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Luis Matte Larrain vs Truenos De Talca Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-86
30-15 15-20 16-26 18-25
Position#9
Record7-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#2
Record14-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game66.8
ChileLNB 2· Gimnasio Carlos Flores
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Luis Matte Larrain winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Truenos De Talca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Luis Matte LarrainChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarrain
Date
Competition
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
94-92
94
92
+2
86avg 57
H19/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
58-70
58
70
-12
49avg 57
H26/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
72-75
72
75
-3
65avg 57
A02/06
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
66-70
66
70
-4
59avg 57
H15/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
62-98
62
98
-36
46avg 57
A16/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
49-64
49
64
-15
39avg 57
H29/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
57-80
57
80
-23
42avg 57
A30/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
W
90-89
90
89
+1
87avg 57
H06/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
59-60
59
60
-1
54avg 57
A13/07
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
55-66
55
66
-11
42avg 57
A14/07
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
24-18
20-31
21-23
17-25
11-15
19-19
11-11
14-19
21-20
21-20
16-16
25-23
19-11
12-24
10-12
13-30
18-23
16-24
15-21
14-14
16-10
12-15
7-25
10-14
16-22
12-26
19-18
29-25
19-27
22-23
20-14
16-20
17-10
7-19
19-11
15-14
12-23
17-16
11-13
142.6Avg total
66.2Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)67.072.5139.6-5.535%
Season at home (10)71.170.5141.6+0.660%
Season away (10)62.974.6137.5-11.710%
Last 10 (10)66.276.4142.6-10.220%
Last 5 (5)62.071.8133.8-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)65.673.8139.4-8.136%
vs Similar (11)64.367.0131.3-2.727%
vs Weaker (5)68.666.4135.0+2.260%
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Truenos De TalcaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTalca
Date
Competition
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
57-43
57
43
+14
47avg 65
A25/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
62-78
62
78
-16
51avg 65
H02/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
72-54
72
54
+18
67avg 65
A08/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
90-62
90
62
+28
86avg 65
H15/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
68-77
68
77
-9
62avg 65
A20/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
79-58
79
58
+21
76avg 65
H23/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
63-59
63
59
+4
49avg 65
H29/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
112-69
112
69
+43
114avg 65
A07/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
84-62
84
62
+22
83avg 65
H14/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
78-62
78
62
+16
75avg 65
H16/07
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
6-13
12-7
16-7
10-16
15-18
16-24
21-20
12-11
24-14
21-17
15-12
24-15
22-9
26-16
18-22
13-15
21-22
14-25
20-15
15-8
26-13
15-18
23-19
17-13
12-17
16-15
18-14
29-11
19-21
39-18
25-19
32-10
21-15
21-20
10-17
21-17
23-14
19-17
15-14
138.9Avg total
76.5Scored
62.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.566.8141.3+7.767%
Season at home (11)76.867.1143.9+9.782%
Season away (10)72.066.5138.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)76.562.4138.9+14.180%
Last 5 (5)83.262.0145.2+21.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.381.0145.3-16.70%
vs Similar (5)69.864.0133.8+5.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)77.664.3141.9+13.278%
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
Luis Matte LarrainTruenos De Talca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Luis Matte LarrainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H19/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H26/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A02/06
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H15/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A16/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H29/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A30/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H06/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A13/07
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A14/07
LNB 2
73.8Avg total
35.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)33.137.070.1-3.835%-
Last 30 at home (10)36.135.271.3+0.950%-
Last 30 away (10)30.238.768.9-8.520%-
Last 10 (10)35.538.373.8-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)32.835.868.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.237.869.9-5.625%-
vs Similar (6)32.533.766.2-1.250%-
vs Weaker (2)41.042.083.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Truenos De TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A25/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H02/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A08/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H15/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A20/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H23/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H29/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A07/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H14/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H16/07
LNB 2
67.3Avg total
38.5Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.532.669.1+3.948%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.430.968.3+6.553%-
Last 30 away (14)35.534.570.0+1.043%-
Last 10 (10)38.528.867.3+9.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.027.870.8+15.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.738.372.0-4.629%-
vs Similar (5)34.429.864.2+4.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.231.169.4+7.159%-
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Luis Matte Larraintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luis Matte Larrain: 65.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.519.4
41.7%
44.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.15.2
27.2%
28.7%15.6
🏀 Free throws17.311.3
65.3%
63.6%11.3
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Truenos De Talcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Truenos De Talca: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.0
51.2%
44.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.0
31.5%
28.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.310.1
62.0%
63.6%10.1
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Luis Matte Larrain
LLWLLLLLLW
Truenos De Talca
WWWWWLWWLW
#9
League position
#2
-13.7
Net rating
+19.1
86.6
Offensive rating
100.4
100.3
Defensive rating
81.2
41.5%
Effective FG%
49.7%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
37.3%
18.8%
Turnover %
18.8%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
27.2%
3-point %
31.5%
58.5%
Assist %
54.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence86.6 · 100.4Defence100.3 · 81.2Shooting41.5% · 49.7%3-point %27.2% · 31.5%Ball care18.8% · 18.8%Off. rebounds27.4% · 31.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Luis Matte Larrain   ■ Truenos De Talca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Luis Matte Larrain wins
1
Truenos De Talca wins
DateGameScore
19/05/24Truenos De Talca v Luis Matte Larrain75-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/07/24AQuilpue Basquetbol55-66
13/07/24AStadio Italiano59-60
06/07/24HAleman90-89
30/06/24ASergio Ceppi57-80
29/06/24HMunicipal Chillan49-64
16/06/24AColo Colo62-98
15/06/24HArabe Valparaiso66-70
02/06/24ABoston C. C.72-75
26/05/24HBrisas58-70
19/05/24HArturo Prat San Felipe94-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/07/24HStadio Italiano78-62
14/07/24HBrisas84-62
07/07/24AArturo Prat San Felipe112-69
29/06/24HBoston C. C.63-59
23/06/24HQuilpue Basquetbol79-58
20/06/24AAleman68-77
15/06/24HSergio Ceppi90-62
08/06/24AMunicipal Chillan72-54
02/06/24HColo Colo62-78
25/05/24AArabe Valparaiso57-43

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Luis Matte Larrain
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL35%
HomeWLLLW60%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%60%10%
Points / game67.071.162.9
Allowed / game72.570.574.6
Point differential-5.5+0.6-11.7
Avg total139.6141.6137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)75% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Truenos De Talca
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%82%50%
Points / game74.576.872.0
Allowed / game66.867.166.5
Point differential+7.7+9.7+5.5
Avg total141.3143.9138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%55%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo22220100%82.163.2+18.9
2 Truenos De Talca2114767%74.566.8+7.7
3 Stadio Italiano2214864%67.863.3+4.5
4 Sergio Ceppi2213959%73.071.7+1.3
5 Boston C. C.2112957%71.667.6+4.0
6 Aleman2112957%74.771.9+2.8
7 Quilpue Basquetbol21101148%64.868.6-3.8
8 Municipal Chillan2191243%62.966.4-3.5
9 Luis Matte Larrain2071335%67.072.5-5.5
10 Arabe Valparaiso2171433%65.872.7-6.9
11 Brisas2041620%66.271.5-5.2
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe2021810%69.686.5-16.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Luis Matte Larrain3015161879
Truenos De Talca1520262586
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