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Lund W vs Alvik W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 13:30
Scheduled
Position#11
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.5
Allowed / game78.3
Lund W
Sweden
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Alvik W
Sweden
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game69.2
SwedenBasketligan WRound 18· Eoshallen
Women2026-27
Meetings · Lund W v Alvik W
20 Feb 2027
LUND v ALVI
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
LUND103
ALVI94
07 Dec 2024
LUND76
ALVI93
27 Jan 2024
LUND70
ALVI79
25 Feb 2023
LUND91
ALVI63
09 Feb 2022
LUND68
ALVI70
14 Feb 2021
LUND82
ALVI95
23 Nov 2019
LUND58
ALVI61
27 Mar 2019
LUND47
ALVI60
03 Nov 2018
LUND53
ALVI70
20 Dec 2017
LUND75
ALVI76
25 Mar 2017
LUND77
ALVI67
21 Jan 2017
LUND52
ALVI62
08 Oct 2016
LUND80
ALVI63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lund W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alvik W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
85-92 OT
85
92
-7
56avg 55
H24/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
86-48
86
48
+38
76avg 55
A01/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
62-82
62
82
-20
43avg 55
A07/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
85-73
85
73
+12
68avg 55
A21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
65-74
65
74
-9
no box
A03/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
60-68
60
68
-8
50avg 55
H11/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
L
63-71
63
71
-8
59avg 55
A19/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
51-88
51
88
-37
43avg 55
H25/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
53-80
53
80
-27
42avg 55
A01/11
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
65-89
65
89
-24
no box
H07/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
16-14
6-22
22-17
26-14
22-11
12-12
26-11
17-25
13-16
17-17
15-24
22-18
19-20
24-18
20-17
15-19
14-25
19-17
17-13
12-22
20-8
15-22
13-16
17-19
23-11
12-26
11-15
20-17
7-25
11-19
13-27
12-26
15-23
11-17
15-14
8-21
23-18
14-29
20-21
144.0Avg total
67.5Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)59.578.3137.8-18.80%
Season at home (3)58.781.7140.3-23.00%
Season away (3)60.375.0135.3-14.70%
Last 10 (10)67.576.5144.0-9.020%
Last 5 (5)58.479.2137.6-20.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)68.781.4150.1-12.711%
vs Similar (5)82.683.0165.6-0.440%
vs Weaker (6)84.766.5151.2+18.283%
This opponent (Alvik W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alvik WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#7
L
58-91
58
91
-33
44avg 60
H21/02
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
61-94
61
94
-33
49avg 60
A01/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
42-74
42
74
-32
28avg 60
A05/03
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
73-85
73
85
-12
67avg 60
H21/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
87-76
87
76
+11
68avg 60
H04/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#10
W
78-67
78
67
+11
72avg 60
A10/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
86-53
86
53
+33
78avg 60
A18/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
81-67
81
67
+14
73avg 60
A24/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
H04/11
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
69-79
69
79
-10
no box
A07/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
12-25
14-29
17-16
16-20
13-24
13-32
19-18
4-30
10-14
11-10
17-20
18-22
20-19
18-24
17-20
23-14
19-25
19-22
26-15
16-18
31-8
19-23
12-18
18-16
30-9
18-19
20-9
30-24
18-14
15-17
18-12
21-24
12-17
25-13
22-19
25-17
15-21
13-21
16-20
147.4Avg total
71.5Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.269.2149.3+11.083%
Season at home (2)83.574.5158.0+9.0100%
Season away (4)78.566.5145.0+12.075%
Last 10 (10)71.575.9147.4-4.450%
Last 5 (5)78.867.8146.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)65.683.6149.1-18.07%
vs Similar (4)81.285.5166.8-4.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.459.9140.3+20.592%
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
Lund WAlvik W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H24/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A01/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A07/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A03/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H11/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A19/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H25/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A01/11
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H07/11
Basketligan W
71.4Avg total
