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Lund W vs AIK Basket W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 80-73
16-23 24-17 17-14 23-19
Position#9
Record3-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game80.9
Lund W 🏆
Sweden
vs
AIK Basket W
Sweden
Position#5
Record9-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game73.2
SwedenBasketligan W· Eoshallen
Women2025-26
Meetings · Lund W v AIK Basket W
16 Jan 2027
LUND v AIK
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
LUND80
AIK 73
15 Feb 2025
LUND80
AIK 66
04 Nov 2023
LUND74
AIK 69
25 Nov 2017
LUND68
AIK 40
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lund W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#6
W
71-65
71
65
+6
47avg 64
H11/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
61-69
61
69
-8
51avg 64
A19/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
81-90
81
90
-9
72avg 64
H22/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
66-79
66
79
-13
48avg 64
A26/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
L
63-67
63
67
-4
53avg 64
A01/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
69-73
69
73
-4
63avg 64
A22/11
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
83-95
83
95
-12
70avg 64
A30/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
103-94 OT
103
94
+9
88avg 64
H06/12
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
77avg 64
H13/12
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
64avg 64
A17/12
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
18-16
14-13
16-12
23-19
12-12
15-16
11-22
23-17
23-24
18-28
17-21
8-12
22-23
11-24
25-20
17-22
19-12
11-17
16-16
26-19
10-18
23-18
10-18
23-23
17-25
17-26
26-21
16-18
20-21
29-19
20-27
18-16
14-17
16-18
19-16
23-24
12-18
19-20
23-23
155.3Avg total
75.8Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.980.9156.8-5.025%
Season at home (5)82.883.0165.8-0.260%
Season away (7)71.079.4150.4-8.40%
Last 10 (10)75.879.5155.3-3.730%
Last 5 (5)83.285.0168.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)73.785.6159.3-11.910%
vs Similar (2)90.089.5179.5+0.550%
vs Weaker (8)77.873.4151.1+4.450%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ostersund W
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
62avg 65
H11/10
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
73-88
73
88
-15
50avg 65
A18/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
74avg 65
A22/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
91-63
91
63
+28
79avg 65
A25/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
77-73
77
73
+4
67avg 65
H01/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
73-69
73
69
+4
48avg 65
H22/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
58avg 65
H26/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
90-75
90
75
+15
78avg 65
H06/12
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
64-60
64
60
+4
47avg 65
H13/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 65
H17/12
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
18-23
21-21
14-23
22-19
20-24
19-28
12-17
21-20
26-17
18-23
19-20
23-18
27-16
23-10
18-19
18-18
26-20
14-16
19-19
19-26
18-10
18-23
18-10
23-20
22-21
16-19
14-27
19-20
29-22
14-12
28-21
20-10
18-15
18-12
8-23
18-19
16-11
22-19
22-21
152.9Avg total
77.8Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.873.2153.9+7.675%
Season at home (7)75.774.3150.0+1.471%
Season away (5)87.871.6159.4+16.280%
Last 10 (10)77.875.1152.9+2.770%
Last 5 (5)76.072.2148.2+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.685.2157.8-12.725%
vs Similar (6)78.075.3153.3+2.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)78.970.2149.1+8.875%
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.8-2.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.8-2.8
Lund WAIK Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A19/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H22/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A26/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A01/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A22/11
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A30/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H06/12
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H13/12
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A17/12
Basketligan W
74.7Avg total
36.7Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.140.476.5-4.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.538.875.3-2.350%-
Last 30 away (16)35.841.877.6-6.119%-
Last 10 (10)36.738.074.7-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.875.6-4.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)36.242.979.1-6.725%-
vs Similar (2)35.540.576.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker (8)36.034.170.1+1.962%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostersund W
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H11/10
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A22/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A25/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H01/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H22/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H26/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H06/12
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H13/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H17/12
Basketligan W
79.1Avg total
42.3Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.375.8+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.936.974.8+1.165%-
Last 30 away (13)39.237.877.1+1.446%-
Last 10 (10)42.336.879.1+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)40.434.875.2+5.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.242.580.7-4.333%-
vs Similar (6)42.037.079.0+5.083%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)37.132.269.3+4.867%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.520.8
40.4%
46.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.05.7
27.1%
31.2%17.1
🏀 Free throws22.016.3
74.1%
72.5%16.3
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.319.9
43.9%
46.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.4
30.6%
31.2%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.815.4
77.8%
72.5%15.4
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lund W
LWWLLLLLLW
AIK Basket W
WWWLWWWWLL
#9
League position
#5
-4.7
Net rating
+4.1
87.9
Offensive rating
99.8
92.6
Defensive rating
95.7
40.5%
Effective FG%
44.6%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
21.3%
Turnover %
17.5%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
27.1%
3-point %
30.6%
58.9%
Assist %
58.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence87.9 · 99.8Defence92.6 · 95.7Shooting40.5% · 44.6%3-point %27.1% · 30.6%Ball care21.3% · 17.5%Off. rebounds31.2% · 31.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Lund W   ■ AIK Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Lund W wins
2
AIK Basket W wins
DateGameScore
22/11/25AIK Basket W v Lund W73-69
15/02/25Lund W v AIK Basket W80-66
02/11/24AIK Basket W v Lund W104-97
03/02/24AIK Basket W v Lund W78-80 OT
04/11/23Lund W v AIK Basket W74-69
17/03/18AIK Basket W v Lund W67-83
25/11/17Lund W v AIK Basket W68-40
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25AMalbas Malmo W77-85
13/12/25HBrahe W84-78 OT
06/12/25HAlvik W103-94 OT
30/11/25AHogsbo W83-95
22/11/25AAIK Basket W69-73
01/11/25ABrahe W63-67
26/10/25AUppsala W66-79
22/10/25HLulea W81-90
19/10/25ASodertalje W61-69
11/10/25HSodertalje W71-65
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25HAlvik W78-70
13/12/25HRIG Lulea W64-60
06/12/25HNorrkoping W90-75
26/11/25HUppsala W75-87
22/11/25HLund W73-69
01/11/25HHogsbo W77-73
25/10/25AVisby W91-63
22/10/25ASodertalje W84-80
18/10/25AMalbas Malmo W73-88
11/10/25HOstersund W73-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lund W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL25%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %25%60%0%
Points / game75.982.871.0
Allowed / game80.983.079.4
Point differential-5.0-0.2-8.4
Avg total156.8165.8150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %17%40%0%
AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%71%80%
Points / game80.875.787.8
Allowed / game73.274.371.6
Point differential+7.6+1.4+16.2
Avg total153.9150.0159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%14%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W1211192%90.263.4+26.8
2 Uppsala W1513287%82.471.5+10.9
3 AIK Basket W129375%80.873.2+7.6
4 Hogsbo W128467%86.771.8+14.9
5 Norrkoping W127558%81.875.2+6.5
6 Ostersund W116555%81.275.5+5.6
7 Malbas Malmo W137654%76.880.7-3.8
8 Sodertalje W126650%78.068.5+9.5
9 Alvik W114736%72.574.0-1.5
10 Brahe W124833%70.272.4-2.2
11 Lund W123925%75.980.9-5.0
12 Visby W131128%57.984.5-26.6
13 RIG Lulea W131128%48.587.6-39.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lund W1624172380
AIK Basket W2317141973
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