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Luiss Roma vs Monferrato Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 79-74
22-18 22-17 17-24 18-15
Position#22
Record2-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game88.9
vs
Position#24
Record3-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game86.1
ItalySerie A2Round 12· Palazzetto dello Sport
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Luiss Roma winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monferrato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Luiss RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#20
W
79-71
79
71
+8
73avg 63
H07/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
77-101
77
101
-24
64avg 63
A11/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
77-108
77
108
-31
72avg 63
A16/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
71-79
71
79
-8
56avg 63
H21/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
62-70
62
70
-8
40avg 63
A29/10
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
76-86
76
86
-10
66avg 63
H01/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
65-90
65
90
-25
51avg 63
H05/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
89-102
89
102
-13
82avg 63
A11/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
84-106
84
106
-22
78avg 63
H18/11
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
69-87
69
87
-18
49avg 63
A26/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
23-22
19-19
16-14
21-24
24-29
16-22
16-26
21-23
19-36
19-29
18-20
21-21
17-20
12-17
21-21
13-20
13-18
20-12
16-20
24-14
27-26
15-24
10-22
15-25
20-15
10-22
20-28
27-20
27-24
17-25
18-33
14-28
31-22
15-30
24-26
24-23
23-23
9-17
13-24
164.9Avg total
74.9Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.388.9164.2-13.618%
Season at home (5)75.086.4161.4-11.420%
Season away (6)75.591.0166.5-15.517%
Last 10 (10)74.990.0164.9-15.110%
Last 5 (5)76.694.2170.8-17.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.895.3171.2-19.50%
vs Similar ◀ (5)74.681.2155.8-6.640%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonferrato
Date
Competition
Trapani
#1
L
85-91
85
91
-6
83avg 71
A07/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
77-78
77
78
-1
70avg 71
A11/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
76-74
76
74
+2
64avg 71
H14/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
97-92
97
92
+5
88avg 71
H21/10
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
79-88
79
88
-9
64avg 71
A29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
66-74
66
74
-8
50avg 71
H01/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
98-112
98
112
-14
81avg 71
A05/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
71-86
71
86
-15
63avg 71
H12/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
64avg 71
A19/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
97-83
97
83
+14
92avg 71
H25/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
28-16
17-21
17-22
23-22
15-20
25-22
14-14
15-16
21-25
18-18
22-15
22-17
19-26
23-19
33-30
15-16
22-24
20-17
22-31
17-16
15-20
14-9
20-29
25-32
19-28
27-19
27-33
17-28
10-21
28-16
16-21
19-26
12-23
16-14
27-27
21-12
22-25
25-25
29-21
168.8Avg total
82.0Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.686.1167.7-4.527%
Season at home (6)80.881.3162.2-0.550%
Season away (5)82.691.8174.4-9.20%
Last 10 (10)82.086.8168.8-4.830%
Last 5 (5)81.289.0170.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.087.1167.1-7.129%
vs Similar ◀ (22)79.678.3157.9+1.345%
vs Weaker (1)78.088.0166.0-10.00%
This opponent (Luiss Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
Luiss RomaMonferrato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Luiss RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#20
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H07/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A11/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A16/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H21/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A29/10
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H01/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H05/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A11/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H18/11
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A26/11
Serie A2
87.4Avg total
42.5Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)42.544.386.7-1.845%-
Last 30 at home (5)42.641.884.4+0.840%-
Last 30 away (6)42.346.388.7-4.050%-
Last 10 (10)42.544.987.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)46.444.090.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.246.789.8-3.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.641.483.0+0.260%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#1
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A07/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A11/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H14/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H21/10
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H01/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A05/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H12/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A19/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H25/11
Serie A2
82.5Avg total
38.0Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.877.6-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.737.575.3+0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)39.740.179.9-0.453%-
Last 10 (10)38.044.582.5-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)35.446.281.6-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.744.684.3-4.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)38.436.875.2+1.659%-
vs Weaker (1)39.043.082.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Luiss Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Luiss Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luiss Roma: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.516.4
49.0%
50.3%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.8
31.2%
34.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.414.8
72.5%
74.2%14.8
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monferratotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monferrato: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.516.4
49.0%
50.3%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.0
35.0%
34.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.415.6
72.9%
74.2%15.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Luiss Roma
LLLLLLLLLW
Monferrato
WLLLLLWWLL
#22
League position
#24
-20.5
Net rating
-5.9
101.1
Offensive rating
104.4
121.6
Defensive rating
110.3
48.0%
Effective FG%
50.7%
62.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
19.5%
Turnover %
14.7%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
20.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.2%
3-point %
35.0%
50.0%
Assist %
55.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 104.4Defence121.6 · 110.3Shooting48.0% · 50.7%3-point %31.2% · 35.0%Ball care19.5% · 14.7%Off. rebounds31.8% · 20.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Luiss Roma   ■ Monferrato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Luiss Roma wins
0
Monferrato wins
DateGameScore
01/10/23Monferrato v Luiss Roma78-79
Luiss Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23ATreviglio69-87
18/11/23HTrapani84-106
11/11/23AUrania Milano89-102
05/11/23HSebastiani Rieti65-90
01/11/23HLatina76-86
29/10/23AAgrigento62-70
21/10/23HBasket Torino71-79
16/10/23ACantu77-108
11/10/23AJuVi Cremona77-101
07/10/23HVigevano79-71
Monferratolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23HUrania Milano97-83
19/11/23ACantu74-90
12/11/23HLatina71-86
05/11/23ABasket Torino98-112
01/11/23HJuVi Cremona66-74
29/10/23ATreviglio79-88
21/10/23HSebastiani Rieti97-92
14/10/23HAgrigento76-74
11/10/23AVigevano77-78
07/10/23ATrapani85-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Luiss Roma
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %18%20%17%
Points / game75.375.075.5
Allowed / game88.986.491.0
Point differential-13.6-11.4-15.5
Avg total164.2161.4166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Monferrato
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW27%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%50%0%
Points / game81.680.882.6
Allowed / game86.181.391.8
Point differential-4.5-0.5-9.2
Avg total167.7162.2174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1110191%93.580.3+13.2
2 Fortitudo Bologna119282%78.972.7+6.2
3 Udine118373%82.273.3+8.9
4 Cantu118373%89.782.2+7.5
5 Forli118373%78.974.3+4.6
6 Trieste118373%78.674.7+3.9
7 Verona128467%76.472.0+4.4
8 Treviglio128467%85.483.5+1.9
9 Basket Torino117464%85.280.7+4.5
10 Nardo117464%79.583.5-4.0
11 Urania Milano127558%85.284.8+0.4
12 JuVi Cremona116555%88.684.1+4.5
13 Sebastiani Rieti116555%82.479.7+2.6
14 Assigeco Piacenza115645%80.779.7+1.0
15 Cento115645%75.878.0-2.2
16 Vigevano114736%81.084.5-3.5
17 Agrigento114736%75.880.1-4.3
18 Monferrato113827%81.686.1-4.5
19 Cividale123925%74.277.3-3.2
20 Rimini112918%73.878.4-4.5
21 Orzinuovi112918%70.076.2-6.2
22 Latina112918%78.987.9-9.0
23 Chiusi112918%64.873.9-9.1
24 Luiss Roma112918%75.388.9-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Luiss Roma2222171879
Monferrato1817241574
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