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Lusitania vs Academica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 66-56
20-16 15-12 10-13 21-15
Position#3
Record0-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#16
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game57.7
Allowed / game83.0
PortugalProligaRound 4· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lusitania v Academica
10 Apr 2027
LUSI v ACAD
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
LUSI91
ACAD85
25 Oct 2025
LUSI66
ACAD56
21 Dec 2021
LUSI96
ACAD79
17 Oct 2020
LUSI93
ACAD83
09 Mar 2013
LUSI61
ACAD76
03 Dec 2011
LUSI74
ACAD70
11 Dec 2010
LUSI57
ACAD64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Academica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Maia
#8
L
86-93
86
93
-7
75avg 75
A16/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
85-71
85
71
+14
79avg 75
H23/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
74-70
74
70
+4
60avg 75
A30/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
94-82
94
82
+12
91avg 75
H05/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
103-84
103
84
+19
100avg 75
A19/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
82avg 75
H26/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
95-92
95
92
+3
88avg 75
A04/05
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
A04/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
74-81
74
81
-7
60avg 75
H11/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
46avg 75
A19/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
14-30
17-18
27-26
18-8
22-25
25-14
20-24
15-16
23-13
17-21
19-20
25-26
22-23
28-12
19-21
26-25
24-15
34-15
19-29
19-20
16-23
24-15
26-15
30-30
21-25
28-17
16-20
16-20
26-8
11-23
21-29
27-17
16-25
18-18
13-21
18-16
9-28
20-22
16-15
164.0Avg total
83.3Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.380.7151.0-10.30%
Season at home (1)74.081.0155.0-7.00%
Season away (2)68.580.5149.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)83.380.7164.0+2.660%
Last 5 (5)78.281.4159.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)68.277.5145.7-9.418%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.678.7165.3+7.968%
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademica
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#7
L
66-68
66
68
-2
no box
A24/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
L
58-66
58
66
-8
no box
H02/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#12
L
46-82
46
82
-36
no box
A10/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
76-74
76
74
+2
no box
A16/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#7
L
59-64
59
64
-5
no box
H23/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
W
64-53
64
53
+11
no box
A30/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#12
L
54-58
54
58
-4
no box
H14/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
67-85
67
85
-18
60avg 46
A04/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
46-76
46
76
-30
33avg 46
H11/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
60-88
60
88
-28
46avg 46
A18/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
17-25
10-18
17-10
16-9
12-26
13-17
17-14
10-25
13-17
13-15
10-25
15-18
29-30
14-16
18-10
15-17
16-15
17-17
11-15
21-17
15-11
17-7
11-18
11-13
13-19
15-10
15-16
11-27
15-27
17-8
24-23
19-13
6-26
10-17
11-20
15-22
13-23
16-21
16-22
131.0Avg total
59.6Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)57.783.0140.7-25.30%
Season at home (1)46.076.0122.0-30.00%
Season away (2)63.586.5150.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)59.671.4131.0-11.820%
Last 5 (5)58.272.0130.2-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)61.074.4135.4-13.417%
vs Similar (2)80.585.5166.0-5.050%
vs Weaker (5)77.276.6153.8+0.660%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
LusitaniaAcademica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A16/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H23/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A30/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H05/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A19/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H26/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A04/05
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A04/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H11/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A19/10
Proliga
82.7Avg total
41.5Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.977.6+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.938.979.7+2.050%-
Last 30 away (16)38.737.075.7+1.756%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.282.7+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.482.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)31.535.867.3-4.427%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.539.183.5+5.468%-
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A24/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H02/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#12
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A10/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A16/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#7
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H23/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A30/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#12
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H14/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
26-54
26
54
-28
A04/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H11/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A18/10
Proliga
69.9Avg total
30.4Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.738.572.1-4.827%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.834.966.6-3.125%-
Last 30 away (14)35.942.678.4-6.729%-
Last 10 (10)30.439.569.9-9.110%-
Last 5 (5)27.839.667.4-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)31.738.470.1-6.713%-
vs Similar (2)42.543.586.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (5)39.236.876.0+2.480%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.0
50.0%
50.0%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.9
34.9%
30.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.114.0
69.7%
67.4%14.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Academicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academica: 58.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.716.3
48.4%
50.0%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.95.5
26.3%
30.3%16.5
🏀 Free throws15.89.3
58.9%
67.4%9.3
They take 54.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
LLLWWWWWWL
Academica
LLLLWLWLLL
#3
League position
#16
+4.6
Net rating
-17.4
109.7
Offensive rating
83.2
105.1
Defensive rating
100.6
51.0%
Effective FG%
45.0%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
18.5%
Turnover %
27.8%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.9%
3-point %
26.3%
58.4%
Assist %
50.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 83.2Defence105.1 · 100.6Shooting51.0% · 45.0%3-point %34.9% · 26.3%Ball care18.5% · 27.8%Off. rebounds35.7% · 30.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Lusitania   ■ Academica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lusitania wins
4
Academica wins
DateGameScore
12/02/22Academica v Lusitania89-99
21/12/21Lusitania v Academica96-79
17/01/21Academica v Lusitania83-84
17/10/20Lusitania v Academica93-83
09/03/13Lusitania v Academica61-76
01/12/12Academica v Lusitania66-55
17/03/12Academica v Lusitania70-77
03/12/11Lusitania v Academica74-70
19/03/11Academica v Lusitania82-55
11/12/10Lusitania v Academica57-64
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/25AIlliabum63-81
11/10/25HGinasio74-81
04/10/25ASampaense74-80
04/05/25AGinasio95-92
26/04/25HBenfica Lisboa B85-73
19/04/25ASampaense103-84
05/04/25HBarreirense94-82
30/03/25ASanto Andre74-70
23/03/25HGalitos Aveiro85-71
16/03/25AMaia86-93
Academicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25AMaia60-88
11/10/25HIlliabum46-76
04/10/25AGinasio67-85
14/04/24HImortal B54-58
30/03/24ABenfica Lisboa B64-53
23/03/24HBarreirense59-64
16/03/24AGinasio Olhanense76-74
10/03/24AImortal B46-82
02/03/24HBenfica Lisboa B58-66
24/02/24ABarreirense66-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.374.068.5
Allowed / game80.781.080.5
Point differential-10.3-7.0-12.0
Avg total151.0155.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Academica
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game57.746.063.5
Allowed / game83.076.086.5
Point differential-25.3-30.0-23.0
Avg total140.7122.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa440100%90.568.5+22.0
2 Illiabum440100%86.266.5+19.8
3 CAB Madeira330100%86.372.3+14.0
4 Portimonense440100%86.573.5+13.0
5 Benfica Lisboa B43175%77.567.2+10.2
6 Ginasio43175%76.569.5+7.0
7 Imortal B32167%82.378.7+3.7
8 Galomar42250%88.583.8+4.8
9 Maia42250%79.276.2+3.0
10 Sampaense42250%76.284.0-7.8
11 Ginasio Olhanense41325%79.084.2-5.2
12 Lusitania3030%70.380.7-10.3
13 Santo Andre4040%75.088.0-13.0
14 Sangalhos4040%65.282.5-17.2
15 CB Queluz4040%63.086.0-23.0
16 Academica3030%57.783.0-25.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania2015102166
Academica1612131556
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