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Luis Matte Larrain vs Aleman Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 90-89
29-25 19-27 22-23 20-14
Position#9
Record6-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game72.7
Luis Matte Larrain 🏆
Chile
vs
Aleman
Chile
Position#3
Record11-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game70.9
ChileLNB 2· Gimnasio Carlos Flores
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Luis Matte Larrain winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aleman winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Luis Matte LarrainChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarrain
Date
Competition
Aleman
#3
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
A04/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
62-51
62
51
+11
61avg 57
H12/05
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
72-75
72
75
-3
22avg 57
A19/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
94-92
94
92
+2
86avg 57
H19/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
58-70
58
70
-12
49avg 57
H26/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
72-75
72
75
-3
65avg 57
A02/06
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
66-70
66
70
-4
59avg 57
H15/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
62-98
62
98
-36
46avg 57
A16/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
49-64
49
64
-15
39avg 57
H29/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
57-80
57
80
-23
42avg 57
A30/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
19-12
6-15
17-16
20-8
11-17
15-20
20-16
26-22
29-20
24-18
20-31
21-23
17-25
11-15
19-19
11-11
14-19
21-20
21-20
16-16
25-23
19-11
12-24
10-12
13-30
18-23
16-24
15-21
14-14
16-10
12-15
7-25
10-14
16-22
12-26
19-18
141.3Avg total
65.8Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)66.872.7139.5-5.935%
Season at home (9)69.068.4137.4+0.656%
Season away (8)64.477.5141.9-13.112%
Last 10 (10)65.875.5141.3-9.720%
Last 5 (5)61.277.4138.6-16.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)63.873.6137.4-9.829%
vs Similar (11)65.065.9130.9-0.936%
vs Weaker (5)68.666.4135.0+2.260%
This opponent (Aleman) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlemanChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAleman
Date
Competition
Colo Colo
#1
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 63
A12/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
76-64
76
64
+12
69avg 63
H18/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
69-63
69
63
+6
58avg 63
H19/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
67-69
67
69
-2
48avg 63
A25/05
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
91-93
91
93
-2
80avg 63
H01/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
72-77
72
77
-5
56avg 63
H08/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
68-58
68
58
+10
56avg 63
A15/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
77-68
77
68
+9
61avg 63
H20/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
80-72
80
72
+8
71avg 63
A23/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
74-70
74
70
+4
62avg 63
H29/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
15-27
24-23
29-21
23-15
25-16
16-16
12-17
12-21
23-15
17-13
17-14
21-20
15-20
19-11
12-18
27-24
21-22
21-30
22-17
14-16
21-19
9-22
28-20
21-14
19-15
12-24
16-5
15-13
22-21
25-14
15-20
17-19
24-17
19-17
20-19
23-15
13-22
22-20
16-13
148.6Avg total
75.7Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.570.9145.4+3.661%
Season at home (10)74.268.3142.5+5.970%
Season away (8)74.974.2149.1+0.650%
Last 10 (10)75.772.9148.6+2.860%
Last 5 (5)74.269.0143.2+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)60.485.3145.7-24.915%
vs Similar (10)73.573.4146.9+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)74.764.0138.7+10.786%
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
Luis Matte LarrainAleman
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Luis Matte LarrainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H12/05
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A19/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H19/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H26/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A02/06
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H15/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A16/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H29/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A30/06
LNB 2
69.6Avg total
33.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)32.736.769.3-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (9)34.833.368.1+1.456%-
Last 30 away (9)30.640.070.6-9.411%-
Last 10 (9)33.136.469.6-3.333%-
Last 5 (5)33.237.270.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)30.737.468.1-6.618%-
vs Similar (5)33.633.066.6+0.660%-
vs Weaker (2)41.042.083.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Aleman) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlemanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colo Colo
#1
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A12/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H18/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A25/05
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H01/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H08/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A15/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H20/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A23/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H29/06
LNB 2
76.1Avg total
38.6Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)35.138.974.0-3.739%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.938.374.2-2.333%-
Last 30 away (13)34.239.573.8-5.346%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.576.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.272.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)29.344.774.0-15.38%-
vs Similar (10)38.134.872.9+3.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.834.075.8+7.867%-
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Luis Matte Larraintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luis Matte Larrain: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.719.2
43.9%
44.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.15.7
28.4%
28.7%17.1
🏀 Free throws15.910.5
66.0%
63.6%10.5
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alemantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aleman: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.019.9
47.4%
44.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.47.8
25.7%
28.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.511.7
63.2%
63.6%11.7
They take 72.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Luis Matte Larrain
LLLLLLWLWL
Aleman
WWWWLLLWWL
#9
League position
#3
-8.0
Net rating
+4.1
87.8
Offensive rating
96.0
95.8
Defensive rating
91.9
43.5%
Effective FG%
43.6%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
19.6%
Turnover %
18.0%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
35.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
28.4%
3-point %
25.7%
55.8%
Assist %
53.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence87.8 · 96.0Defence95.8 · 91.9Shooting43.5% · 43.6%3-point %28.4% · 25.7%Ball care19.6% · 18.0%Off. rebounds26.8% · 35.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Luis Matte Larrain   ■ Aleman
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Luis Matte Larrain wins
1
Aleman wins
DateGameScore
04/05/24Aleman v Luis Matte Larrain80-66
Luis Matte Larrainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/06/24ASergio Ceppi57-80
29/06/24HMunicipal Chillan49-64
16/06/24AColo Colo62-98
15/06/24HArabe Valparaiso66-70
02/06/24ABoston C. C.72-75
26/05/24HBrisas58-70
19/05/24HArturo Prat San Felipe94-92
19/05/24ATruenos De Talca72-75
12/05/24HStadio Italiano62-51
04/05/24AAleman66-80
Alemanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/06/24HBrisas74-70
23/06/24AArturo Prat San Felipe80-72
20/06/24HTruenos De Talca77-68
15/06/24AStadio Italiano68-58
08/06/24HBoston C. C.72-77
01/06/24HSergio Ceppi91-93
25/05/24AMunicipal Chillan67-69
19/05/24HQuilpue Basquetbol69-63
18/05/24HArabe Valparaiso76-64
12/05/24AColo Colo83-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Luis Matte Larrain
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeWWLLL56%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%56%12%
Points / game66.869.064.4
Allowed / game72.768.477.5
Point differential-5.9+0.6-13.1
Avg total139.5137.4141.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aleman
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW61%
HomeWLLWW70%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %61%70%50%
Points / game74.574.274.9
Allowed / game70.968.374.2
Point differential+3.6+5.9+0.6
Avg total145.4142.5149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo17170100%84.962.5+22.4
2 Stadio Italiano1811761%68.263.4+4.7
3 Truenos De Talca1811761%71.767.2+4.5
4 Aleman1811761%74.570.9+3.6
5 Sergio Ceppi2012860%73.472.0+1.4
6 Boston C. C.1810856%70.668.3+2.3
7 Municipal Chillan1881044%62.566.6-4.1
8 Arabe Valparaiso167944%65.771.4-5.8
9 Quilpue Basquetbol1981142%64.869.7-4.9
10 Luis Matte Larrain1761135%66.872.7-5.9
11 Brisas1741324%67.270.7-3.5
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe1821611%70.385.0-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Luis Matte Larrain2919222090
Aleman2527231489
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