Lusitania vs Academica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 20:30

Final 61-76

15-23 16-15 16-20 14-18

Position#8

Record5-10

FormLWLLW

Points / game66.8

Allowed / game72.6

Lusitania

Academica 🏆

Position#3

Record10-5

FormLLWLW

Points / game71.4

Allowed / game68.1

LPBRound 18

Other2012-13

Meetings · Lusitania v Academica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Academica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Academica

55-66

-11

A01/12

LPB

Barcelos

80-81 OT

-1

H15/12

LPB

Sampaense

74-77

-3

A22/12

LPB

Vitoria

71-64

H05/01

LPB

Torres Vedras

67-54

+13

H12/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

64-90

-26

A18/01

LPB

Barreirense

#11

75-73

A20/01

LPB

Ovarense

45-55

-10

H02/02

LPB

Benfica

61-70

-9

H16/02

LPB

Alges

#10

77-73

A02/03

LPB

14-14

17-19

14-11

10-22

14-18

16-20

16-9

26-25

12-20

17-13

20-15

25-29

18-18

12-16

21-13

20-17

15-12

14-17

22-13

16-12

16-17

10-17

19-22

19-34

19-15

13-15

18-13

25-30

17-9

10-10

9-18

12-11

21-21

14-22

14-16

19-13

24-17

9-27

25-16

137.2Avg total

66.9Scored

70.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	66.8	72.6	139.4	-5.8	33%
Season at home (7)	67.9	69.1	137.0	-1.3	29%
Season away (8)	65.9	75.6	141.5	-9.8	38%
Last 10 (10)	66.9	70.3	137.2	-3.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	64.4	72.2	136.6	-7.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	65.7	75.0	140.7	-9.3	37%
vs Similar (10)	72.3	74.0	146.3	-1.7	40%
vs Weaker (1)	79.0	67.0	146.0	+12.0	100%

This opponent (Academica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Academica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

73-78

-5

A02/12

LPB

Barcelos

88-85

A08/12

LPB

Sampaense

72-49

+23

H15/12

LPB

Vitoria

82-70

+12

A22/12

LPB

Torres Vedras

70-63

H06/01

LPB

Barreirense

#11

70-76

-6

H12/01

LPB

Ovarense

63-66

-3

A19/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

62-60

H02/02

LPB

Benfica

79-93

-14

A10/02

LPB

Alges

#10

80-76

H16/02

LPB

12-15

13-19

22-28

26-16

17-17

20-26

25-23

26-19

16-11

17-18

16-7

23-13

18-17

24-20

20-25

20-8

15-24

23-7

10-13

22-19

13-21

20-18

13-16

24-21

17-14

13-17

21-20

12-15

16-14

17-16

17-13

12-17

26-20

13-26

21-24

19-23

30-18

11-20

18-20

21-18

145.5Avg total

73.9Scored

71.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	71.4	68.1	139.5	+3.3	67%
Season at home (8)	67.4	63.0	130.4	+4.4	75%
Season away (7)	76.0	73.9	149.9	+2.1	57%
Last 10 (10)	73.9	71.6	145.5	+2.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	70.8	74.2	145.0	-3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	66.9	75.1	142.0	-8.2	27%
vs Similar (6)	72.2	73.8	146.0	-1.7	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	73.8	64.7	138.5	+9.2	77%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LusitaniaAcademica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	15.7	17.3	33.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	14.3	15.3	29.7	-1.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.5	18.4	34.9	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	14.7	30.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	13.0	29.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	15.5	18.4	33.9	-2.9	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	15.8	16.4	32.2	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	11.0	29.0	+7.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	18.1	17.3	35.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.0	16.1	34.1	+1.9	58%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	17.1	35.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.4	37.8	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.6	19.1	38.8	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.3	17.7	35.0	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	17.5	16.0	33.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	15.3	17.5	32.8	-2.2	28%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	15.6	17.8	33.3	-2.2	11%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.2	17.4	32.6	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.4	16.5	31.9	-1.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	16.0	31.6	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	14.3	17.4	31.7	-3.1	21%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.0	17.3	33.3	-1.3	30%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	17.0	18.8	35.8	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.4	16.9	35.3	+1.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.8	20.4	36.1	-4.6	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.7	35.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	19.4	34.2	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.0	20.2	35.2	-5.2	12%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.8	20.3	39.2	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	17.4	17.0	34.4	+0.4	50%	-

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Academica

31-33

-2

A01/12

LPB

Barcelos

30-38

-8

H15/12

LPB

Sampaense

29-33

-4

A22/12

LPB

Vitoria

30-34

-4

H05/01

LPB

Torres Vedras

29-29

H12/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

26-34

-8

A18/01

LPB

Barreirense

#11

32-30

A20/01

LPB

Ovarense

27-19

H02/02

LPB

Benfica

33-32

H16/02

LPB

Alges

#10

43-30

+13

A02/03

LPB

62.2Avg total

31.0Scored

31.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	31.0	34.8	65.9	-3.8	32%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	29.9	33.1	63.0	-3.2	22%	-
Last 30 away (16)	31.7	35.8	67.5	-4.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.0	31.2	62.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	29.0	61.2	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	29.8	35.9	65.6	-6.1	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	31.8	33.7	65.5	-1.9	30%	-
vs Weaker (1)	41.0	32.0	73.0	+9.0	100%	-

