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Lusitania vs Academica Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 10 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#6
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#15
Record1-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game83.3
PortugalProligaRound 26· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lusitania v Academica
10 Apr 2027
LUSI v ACAD
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
LUSI91
ACAD85
25 Oct 2025
LUSI66
ACAD56
21 Dec 2021
LUSI96
ACAD79
17 Oct 2020
LUSI93
ACAD83
09 Mar 2013
LUSI61
ACAD76
03 Dec 2011
LUSI74
ACAD70
11 Dec 2010
LUSI57
ACAD64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Academica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
108-88
108
88
+20
109avg 83
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 83
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
89-68
89
68
+21
92avg 83
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 83
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
88-56
88
56
+32
89avg 83
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
77-75
77
75
+2
74avg 83
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
L
77-82
77
82
-5
73avg 83
A24/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
80-85
80
85
-5
71avg 83
H31/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
93-68
93
68
+25
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
21-15
17-29
18-14
25-25
26-23
22-21
35-19
16-23
27-25
14-13
28-18
31-16
20-11
19-20
19-21
19-15
15-20
23-16
16-17
21-16
24-19
30-12
13-9
23-18
17-19
16-21
21-17
18-28
26-8
15-25
18-21
13-18
13-33
22-19
32-15
23-17
24-25
17-11
29-15
159.4Avg total
85.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.372.3153.7+9.067%
Season at home (4)80.874.0154.8+6.875%
Season away (2)82.569.0151.5+13.550%
Last 10 (10)85.573.9159.4+11.680%
Last 5 (5)83.073.2156.2+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.585.0157.5-12.50%
vs Similar (6)80.775.8156.5+4.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.773.5161.2+14.286%
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademica
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
59-63
59
63
-4
52avg 64
A19/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
73avg 64
H26/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
73avg 64
A02/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
75-85
75
85
-10
50avg 64
A03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
61avg 64
H10/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
69-74
69
74
-5
37avg 64
H17/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
72avg 64
A24/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
99-105
99
105
-6
94avg 64
A30/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
80-98
80
98
-18
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
87-55
87
55
+32
no box
H14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
17-19
14-17
11-16
23-16
25-27
13-14
18-28
24-22
18-16
15-29
24-18
22-18
16-21
21-20
16-26
15-25
12-21
23-13
23-19
10-15
22-19
23-15
14-25
17-21
22-26
24-24
17-17
20-33
32-21
28-24
19-27
20-22
15-26
20-23
25-27
21-19
22-16
22-10
22-10
159.8Avg total
78.2Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.483.3163.7-2.914%
Season at home (3)76.369.0145.3+7.333%
Season away (4)83.594.0177.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)78.281.6159.8-3.410%
Last 5 (5)83.084.0167.0-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)67.880.8148.6-13.013%
vs Similar (6)75.282.7157.8-7.50%
vs Weaker (1)87.055.0142.0+32.0100%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: -2.4-2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: -2.4-2.4
LusitaniaAcademica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H31/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/11
Proliga
81.7Avg total
43.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.180.3+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.435.675.9+4.862%-
Last 30 away (14)44.241.085.2+3.257%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.681.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.280.6+0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.542.579.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (6)39.738.878.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.437.580.9+5.968%-
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A19/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H26/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A02/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H10/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H17/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A24/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A30/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A07/11
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/11
Proliga
80.4Avg total
39.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.341.076.3-5.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.139.474.5-4.333%-
Last 30 away (15)35.542.578.1-7.027%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.480.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.683.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)34.141.175.3-7.030%-
vs Similar (6)38.541.379.8-2.817%-
vs Weaker (1)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.725.4
55.6%
52.5%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.2
32.3%
30.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.212.5
72.7%
67.3%12.5
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Academicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academica: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.7
52.3%
52.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.74.6
26.0%
30.6%13.8
🏀 Free throws22.715.1
66.5%
67.3%15.1
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
WLLWWWWWWW
Academica
WLLLLLLLLL
#6
League position
#15
+13.5
Net rating
-8.3
95.6
Offensive rating
83.4
82.1
Defensive rating
91.7
53.2%
Effective FG%
48.2%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
16.2%
Turnover %
18.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.40
32.3%
3-point %
26.0%
67.2%
Assist %
50.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 83.4Defence82.1 · 91.7Shooting53.2% · 48.2%3-point %32.3% · 26.0%Ball care16.2% · 18.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Lusitania   ■ Academica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Lusitania wins
2
Academica wins
DateGameScore
26/04/26Academica v Lusitania79-85
28/02/26Lusitania v Academica91-85
13/12/25Academica v Lusitania71-100
25/10/25Lusitania v Academica66-56
12/02/22Academica v Lusitania89-99
21/12/21Lusitania v Academica96-79
17/01/21Academica v Lusitania83-84
17/10/20Lusitania v Academica93-83
09/03/13Lusitania v Academica61-76
01/12/12Academica v Lusitania66-55
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBarreirense93-68
31/10/26HSanto Andre80-85
24/10/26AMaia77-82
17/10/26HGalomar77-75
11/10/26AGinasio Olhanense88-56
05/10/26HBarcelos73-68
02/05/26HCB Queluz89-68
26/04/26AAcademica85-79
18/04/26HGalomar108-88
03/04/26ASanto Andre85-70
Academicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HBarcelos87-55
07/11/26AGalitos Aveiro80-98
30/10/26ASampaense99-105
24/10/26AGalitos Barreiro80-88
17/10/26HCB Queluz69-74
10/10/26HSanto Andre73-78
03/10/26AIlliabum75-85
02/05/26ASampaense81-85
26/04/26HLusitania79-85
19/04/26ABenfica Lisboa B59-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game81.380.882.5
Allowed / game72.374.069.0
Point differential+9.0+6.8+13.5
Avg total153.7154.8151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Academica
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game80.476.383.5
Allowed / game83.369.094.0
Point differential-2.9+7.3-10.5
Avg total163.7145.3177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Galomar64267%77.767.2+10.5
6 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
16 Benfica Lisboa B71614%66.380.6-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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