.4
Allowed / game75.471.879.0
Point differential+6.9+10.5+3.4
Avg total157.7154.0161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%38%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Neptunas
Champions League 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW71%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%86%57%
Points / game75.180.769.4
Allowed / game68.468.968.0
Point differential+6.6+11.9+1.4
Avg total143.5149.6137.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%57%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Besiktas1512380%83.275.0+8.2
2 Monaco1512380%73.565.9+7.6
3 Tenerife1511473%79.967.6+12.3
4 Banvit1511473%80.872.8+8.0
5 Neptunas1410471%75.168.4+6.6
6 Avellino1410471%74.968.6+6.2
7 AEK Athens1712571%78.270.1+8.1
8 Nymburk1611569%80.072.6+7.4
9 Lyon-Villeurbanne1510567%75.369.6+5.7
10 Karsiyaka1711665%74.969.1+5.8
11 Oldenburg1711665%78.573.0+5.5
12 Le Mans149564%73.567.0+6.5
13 Ludwigsburg1610662%82.375.4+6.9
14 Strasbourg1610662%75.169.9+5.2
15 Venezia1610662%73.172.8+0.3
16 Partizan169756%74.575.1-0.6
17 Juventus1810856%75.477.2-1.8
18 Aris179853%75.670.1+5.5
19 PAOK179853%73.771.0+2.7
20 Cluj Napoca42250%75.271.0+4.2
21 Minsk42250%69.865.8+4.0
22 Saratov168850%85.483.1+2.3
23 Ventspils168850%74.874.6+0.1
24 Benfica21150%72.072.5-0.5
25 Sassari168850%78.579.0-0.5
26 Frankfurt168850%70.070.9-0.9
27 CSM Oradea189950%69.272.8-3.7
28 Academic21150%66.571.0-4.5
29 Igokea21150%65.576.0-10.5
30 Sodertalje21150%62.078.0-16.0
31 Kataja167944%77.978.4-0.5
32 Ironi Nahariya167944%72.173.0-0.9
33 Usak Sportif167944%77.178.0-0.9
34 Maccabi Rishon167944%71.872.7-0.9
35 Oostende146843%71.170.8+0.3
36 Spirou Charleroi146843%74.379.5-5.2
37 Cibona145936%77.382.5-5.2
38 Varese1651131%70.479.2-8.8
39 Zielona Gora1441029%72.977.4-4.6
40 Mega Bemax1441029%72.679.4-6.9
41 Tartu Ulikool41325%69.572.8-3.2
42 Mornar Bar1641225%69.679.0-9.4
43 Khimik1431121%66.473.2-6.9
44 HydroTruck Radom1431121%68.578.0-9.5
45 Bakken Bears1631319%70.187.5-17.4
46 Helios Domzale1421214%59.667.6-8.1
47 Szolnoki Olaj1421214%72.985.8-12.9
48 Donar Groningen2020%66.570.5-4.0
49 BC Prievidza2020%65.572.0-6.5
50 FC Porto2020%70.080.0-10.0
51 Rilski Sportist2020%61.073.0-12.0
52 AEK Larnaca2020%53.072.5-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ludwigsburg1518271373
Neptunas1621131161
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