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Luis Matte Larrain vs Stadio Italiano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 74-82
19-16 21-26 12-14 22-26
Position#5
Record7-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Position#9
Record5-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game71.1
ChileLNB 2· Gimnasio Carlos Flores
Other2025-26
Meetings · Luis Matte Larrain v Stadio Italiano
15 Jun 2025
LUIS74
STAD82
08 Jun 2025
LUIS80
STAD85
25 May 2025
LUIS74
STAD61
11 May 2024
LUIS62
STAD51
27 May 2023
LUIS73
STAD65
25 Jun 2022
LUIS62
STAD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Luis Matte Larrain winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stadio Italiano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Luis Matte LarrainChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarrain
Date
Competition
Boston C. C.
#3
L
65-73
65
73
-8
55avg 66
A29/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
63-57
63
57
+6
53avg 66
H12/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
W
86-74
86
74
+12
83avg 66
A18/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
90-71
90
71
+19
100avg 66
H26/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
71-82
71
82
-11
67avg 66
H03/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
82-60
82
60
+22
83avg 66
A17/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
W
74-61
74
61
+13
70avg 66
H25/05
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
64-58
64
58
+6
59avg 66
A02/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
L
80-85
80
85
-5
78avg 66
H08/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
W
82-80 OT
82
80
+2
76avg 66
A14/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
13-21
20-9
13-26
17-20
22-9
10-14
14-14
26-20
22-20
25-8
13-26
22-22
22-18
17-14
29-17
14-27
24-15
19-27
14-13
18-17
24-11
23-17
17-15
24-19
11-22
17-4
22-16
17-23
20-13
15-13
12-9
17-25
19-11
16-19
28-30
19-17
15-10
20-23
18-22
145.8Avg total
75.7Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.770.1145.8+5.670%
Season at home (5)75.671.2146.8+4.460%
Season away (5)75.869.0144.8+6.880%
Last 10 (10)75.770.1145.8+5.670%
Last 5 (5)76.468.8145.2+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.074.6142.6-6.625%
vs Similar ◀ (12)69.873.9143.7-4.233%
vs Weaker (6)81.771.2152.8+10.5100%
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stadio ItalianoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormItaliano
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
90-69
90
69
+21
87avg 60
A28/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
W
71-68
71
68
+3
62avg 60
H05/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
65avg 60
H18/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
L
63-65 OT
63
65
-2
47avg 60
A26/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
73-59
73
59
+14
65avg 60
H03/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
55avg 60
A10/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
L
61-74
61
74
-13
56avg 60
A25/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
63-55
63
55
+8
52avg 60
H01/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
W
85-80
85
80
+5
82avg 60
A08/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
L
80-82 OT
80
82
-2
68avg 60
H14/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
24-21
18-10
21-21
15-12
14-21
21-20
21-15
20-26
20-22
8-25
26-13
11-23
17-9
18-14
14-14
22-9
16-17
26-16
9-17
19-23
17-10
15-21
16-19
19-24
22-11
4-17
16-22
18-12
19-19
18-15
8-9
25-17
11-19
19-16
30-28
17-19
10-15
23-20
22-18
143.8Avg total
72.7Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.771.1143.8+1.650%
Season at home (5)72.270.0142.2+2.260%
Season away (5)73.272.2145.4+1.040%
Last 10 (10)72.771.1143.8+1.650%
Last 5 (5)71.272.8144.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)63.471.6135.0-8.233%
vs Similar ◀ (8)70.671.9142.5-1.238%
vs Weaker (10)73.958.6132.5+15.390%
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
Luis Matte LarrainStadio Italiano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Luis Matte LarrainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston C. C.
