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Neptunas vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 58-52
12-9 11-16 17-14 18-13
Position#6
Record10-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game68.7
vs
Position#13
Record11-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game74.5
EuropeChampions League
European cup2016
Meetings · Neptunas v Ludwigsburg
09 Jan 2018
NEP71
LUD87
08 Mar 2017
NEP58
LUD52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
86-61
86
61
+25
H15/01
LKL
Ventspils
#23
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H18/01
Champions League
Rytas
#2
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H21/01
LKL
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A24/01
Champions League
Skycop
#6
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H28/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A04/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H11/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H26/02
LKL
Ludwigsburg
#13
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A01/03
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A05/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
23-10
19-16
21-20
20-16
18-15
20-22
26-15
20-11
24-10
21-26
20-31
22-13
14-15
24-19
11-18
16-16
19-9
19-14
18-21
15-9
10-23
27-16
17-18
18-14
17-19
20-20
15-26
16-7
21-14
8-22
14-11
16-15
21-18
13-27
11-13
20-16
28-18
11-20
19-15
140.8Avg total
73.5Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.168.7142.9+5.467%
Season at home (7)80.768.9149.6+11.986%
Season away (8)68.468.6137.0-0.250%
Last 10 (10)73.567.3140.8+6.280%
Last 5 (5)67.468.2135.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.879.6156.4-2.860%
vs Similar ◀ (11)72.571.5144.0+1.145%
vs Weaker (14)75.166.8141.9+8.379%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H29/01
BBL
Maccabi Rishon
#34
W
83-66
83
66
+17
A08/02
Champions League
Giessen
#9
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H11/02
BBL
Bamberg
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A15/02
BBL
Bamberg
#1
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H18/02
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#3
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A19/02
German Cup
Maccabi Rishon
#34
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H22/02
Champions League
Vechta
#17
W
92-74
92
74
+18
A25/02
BBL
Neptunas
#6
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H01/03
Champions League
Frankfurt
#11
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H04/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
5-23
21-12
27-25
22-15
19-22
18-12
24-17
22-16
13-19
22-19
26-23
24-24
8-17
27-24
16-19
15-22
20-14
19-25
24-24
19-20
22-23
14-25
15-16
11-19
20-16
27-25
26-22
27-17
19-16
26-23
20-18
15-16
18-21
27-13
13-11
14-14
27-23
18-15
11-16
154.4Avg total
78.4Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.874.5156.3+7.265%
Season at home (9)81.270.6151.8+10.778%
Season away (8)82.479.0161.4+3.450%
Last 10 (10)78.476.0154.4+2.460%
Last 5 (5)77.873.8151.6+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.684.4155.0-13.80%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.575.7151.3-0.255%
vs Weaker (13)85.477.0162.4+8.477%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
NeptunasLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H15/01
LKL
Ventspils
#23
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H18/01
Champions League
Rytas
#2
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H21/01
LKL
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A24/01
Champions League
Skycop
#6
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H28/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A04/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H11/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H26/02
LKL
Ludwigsburg
#13
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A01/03
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A05/03
LKL
66.4Avg total
38.1Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.333.971.2+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.932.270.1+5.862%-
Last 30 away (14)36.635.872.4+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)38.128.366.4+9.890%-
Last 5 (5)36.430.667.0+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.031.871.8+8.260%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.533.670.2+2.964%-
vs Weaker (14)36.934.871.7+2.150%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#4
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H29/01
