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Hogsbo W vs Lund W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 103-70
28-16 25-14 25-15 25-25
Position#7
Record8-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game72.6
Hogsbo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Lund W
Sweden
Position#10
Record5-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game85.5
SwedenBasketligan W· Gothia Arena (Göteborg)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Hogsbo W v Lund W
05 Dec 2026
HOGS v LUND
upcoming
30 Nov 2025
HOGS95
LUND83
01 Mar 2025
HOGS99
LUND83
24 Feb 2024
HOGS103
LUND70
10 Dec 2022
HOGS74
LUND82
09 Mar 2022
HOGS77
LUND59
28 Nov 2020
HOGS101
LUND60
21 Dec 2019
HOGS73
LUND59
07 Apr 2019
HOGS70
LUND64
19 Jan 2019
HOGS64
LUND69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lund W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#1
L
51-82
51
82
-31
39avg 63
H02/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
59-79
59
79
-20
49avg 63
A09/12
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
W
77-74
77
74
+3
71avg 63
H15/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
95-76
95
76
+19
92avg 63
A03/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
56-88
56
88
-32
33avg 63
H13/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
79avg 63
A24/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
87-64
87
64
+23
91avg 63
H27/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
61-73
61
73
-12
47avg 63
A02/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
59-71
59
71
-12
50avg 63
A03/02
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
72-45
72
45
+27
72avg 63
A15/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
17-11
8-22
14-28
18-14
13-22
11-21
17-22
14-13
16-20
28-13
19-28
22-14
26-22
20-21
27-19
20-20
6-19
19-26
11-23
19-25
23-14
23-18
21-25
19-12
18-21
18-14
32-17
13-20
17-15
21-28
10-10
12-19
19-17
11-12
17-23
13-11
18-17
14-10
27-7
143.7Avg total
70.3Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)70.672.6143.2-2.150%
Season at home (7)69.974.6144.4-4.757%
Season away (9)71.171.1142.2+0.044%
Last 10 (10)70.373.4143.7-3.150%
Last 5 (5)73.067.0140.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)63.783.9147.7-20.216%
vs Similar (1)59.079.0138.0-20.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)77.368.1145.4+9.280%
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sjuharads W
#9
W
65-60
65
60
+5
60avg 56
H02/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
63-114
63
114
-51
40avg 56
A09/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
71-90
71
90
-19
64avg 56
H16/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
80-61
80
61
+19
73avg 56
H06/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
85-93
85
93
-8
80avg 56
A13/01
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
65-90
65
90
-25
48avg 56
A21/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
66-112
66
112
-46
46avg 56
A24/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
70-79
70
79
-9
55avg 56
H27/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
80-78 OT
80
78
+2
no box
A03/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
51-110
51
110
-59
38avg 56
H18/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
22-21
13-17
11-11
7-23
20-37
17-30
19-24
26-27
13-18
17-12
15-33
21-18
20-10
17-15
22-18
14-32
17-24
28-19
26-18
13-22
17-27
16-14
19-27
19-23
13-42
18-28
16-19
23-9
14-28
10-26
23-16
19-24
17-15
17-18
17-13
20-39
8-18
19-30
4-23
158.3Avg total
69.6Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)68.785.5154.2-16.831%
Season at home (9)67.478.3145.8-10.944%
Season away (7)70.394.7165.0-24.414%
Last 10 (10)69.688.7158.3-19.130%
Last 5 (5)66.493.8160.2-27.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)69.492.3161.8-22.910%
vs Similar (7)83.173.1156.3+10.086%
vs Weaker (3)87.366.0153.3+21.3100%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -7.9-7.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -3.0-3.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -7.9-7.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -3.0-3.0
Hogsbo WLund W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#1
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H02/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A09/12
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H15/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A03/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H13/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A24/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H27/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A02/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A03/02
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A15/02
Basketligan W
68.2Avg total