34.6Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.838.874.5-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.037.773.7-1.733%-
Last 30 away (15)35.539.975.4-4.340%-
Last 10 (10)34.636.871.4-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)31.438.069.4-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)34.141.575.5-7.421%-
vs Similar (5)38.635.874.4+2.860%-
vs Weaker (6)38.832.771.5+6.267%-
This opponent (Alvik W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alvik WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#7
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H21/02
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A01/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
14-44
14
44
-30
A05/03
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H21/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H04/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#10
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A10/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A18/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H04/11
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A07/11
Basketligan W
74.8Avg total
36.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.436.972.2-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.636.970.4-3.329%-
Last 30 away (16)36.936.973.8+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)36.638.274.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.233.676.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)30.941.272.1-10.414%-
vs Similar (4)36.242.278.5-6.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.330.070.3+10.375%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.618.7
40.1%
46.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.0
27.3%
30.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.412.5
67.9%
71.1%12.5
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alvik Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik W: 66.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.615.7
45.4%
46.8%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.17.8
27.8%
30.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws15.111.6
76.8%
71.1%11.6
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lund W
LLLLLLWLWL
Alvik W
LWWWWWLLLL
#11
League position
#4
-7.5
Net rating
-9.1
72.5
Offensive rating
74.6
80.0
Defensive rating
83.7
40.4%
Effective FG%
43.7%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
19.0%
Turnover %
21.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
27.3%
3-point %
27.8%
56.0%
Assist %
75.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence72.5 · 74.6Defence80.0 · 83.7Shooting40.4% · 43.7%3-point %27.3% · 27.8%Ball care19.0% · 21.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Lund W   ■ Alvik W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lund W wins
7
Alvik W wins
DateGameScore
21/03/26Alvik W v Lund W73-85
06/12/25Lund W v Alvik W103-94 OT
08/03/25Alvik W v Lund W87-75
07/12/24Lund W v Alvik W76-93
27/01/24Lund W v Alvik W70-79
21/10/23Alvik W v Lund W94-87
25/02/23Lund W v Alvik W91-63
29/10/22Alvik W v Lund W90-67
09/02/22Lund W v Alvik W68-70
27/11/21Alvik W v Lund W88-76
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HOnsala W65-89
01/11/26ANorrkoping W53-80
25/10/26HLulea W51-88
19/10/26AAIK Basket W63-71
11/10/26HUppsala W60-68
03/10/26AOstersund W65-74
21/03/26AAlvik W85-73
07/03/26AOstersund W62-82
01/03/26AVisby W86-48
24/02/26HMalbas Malmo W85-92 OT
Alvik Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AOstersund W69-79
04/11/26HUppsala W80-73
24/10/26ASodertalje W81-67
18/10/26ABrahe W86-53
10/10/26AHogsbo W78-67
04/10/26HAIK Basket W87-76
21/03/26HLund W73-85
05/03/26AUppsala W42-74
01/03/26AHogsbo W61-94
21/02/26HNorrkoping W58-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lund W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game59.558.760.3
Allowed / game78.381.775.0
Point differential-18.8-23.0-14.7
Avg total137.8140.3135.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alvik W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game80.283.578.5
Allowed / game69.274.566.5
Point differential+11.0+9.0+12.0
Avg total149.3158.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W65183%97.556.2+41.3
2 Onsala W65183%88.264.0+24.2
3 Norrkoping W65183%76.563.5+13.0
4 Alvik W65183%80.269.2+11.0
5 Sodertalje W65183%73.066.5+6.5
6 Ostersund W64267%79.877.5+2.3
7 Uppsala W63350%76.271.0+5.2
8 Visby W62433%71.375.7-4.3
9 AIK Basket W61517%64.084.2-20.2
10 Hogsbo W61517%60.386.2-25.8
11 Lund W6060%59.578.3-18.8
12 Brahe W6060%57.591.8-34.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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