BBL
Maccabi Rishon
#34
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A08/02
Champions League
Giessen
#9
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H11/02
BBL
Bamberg
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A15/02
BBL
Bamberg
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H18/02
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A19/02
German Cup
Maccabi Rishon
#34
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H22/02
Champions League
Vechta
#17
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A25/02
BBL
Neptunas
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H01/03
Champions League
Frankfurt
#11
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H04/03
BBL
73.9Avg total
36.3Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.238.576.7-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.635.972.5+0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)39.841.080.8-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)36.337.673.9-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.075.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.443.477.8-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.339.274.5-3.927%-
vs Weaker (13)42.337.579.8+4.877%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
1
Ludwigsburg wins
DateGameScore
01/03/17Ludwigsburg v Neptunas73-61
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/17AZalgiris Kaunas78-69
01/03/17ALudwigsburg61-73
26/02/17HPieno Zvaigzdes59-54
11/02/17HJuventus70-79
04/02/17AAlytaus Dzukija69-66
28/01/17HSkycop72-60
24/01/17AHydroTruck Radom71-65
21/01/17HRytas85-78
18/01/17HVentspils84-68
15/01/17HLietkabelis86-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/17HFrankfurt70-68
01/03/17HNeptunas73-61
25/02/17AVechta92-74
22/02/17HMaccabi Rishon84-82
19/02/17AAlba Berlin70-84
18/02/17HBamberg78-85
15/02/17ABamberg75-84
11/02/17HGiessen83-77
08/02/17AMaccabi Rishon83-66
29/01/17HBayreuth76-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Champions League 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL67%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%86%50%
Points / game74.180.768.4
Allowed / game68.768.968.6
Point differential+5.4+11.9-0.2
Avg total142.9149.6137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%57%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ludwigsburg
Champions League 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW65%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%78%50%
Points / game81.881.282.4
Allowed / game74.570.679.0
Point differential+7.2+10.7+3.4
Avg total156.3151.8161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%44%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Besiktas1512380%83.275.0+8.2
2 Monaco1512380%73.565.9+7.6
3 Banvit1612475%80.172.1+8.1
4 Tenerife1511473%79.967.6+12.3
5 AEK Athens1712571%78.270.1+8.1
6 Nymburk1611569%80.072.6+7.4
7 Lyon-Villeurbanne1611569%75.769.4+6.2
8 Avellino1510567%73.167.6+5.5
9 Neptunas1510567%74.168.7+5.4
10 Ludwigsburg1711665%81.874.5+7.2
11 Karsiyaka1711665%74.969.1+5.8
12 Venezia1711665%71.971.4+0.5
13 Strasbourg1610662%75.169.9+5.2
14 Oldenburg1811761%77.572.8+4.7
15 Le Mans169756%72.467.8+4.6
16 Partizan169756%74.575.1-0.6
17 Sassari1810856%77.977.4+0.6
18 Juventus1810856%75.477.2-1.8
19 PAOK179853%73.771.0+2.7
20 Aris189950%75.270.7+4.4
21 Cluj Napoca42250%75.271.0+4.2
22 Minsk42250%69.865.8+4.0
23 Saratov168850%85.483.1+2.3
24 Ventspils168850%74.874.6+0.1
25 Benfica21150%72.072.5-0.5
26 Frankfurt168850%70.070.9-0.9
27 CSM Oradea189950%69.272.8-3.7
28 Academic21150%66.571.0-4.5
29 Igokea21150%65.576.0-10.5
30 Sodertalje21150%62.078.0-16.0
31 Kataja167944%77.978.4-0.5
32 Ironi Nahariya167944%72.173.0-0.9
33 Usak Sportif167944%77.178.0-0.9
34 Maccabi Rishon167944%71.872.7-0.9
35 Oostende146843%71.170.8+0.3
36 Spirou Charleroi146843%74.379.5-5.2
37 Cibona145936%77.382.5-5.2
38 Varese1651131%70.479.2-8.8
39 Zielona Gora1441029%72.977.4-4.6
40 Mega Bemax1441029%72.679.4-6.9
41 Tartu Ulikool41325%69.572.8-3.2
42 Mornar Bar1641225%69.679.0-9.4
43 Khimik1431121%66.473.2-6.9
44 HydroTruck Radom1431121%68.578.0-9.5
45 Bakken Bears1631319%70.187.5-17.4
46 Helios Domzale1421214%59.667.6-8.1
47 Szolnoki Olaj1421214%72.985.8-12.9
48 Donar Groningen2020%66.570.5-4.0
49 BC Prievidza2020%65.572.0-6.5
50 FC Porto2020%70.080.0-10.0
51 Rilski Sportist2020%61.073.0-12.0
52 AEK Larnaca2020%53.072.5-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1211171858
Ludwigsburg916141352
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