33.5Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.938.172.1-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.138.070.1-5.921%-
Last 30 away (16)35.538.273.8-2.844%-
Last 10 (10)33.534.768.2-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.234.268.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)32.140.772.8-8.616%-
vs Similar (1)31.036.067.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)37.733.571.2+4.270%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sjuharads W
#9
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H02/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
27-60
27
60
-33
A09/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H16/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H06/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A13/01
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A21/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
32-65
32
65
-33
A24/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H27/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A03/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
28-57
28
57
-29
H18/02
Basketligan W
81.0Avg total
34.2Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.344.680.9-8.327%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.139.677.6-1.544%-
Last 30 away (14)34.450.484.7-16.07%-
Last 10 (10)34.246.881.0-12.620%-
Last 5 (5)32.649.482.0-16.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)33.049.582.5-16.45%-
vs Similar (7)42.334.777.0+7.671%-
vs Weaker (3)44.335.379.7+9.067%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 69.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.617.1
39.2%
44.5%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.0
29.9%
30.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws13.011.1
85.4%
73.7%11.1
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 68.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.616.4
36.8%
44.5%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.6
32.5%
30.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.912.7
67.2%
73.7%12.7
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
WLLWWLWWLL
Lund W
LWLLLLWLLW
#7
League position
#10
-4.7
Net rating
-22.3
90.1
Offensive rating
82.4
94.8
Defensive rating
104.7
41.3%
Effective FG%
40.9%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
21.8%
Turnover %
26.3%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.9%
3-point %
32.5%
70.9%
Assist %
55.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence90.1 · 82.4Defence94.8 · 104.7Shooting41.3% · 40.9%3-point %29.9% · 32.5%Ball care21.8% · 26.3%Off. rebounds35.3% · 32.3%Free throws0.18 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ Lund W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Hogsbo W wins
3
Lund W wins
DateGameScore
25/11/23Lund W v Hogsbo W75-69
15/02/23Lund W v Hogsbo W81-68
10/12/22Hogsbo W v Lund W74-82
09/03/22Hogsbo W v Lund W77-59
24/10/21Lund W v Hogsbo W59-69
23/01/21Lund W v Hogsbo W74-76
28/11/20Hogsbo W v Lund W101-60
21/12/19Hogsbo W v Lund W73-59
10/04/19Lund W v Hogsbo W49-80
07/04/19Hogsbo W v Lund W70-64
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24ASjuharads W72-45
03/02/24AOstersund W59-71
02/02/24ALulea W61-73
27/01/24HAIK Basket W87-64
24/01/24AAlvik W86-82
13/01/24HNorrkoping W56-88
03/01/24AVisby W95-76
15/12/23HMarbo W77-74
09/12/23AUppsala W59-79
02/12/23HSodertalje W51-82
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24HLulea W51-110
03/02/24AAIK Basket W80-78 OT
27/01/24HAlvik W70-79
24/01/24ANorrkoping W66-112
21/01/24AMarbo W65-90
13/01/24AOstersund W85-93
06/01/24HVisby W80-61
16/12/23HUppsala W71-90
09/12/23ASodertalje W63-114
02/12/23HSjuharads W65-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWLWLW57%
AwayWWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %50%57%44%
Points / game70.669.971.1
Allowed / game72.674.671.1
Point differential-2.1-4.7+0.0
Avg total143.2144.4142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lund W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL31%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %31%44%14%
Points / game68.767.470.3
Allowed / game85.578.394.7
Point differential-16.8-10.9-24.4
Avg total154.2145.8165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sodertalje W1716194%87.460.5+26.9
2 Lulea W1715288%82.457.2+25.1
3 Norrkoping W1613381%82.664.5+18.1
4 Uppsala W1611569%79.371.2+8.1
5 Ostersund W159660%75.967.0+8.9
6 Hogsbo W168850%70.672.6-2.1
7 Marbo W156940%67.376.5-9.2
8 Sjuharads W1651131%60.266.1-5.9
9 Alvik W1651131%73.282.5-9.2
10 Lund W1651131%68.785.5-16.8
11 Visby W1621412%61.285.1-23.9
12 AIK Basket W161156%60.883.9-23.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo W28252525103
Lund W1614152570
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