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Lund W vs Marbo W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 68-93
19-26 18-13 10-26 21-28
Position#10
Record5-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game85.8
Lund W
Sweden
vs
Marbo W 🏆
Sweden
Position#6
Record8-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game75.9
SwedenBasketligan W· Eoshallen (Lund)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Lund W v Marbo W
16 Mar 2024
LUND68
MARB93
01 Feb 2023
LUND76
MARB86
09 Oct 2021
LUND62
MARB79
17 Oct 2020
LUND86
MARB80
31 Jan 2020
LUND20
MARB0
06 Oct 2018
LUND89
MARB67
30 Sep 2017
LUND78
MARB67
15 Feb 2017
LUND71
MARB80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lund W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ostersund W
#5
L
85-93
85
93
-8
80avg 53
A13/01
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
65-90
65
90
-25
48avg 53
A21/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
66-112
66
112
-46
46avg 53
A24/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
70-79
70
79
-9
55avg 53
H27/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
80-78 OT
80
78
+2
no box
A03/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
51-110
51
110
-59
38avg 53
H18/02
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
L
70-103
70
103
-33
58avg 53
A24/02
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
61-68
61
68
-7
40avg 53
A28/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
52-100
52
100
-48
34avg 53
H02/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
61-76
61
76
-15
46avg 53
A10/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-32
17-24
28-19
26-18
13-22
17-27
16-14
19-27
19-23
13-42
18-28
16-19
23-9
14-28
10-26
23-16
19-24
17-15
17-18
17-13
20-39
8-18
19-30
4-23
16-28
14-25
15-25
25-25
11-19
13-28
17-7
20-14
18-31
13-19
8-20
13-30
18-24
10-17
15-18
18-17
157.0Avg total
66.1Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)67.285.8152.9-18.625%
Season at home (10)65.980.5146.4-14.640%
Season away (10)68.491.0159.4-22.610%
Last 10 (10)66.190.9157.0-24.810%
Last 5 (5)59.091.4150.4-32.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)68.491.5159.9-23.19%
vs Similar (6)81.871.8153.7+10.083%
vs Weaker (1)81.068.0149.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Marbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Marbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#1
L
46-99
46
99
-53
27avg 57
A10/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
65-67
65
67
-2
50avg 57
H14/01
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
90-65
90
65
+25
87avg 57
H21/01
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
81-58
81
58
+23
86avg 57
H24/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
78-72
78
72
+6
69avg 57
A29/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
56-98
56
98
-42
41avg 57
A18/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
54-79
54
79
-25
34avg 57
H25/02
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
85-58
85
58
+27
84avg 57
A28/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
73-97
73
97
-24
65avg 57
A01/03
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
W
62-61
62
61
+1
52avg 57
H10/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-29
9-25
14-20
14-25
15-14
21-25
16-17
13-11
22-13
27-17
14-16
27-19
24-15
25-15
17-15
15-13
14-20
16-23
24-12
24-17
14-30
18-20
16-24
8-24
23-15
13-27
8-17
10-20
23-16
18-15
22-10
22-17
27-23
16-18
12-27
18-29
8-11
21-17
15-10
18-23
144.4Avg total
69.0Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)67.675.9143.5-8.442%
Season at home (9)68.371.1139.4-2.844%
Season away (10)66.980.3147.2-13.440%
Last 10 (10)69.075.4144.4-6.450%
Last 5 (5)66.078.6144.6-12.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)63.989.1153.1-25.26%
vs Similar (7)77.972.0149.9+5.971%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)84.468.0152.4+16.486%
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: -8.0-8.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -10.7-10.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.9-2.9
-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: -8.0-8.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -10.7-10.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.9-2.9
Lund WMarbo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostersund W
#5
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A13/01
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A21/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
32-65
32
65
-33
A24/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H27/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A03/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
28-57
28
57
-29
H18/02
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A24/02
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A28/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H02/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A10/03
Basketligan W