#3
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A29/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H12/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A18/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H26/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H03/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A17/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H25/05
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A02/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H08/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A14/06
LNB 2
74.2Avg total
38.5Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.936.572.4-0.645%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.336.073.3+1.347%-
Last 30 away (14)34.437.071.4-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)38.535.774.2+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)36.833.670.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.438.170.5-5.718%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.835.570.3-0.742%-
vs Weaker (6)44.535.580.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stadio ItalianoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A28/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H05/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H18/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A26/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H03/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A10/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A25/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H01/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A08/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H14/06
LNB 2
70.9Avg total
36.3Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.634.468.9+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.834.068.8+0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)34.434.669.1-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)36.334.670.9+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.433.869.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.036.268.2-4.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)34.834.669.4+0.138%-
vs Weaker (10)37.532.069.5+5.570%-
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Luis Matte Larraintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luis Matte Larrain: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.2
49.7%
46.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.5
31.4%
27.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.914.1
70.9%
64.0%14.1
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stadio Italianotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stadio Italiano: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.920.8
43.4%
46.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.0
27.9%
27.9%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.813.0
62.5%
64.0%13.0
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Luis Matte Larrain
WLWWWLWWWL
Stadio Italiano
LWWLLWLLWW
#5
League position
#9
+7.5
Net rating
+2.4
95.0
Offensive rating
88.3
87.6
Defensive rating
85.9
48.7%
Effective FG%
42.9%
44.7%
Opp. effective FG%
44.8%
23.8%
Turnover %
18.5%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.4%
3-point %
27.9%
65.5%
Assist %
66.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.0 · 88.3Defence87.6 · 85.9Shooting48.7% · 42.9%3-point %31.4% · 27.9%Ball care23.8% · 18.5%Off. rebounds30.7% · 25.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Luis Matte Larrain   ■ Stadio Italiano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/25AStadio Italiano82-80 OT
08/06/25HStadio Italiano80-85
02/06/25ASergio Ceppi64-58
25/05/25HStadio Italiano74-61
17/05/25ABrisas82-60
03/05/25HBoston C. C.71-82
26/04/25HSergio Ceppi90-71
18/04/25AStadio Italiano86-74
12/04/25HBrisas63-57
29/03/25ABoston C. C.65-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/25HLuis Matte Larrain80-82 OT
08/06/25ALuis Matte Larrain85-80
01/06/25HBrisas63-55
25/05/25ALuis Matte Larrain61-74
10/05/25ABoston C. C.67-73
03/05/25HSergio Ceppi73-59
26/04/25ABrisas63-65 OT
18/04/25HLuis Matte Larrain74-86
05/04/25HBoston C. C.71-68
28/03/25ASergio Ceppi90-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Luis Matte Larrain
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%60%80%
Points / game75.775.675.8
Allowed / game70.171.269.0
Point differential+5.6+4.4+6.8
Avg total145.8146.8144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Stadio Italiano
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game72.772.273.2
Allowed / game71.170.072.2
Point differential+1.6+2.2+1.0
Avg total143.8142.2145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %20%20%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Truenos De Talca10100100%79.165.0+14.1
2 Puerto Montt109190%91.768.0+23.7
3 Boston C. C.109190%75.762.0+13.7
4 Arabe Valparaiso108280%74.761.5+13.2
5 Luis Matte Larrain107370%75.770.1+5.6
6 Aleman107370%77.272.4+4.8
7 Illapel107370%70.768.2+2.5
8 Liceo Curico95456%61.859.4+2.3
9 Municipal Chillan95456%56.758.4-1.8
10 Stadio Italiano105550%72.771.1+1.6
11 Omega105550%65.169.2-4.1
12 Quilpue Basquetbol104640%68.468.8-0.4
13 The Sharks103730%72.074.5-2.5
14 Arturo Prat San Felipe103730%67.381.9-14.6
15 CD Huachipato92722%64.275.4-11.2
16 CDSB Constitucion102820%72.177.3-5.2
17 Sergio Ceppi102820%64.273.0-8.8
18 Brisas102820%62.272.5-10.3
19 Regional Temuco102820%72.686.8-14.2
20 Tinguiririca91811%63.273.8-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Luis Matte Larrain1921122274
Stadio Italiano1626142682
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