This opponent (Academica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

25-34

-9

A02/12

LPB

Barcelos

37-43

-6

A08/12

LPB

Sampaense

33-29

H15/12

LPB

Vitoria

42-37

A22/12

LPB

Torres Vedras

38-31

H06/01

LPB

Barreirense

#11

33-39

-6

H12/01

LPB

Ovarense

30-31

-1

A19/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

33-30

H02/02

LPB

Benfica

39-46

-7

A10/02

LPB

Alges

#10

41-38

H16/02

LPB

70.9Avg total

35.1Scored

35.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	35.1	36.1	71.2	-1.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	36.4	33.0	69.4	+3.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.0	38.8	72.8	-4.8	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	35.8	70.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	36.8	72.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	34.6	39.4	74.0	-4.8	12%	-
vs Similar (6)	36.2	38.0	74.2	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	34.9	33.0	67.9	+1.9	58%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	16.5	18.7	35.2	-2.2	36%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	15.2	17.4	32.7	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	16.3	32.5	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	20.4	34.2	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.3	19.6	35.9	-3.4	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.7	16.9	33.6	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	17.4	16.8	34.2	+0.6	42%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	16.1	14.5	30.6	+1.6	42%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	18.8	37.3	-0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.9	37.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.0	18.2	33.2	-3.2	12%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.3	19.7	38.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	18.5	14.4	32.9	+4.1	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	48%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	18.1	16.6	34.7	+1.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	22.2	42.3	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.9	40.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.8	41.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.1	20.6	38.8	-2.5	36%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	12.0	32.0	+8.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.4	17.5	36.9	+1.9	58%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.7	16.8	36.5	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	18.1	37.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	16.9	37.4	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.8	36.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.8	20.4	39.1	-1.6	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.7	16.2	33.8	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.8	16.2	37.0	+4.5	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	35.9	38.8	74.8	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	33.3	34.0	67.3	-0.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	41.6	78.9	-4.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	38.2	73.3	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	43.2	75.4	-11.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	34.4	40.3	74.7	-5.9	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.8	37.2	75.0	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	35.0	73.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	36.8	34.3	71.1	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	35.8	31.3	67.1	+4.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.7	36.9	74.6	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	35.8	74.6	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	37.4	73.0	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	33.8	38.6	72.4	-4.9	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	36.0	35.8	71.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	39.2	30.7	69.9	+8.6	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lusitania wins

Academica wins

Date	Game	Score
01/12/12	Academica v Lusitania	66-55
17/03/12	Academica v Lusitania	70-77
03/12/11	Lusitania v Academica	74-70
19/03/11	Academica v Lusitania	82-55
11/12/10	Lusitania v Academica	57-64

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/03/13	A	Alges	77-73
16/02/13	H	Benfica	61-70
02/02/13	H	Ovarense	45-55
20/01/13	A	Barreirense	75-73
18/01/13	A	CAB Madeira	64-90
12/01/13	H	Torres Vedras	67-54
05/01/13	H	Vitoria	71-64
22/12/12	A	Sampaense	74-77
15/12/12	H	Barcelos	80-81 OT
01/12/12	A	Academica	55-66

Academicalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/13	H	Alges	80-76
10/02/13	A	Benfica	79-93
02/02/13	H	CAB Madeira	62-60
19/01/13	A	Ovarense	63-66
12/01/13	H	Barreirense	70-76
06/01/13	H	Torres Vedras	70-63
22/12/12	A	Vitoria	82-70
15/12/12	H	Sampaense	72-49
08/12/12	A	Barcelos	88-85
02/12/12	A	CAB Madeira	73-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania

LPB 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	33%
Home	LWWLL	29%
Away	LLLWW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	33%	29%	38%
Points / game	66.8	67.9	65.9
Allowed / game	72.6	69.1	75.6
Point differential	-5.8	-1.3	-9.8
Avg total	139.4	137.0	141.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	14%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	0% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	13%	29%	0%

Academica

LPB 2012-13

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	67%
Home	WWLWW	75%
Away	LWWLL	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	67%	75%	57%
Points / game	71.4	67.4	76.0
Allowed / game	68.1	63.0	73.9
Point differential	+3.3	+4.4	+2.1
Avg total	139.5	130.4	149.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	25%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	100% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	16	15	1	94%	86.0	66.6	+19.4
2	CAB Madeira	15	12	3	80%	82.0	69.9	+12.1
3	Ovarense	16	11	5	69%	72.4	68.2	+4.2
4	Academica	15	10	5	67%	71.4	68.1	+3.3
5	Vitoria	16	9	7	56%	80.6	78.6	+2.0
6	Sampaense	16	8	8	50%	72.4	80.8	-8.3
7	Barcelos	15	7	8	47%	78.5	83.3	-4.9
8	Lusitania	15	5	10	33%	66.8	72.6	-5.8
9	Torres Vedras	16	5	11	31%	64.4	70.9	-6.5
10	Barreirense	16	2	14	12%	69.8	77.2	-7.5
11	Alges	16	2	14	12%	71.6	79.3	-7.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lusitania	15	16	16	14	61
Academica	23	15	20	18	76

← all games of the day

Lusitania vs Academica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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