80.1Avg total
30.7Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.346.081.4-10.720%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.940.578.3-2.640%-
Last 30 away (15)32.851.684.4-18.80%-
Last 10 (10)30.749.480.1-18.70%-
Last 5 (5)28.249.677.8-21.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)32.749.281.9-16.54%-
vs Similar (6)44.534.779.2+9.883%-
vs Weaker (1)41.041.082.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Marbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Marbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#1
L
18-54
18
54
-36
A10/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/01
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H21/01
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H24/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A29/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A18/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H25/02
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A28/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A01/03
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H10/03
Basketligan W
75.1Avg total
36.3Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.442.578.8-6.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.739.477.1-1.743%-
Last 30 away (16)35.245.180.3-9.925%-
Last 10 (10)36.338.875.1-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.238.474.6-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.845.378.1-12.625%-
vs Similar (7)40.742.383.0-1.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.336.176.4+4.157%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 64.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.415.6
36.8%
44.5%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.1
29.2%
30.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.112.4
64.9%
73.7%12.4
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Marbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marbo W: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.917.6
41.0%
44.5%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.16.8
27.1%
30.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws16.812.9
76.8%
73.7%12.9
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lund W
LLLLLWLLLL
Marbo W
WLWLLWWWLL
#10
League position
#6
-28.5
Net rating
-7.5
77.5
Offensive rating
87.5
106.0
Defensive rating
95.0
39.4%
Effective FG%
40.9%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
28.1%
Turnover %
18.8%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.2%
3-point %
27.1%
52.0%
Assist %
66.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence77.5 · 87.5Defence106.0 · 95.0Shooting39.4% · 40.9%3-point %29.2% · 27.1%Ball care28.1% · 18.8%Off. rebounds31.6% · 26.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Lund W   ■ Marbo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Lund W wins
5
Marbo W wins
DateGameScore
21/01/24Marbo W v Lund W90-65
01/02/23Lund W v Marbo W76-86
21/12/22Marbo W v Lund W81-91 OT
30/12/21Marbo W v Lund W82-78
09/10/21Lund W v Marbo W62-79
10/01/21Marbo W v Lund W98-87
17/10/20Lund W v Marbo W86-80 OT
31/01/20Lund W v Marbo W20-0
20/10/19Marbo W v Lund W49-58
13/01/19Marbo W v Lund W49-56
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24AUppsala W61-76
02/03/24HSodertalje W52-100
28/02/24ASjuharads W61-68
24/02/24AHogsbo W70-103
18/02/24HLulea W51-110
03/02/24AAIK Basket W80-78 OT
27/01/24HAlvik W70-79
24/01/24ANorrkoping W66-112
21/01/24AMarbo W65-90
13/01/24AOstersund W85-93
Marbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HHogsbo W62-61
01/03/24ALulea W73-97
28/02/24AAIK Basket W85-58
25/02/24HAlvik W54-79
18/02/24ANorrkoping W56-98
29/01/24AVisby W78-72
24/01/24HSjuharads W81-58
21/01/24HLund W90-65
14/01/24HUppsala W65-67
10/01/24ASodertalje W46-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lund W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLWLLL40%
AwayLWLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %25%40%10%
Points / game67.265.968.4
Allowed / game85.880.591.0
Point differential-18.6-14.6-22.6
Avg total152.9146.4159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Marbo W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW42%
HomeLWWLW44%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%44%40%
Points / game67.668.366.9
Allowed / game75.971.180.3
Point differential-8.4-2.8-13.4
Avg total143.5139.4147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sodertalje W2019195%87.759.0+28.6
2 Lulea W2018290%83.858.1+25.6
3 Norrkoping W2017385%82.063.6+18.4
4 Uppsala W2014670%78.871.5+7.3
5 Ostersund W1912763%75.366.4+8.8
6 Hogsbo W2091145%71.772.9-1.2
7 Marbo W1981142%67.675.9-8.4
8 Alvik W2181338%73.380.1-6.9
9 Sjuharads W2161529%60.368.6-8.3
10 Lund W2051525%67.285.8-18.6
11 Visby W2031715%61.583.6-22.1
12 AIK Basket W201195%60.482.8-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lund W1918102168
Marbo W2613262893
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