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Luiss Roma vs Treviglio Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 67-61
29-24 9-12 11-7 18-18
Position#22
Record7-14
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game86.8
vs
Position#16
Record11-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game82.0
ItalySerie A2Round 22· Palazzetto dello Sport
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Luiss Roma winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Treviglio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Luiss RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Monferrato
#24
W
79-74
79
74
+5
69avg 72
H02/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
71-61
71
61
+10
68avg 72
A06/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
89-92
89
92
-3
78avg 72
H09/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
93-101 OT
93
101
-8
no box
H17/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
98-105
98
105
-7
87avg 72
A22/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
83-80
83
80
+3
129avg 72
H30/12
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
94-88
94
88
+6
88avg 72
A06/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
72-81
72
81
-9
67avg 72
A14/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
84-80
84
80
+4
77avg 72
H20/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
72avg 72
A28/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
22-17
17-24
18-15
22-20
20-15
11-9
18-17
17-11
27-26
13-28
32-27
23-23
22-24
18-20
26-22
26-29
17-26
25-22
30-28
17-18
17-20
24-25
25-17
28-26
17-18
24-18
25-26
19-18
23-23
13-17
17-23
23-21
20-25
13-18
28-16
21-15
14-23
26-25
17-19
168.5Avg total
84.1Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.586.8166.2-7.333%
Season at home (10)80.385.9166.2-5.640%
Season away (11)78.787.5166.3-8.827%
Last 10 (10)84.184.4168.5-0.350%
Last 5 (5)82.282.2164.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.092.8172.8-12.89%
vs Similar (10)78.980.1159.0-1.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviglio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviglio
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
L
79-81
79
81
-2
76avg 78
A01/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
69-75
69
75
-6
65avg 78
H06/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
76-85
76
85
-9
66avg 78
A10/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
72-74
72
74
-2
62avg 78
H17/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
92-72
92
72
+20
98avg 78
H23/12
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
86-67
86
67
+19
84avg 78
A30/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
68-90
68
90
-22
58avg 78
H06/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
69-93
69
93
-24
62avg 78
A13/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
80-87
80
87
-7
77avg 78
A20/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
84-76 OT
84
76
+8
no box
H28/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
21-11
23-21
13-18
12-25
21-18
18-16
18-16
17-23
20-12
15-30
24-20
17-19
20-23
18-12
17-20
23-21
21-11
23-19
25-21
27-11
26-22
21-20
12-14
13-26
15-21
24-18
16-25
17-18
16-24
21-26
15-25
32-20
11-18
21-32
16-17
22-19
15-19
18-25
17-9
157.5Avg total
77.5Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.082.0163.9+0.052%
Season at home (11)83.282.5165.6+0.755%
Season away (10)80.681.4162.0-0.850%
Last 10 (10)77.580.0157.5-2.530%
Last 5 (5)77.482.6160.0-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.587.7166.2-9.233%
vs Similar (13)83.978.8162.8+5.154%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.075.5156.5+5.564%
This opponent (Luiss Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
Luiss RomaTreviglio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Luiss RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monferrato
#24
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H02/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A06/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H17/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A22/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H30/12
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A06/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A14/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H20/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A28/01
Serie A2
83.3Avg total
41.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)42.143.085.1-0.948%-
Last 30 at home (10)42.341.283.5+1.140%-
Last 30 away (11)41.944.686.5-2.755%-
Last 10 (10)41.741.683.3+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.481.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)42.546.188.5-3.627%-
vs Similar (10)41.739.681.3+2.170%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviglio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A01/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H06/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A10/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H17/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H23/12
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A30/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H06/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A13/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A20/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H28/01
Serie A2
78.0Avg total
38.8Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.482.1+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.941.482.3-0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)42.739.181.9+3.671%-
Last 10 (10)38.839.278.0-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.678.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.542.582.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (13)43.340.784.0+2.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.138.879.9+2.345%-
This opponent (Luiss Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Luiss Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luiss Roma: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.015.7
50.6%
50.3%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.511.3
33.7%
34.1%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.315.4
75.9%
74.2%15.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevigliotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviglio: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.817.0
53.5%
50.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.2
34.6%
34.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.215.2
79.2%
74.2%15.2
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Luiss Roma
LWLWWLLLWW
Treviglio
WLLLWWLLLL
#22
League position
#16
-2.3
Net rating
-1.8
109.0
Offensive rating
104.4
111.3
Defensive rating
106.1
50.6%
Effective FG%
52.7%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.1%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
15.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.7%
3-point %
34.6%
57.8%
Assist %
71.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 104.4Defence111.3 · 106.1Shooting50.6% · 52.7%3-point %33.7% · 34.6%Ball care15.8% · 16.1%Off. rebounds29.7% · 15.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Luiss Roma   ■ Treviglio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Luiss Roma wins
1
Treviglio wins
DateGameScore
26/11/23Treviglio v Luiss Roma87-69
Luiss Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24ATrapani78-82
20/01/24HUrania Milano84-80
14/01/24ASebastiani Rieti72-81
06/01/24ALatina94-88
30/12/23HAgrigento83-80
22/12/23ABasket Torino98-105
17/12/23HCantu93-101 OT
09/12/23HJuVi Cremona89-92
06/12/23AVigevano71-61
02/12/23HMonferrato79-74
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HLatina84-76 OT
20/01/24AJuVi Cremona80-87
13/01/24ATrapani69-93
06/01/24HVigevano68-90
30/12/23AMonferrato86-67
23/12/23HAgrigento92-72
17/12/23HBasket Torino72-74
10/12/23ASebastiani Rieti76-85
06/12/23HCantu69-75
01/12/23AUrania Milano79-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Luiss Roma
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL33%
HomeWLLWW40%
AwayWLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %33%40%27%
Points / game79.580.378.7
Allowed / game86.885.987.5
Point differential-7.3-5.6-8.8
Avg total166.2166.2166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Treviglio
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW52%
HomeLLWLW55%
AwayLLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%55%50%
Points / game82.083.280.6
Allowed / game82.082.581.4
Point differential+0.0+0.7-0.8
Avg total163.9165.6162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%18%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %10%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2120195%91.977.0+14.8
2 Fortitudo Bologna2117481%76.870.9+5.9
3 Forli2117481%79.273.6+5.6
4 Cantu2116576%88.679.9+8.7
5 Udine2115671%79.069.5+9.5
6 Verona2114767%76.071.9+4.1
7 Basket Torino2114767%85.282.0+3.2
8 Trieste2114767%80.377.3+3.0
9 Sebastiani Rieti2113862%81.979.2+2.7
10 JuVi Cremona2112957%87.585.2+2.2
11 Treviglio21111052%82.082.0+0.0
12 Urania Milano21111052%83.784.3-0.7
13 Assigeco Piacenza2191243%75.874.7+1.1
14 Rimini2181338%77.077.0+0.0
15 Vigevano2181338%78.782.1-3.4
16 Cento2181338%73.278.4-5.2
17 Nardo2181338%76.383.1-6.8
18 Cividale2171433%73.677.2-3.7
19 Luiss Roma2171433%79.586.8-7.3
20 Agrigento2161529%75.881.2-5.4
21 Orzinuovi2151624%72.676.4-3.8
22 Monferrato2151624%79.985.0-5.1
23 Chiusi2141719%65.075.0-10.0
24 Latina2131814%78.988.6-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Luiss Roma299111867
Treviglio241271861
← all games of the day
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