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Lund W vs AIK Basket W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 13:30
Scheduled
Position#11
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.5
Allowed / game78.3
Lund W
Sweden
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
5.6/10
Above normal
AIK Basket W
Sweden
Position#9
Record1-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game84.2
SwedenBasketligan WRound 14· Eoshallen
Women2026-27
Meetings · Lund W v AIK Basket W
16 Jan 2027
LUND v AIK
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
LUND80
AIK 73
15 Feb 2025
LUND80
AIK 66
04 Nov 2023
LUND74
AIK 69
25 Nov 2017
LUND68
AIK 40
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lund W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
85-92 OT
85
92
-7
56avg 58
H24/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
86-48
86
48
+38
76avg 58
A01/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
62-82
62
82
-20
43avg 58
A07/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
85-73
85
73
+12
68avg 58
A21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
65-74
65
74
-9
no box
A03/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
60-68
60
68
-8
50avg 58
H11/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
L
63-71
63
71
-8
59avg 58
A19/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
51-88
51
88
-37
43avg 58
H25/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
53-80
53
80
-27
42avg 58
A01/11
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
65-89
65
89
-24
no box
H07/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
16-14
6-22
22-17
26-14
22-11
12-12
26-11
17-25
13-16
17-17
15-24
22-18
19-20
24-18
20-17
15-19
14-25
19-17
17-13
12-22
20-8
15-22
13-16
17-19
23-11
12-26
11-15
20-17
7-25
11-19
13-27
12-26
15-23
11-17
15-14
8-21
23-18
14-29
20-21
144.0Avg total
67.5Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)59.578.3137.8-18.80%
Season at home (3)58.781.7140.3-23.00%
Season away (3)60.375.0135.3-14.70%
Last 10 (10)67.576.5144.0-9.020%
Last 5 (5)58.479.2137.6-20.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)68.781.4150.1-12.711%
vs Similar ◀ (5)82.683.0165.6-0.440%
vs Weaker (6)84.766.5151.2+18.283%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
69-66
69
66
+3
58avg 61
H07/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
68-66
68
66
+2
66avg 61
H21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
61-79
61
79
-18
43avg 61
A27/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
68-77
68
77
-9
55avg 61
H29/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
76-87
76
87
-11
56avg 61
A04/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
56-80
56
80
-24
43avg 61
A09/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#11
W
71-63
71
63
+8
64avg 61
H19/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
59-89
59
89
-30
40avg 61
A24/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
66-97
66
97
-31
59avg 61
H31/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
56-89
56
89
-33
no box
H07/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-20
20-14
20-15
20-17
28-20
13-21
16-10
11-15
21-18
15-21
11-24
14-16
13-15
10-17
20-20
25-25
14-23
25-19
22-19
15-26
12-16
10-21
18-22
16-21
19-17
11-23
26-12
15-11
17-23
19-18
13-26
10-22
17-22
16-20
18-31
15-24
16-25
11-22
13-20
16-22
144.3Avg total
65.0Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)64.084.2148.2-20.217%
Season at home (3)64.383.0147.3-18.733%
Season away (3)63.785.3149.0-21.70%
Last 10 (10)65.079.3144.3-14.330%
Last 5 (5)61.683.6145.2-22.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)65.285.2150.4-20.010%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.975.9151.8+0.067%
vs Weaker (11)79.168.8147.9+10.373%
This opponent (Lund W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -4.2-4.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -4.2-4.2
Lund WAIK Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H24/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A01/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A07/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A03/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H11/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A19/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H25/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A01/11
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H07/11
Basketligan W
71.4Avg total
34.6Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.838.874.5-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.037.773.7-1.733%-
Last 30 away (15)35.539.975.4-4.340%-
Last 10 (10)34.636.871.4-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)31.438.069.4-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)34.141.575.5-7.421%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.635.874.4+2.860%-
vs Weaker (6)38.832.771.5+6.267%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H07/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A27/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H29/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A04/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A09/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#11
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H19/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A24/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H31/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H07/11
Basketligan W
71.1Avg total
31.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.037.575.5+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.237.173.2-0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)40.138.078.1+2.143%-
Last 10 (10)31.639.571.1-7.90%-
Last 5 (5)29.641.471.0-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.041.175.1-7.130%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.838.977.7-0.144%-
vs Weaker (11)41.033.174.1+7.964%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.618.7
40.1%
46.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.0
27.3%
30.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.412.5
67.9%
71.1%12.5
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.118.3
44.5%
46.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.4
28.2%
30.7%19.2
🏀 Free throws17.613.6
77.3%
71.1%13.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lund W
LLLLLLWLWL
AIK Basket W
LLLWLLLLWW
#11
League position
#9
-7.5
Net rating
-4.3
72.5
Offensive rating
77.8
80.0
Defensive rating
82.0
40.4%
Effective FG%
43.7%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
19.0%
Turnover %
19.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
27.3%
3-point %
28.2%
56.0%
Assist %
64.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence72.5 · 77.8Defence80.0 · 82.0Shooting40.4% · 43.7%3-point %27.3% · 28.2%Ball care19.0% · 19.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Lund W   ■ AIK Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lund W wins
3
AIK Basket W wins
DateGameScore
19/10/26AIK Basket W v Lund W71-63
20/12/25Lund W v AIK Basket W80-73
22/11/25AIK Basket W v Lund W73-69
15/02/25Lund W v AIK Basket W80-66
02/11/24AIK Basket W v Lund W104-97
03/02/24AIK Basket W v Lund W78-80 OT
04/11/23Lund W v AIK Basket W74-69
17/03/18AIK Basket W v Lund W67-83
25/11/17Lund W v AIK Basket W68-40
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HOnsala W65-89
01/11/26ANorrkoping W53-80
25/10/26HLulea W51-88
19/10/26AAIK Basket W63-71
11/10/26HUppsala W60-68
03/10/26AOstersund W65-74
21/03/26AAlvik W85-73
07/03/26AOstersund W62-82
01/03/26AVisby W86-48
24/02/26HMalbas Malmo W85-92 OT
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HLulea W56-89
31/10/26HOstersund W66-97
24/10/26AUppsala W59-89
19/10/26HLund W71-63
09/10/26ASodertalje W56-80
04/10/26AAlvik W76-87
29/03/26HOstersund W68-77
27/03/26AOstersund W61-79
21/03/26HSodertalje W68-66
07/03/26HMalbas Malmo W69-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lund W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game59.558.760.3
Allowed / game78.381.775.0
Point differential-18.8-23.0-14.7
Avg total137.8140.3135.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game64.064.363.7
Allowed / game84.283.085.3
Point differential-20.2-18.7-21.7
Avg total148.2147.3149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W65183%97.556.2+41.3
2 Onsala W65183%88.264.0+24.2
3 Norrkoping W65183%76.563.5+13.0
4 Alvik W65183%80.269.2+11.0
5 Sodertalje W65183%73.066.5+6.5
6 Ostersund W64267%79.877.5+2.3
7 Uppsala W63350%76.271.0+5.2
8 Visby W62433%71.375.7-4.3
9 AIK Basket W61517%64.084.2-20.2
10 Hogsbo W61517%60.386.2-25.8
11 Lund W6060%59.578.3-18.8
12 Brahe W6060%57.591.8-34.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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