Esgueira vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Feb 2021

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 97-88 (OT)

20-17 14-23 10-17 27-14 26-17

Position#12

Record4-12

FormWWWWL

Points / game75.5

Allowed / game81.0

Esgueira 🏆

Vitoria

Position#7

Record8-9

FormWLLLW

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game79.9

LPBRound 18

Other2020-21

Meetings · Esgueira v Vitoria

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vitoria winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Esgueira

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

65-80

-15

H05/12

LPB

Benfica

73-78

-5

A09/12

LPB

Ovarense

#10

99-71

+28

A13/12

LPB

Sporting CP

70-83

-13

H19/12

LPB

Oliveirense

81-86

-5

A03/01

LPB

Galitos

#11

80-61

+19

H09/01

LPB

Maia

#13

88-70

+18

H14/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

97-91 OT

A17/01

LPB

Illiabum

#13

94-79

+15

H23/01

Taca de Portugal

Academica

54-68

-14

A31/01

LPB

16-24

15-21

12-14

22-21

14-23

20-18

27-15

12-22

18-19

24-14

28-20

29-18

22-29

20-24

11-11

17-19

21-26

17-19

21-19

22-22

17-21

20-13

23-13

20-14

26-18

18-24

21-12

23-16

25-32

19-23

20-14

22-17

22-25

30-18

24-19

18-17

17-19

12-19

13-12

12-18

156.8Avg total

80.1Scored

76.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	75.5	81.0	156.5	-5.5	25%
Season at home (7)	74.7	75.0	149.7	-0.3	29%
Season away (9)	76.1	85.7	161.8	-9.6	22%
Last 10 (10)	80.1	76.7	156.8	+3.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	73.8	156.4	+8.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	71.6	85.3	156.9	-13.7	0%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	76.6	78.0	154.6	-1.4	38%
vs Weaker (10)	84.8	79.9	164.7	+4.9	40%

This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vitoria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

66-85

-19

A13/12

LPB

Imortal

68-73

-5

H19/12

LPB

Academica

83-78

A30/12

LPB

Benfica

60-102

102

-42

A06/01

LPB

Ovarense

#10

71-70

H09/01

LPB

Barreirense

#14

89-84 OT

A15/01

LPB

FC Porto

62-74

-12

H17/01

LPB

Lusitania

70-87

-17

A24/01

LPB

Benfica

66-89

-23

H31/01

LPB

Academica

#14

82-63

+19

A06/02

Taca de Portugal

22-26

8-21

21-15

15-23

19-17

20-22

17-17

12-17

25-24

26-12

10-29

22-13

24-17

16-26

10-30

10-29

20-16

19-16

21-20

11-18

21-14

20-19

18-22

17-21

21-23

14-15

17-20

10-16

24-17

13-16

15-31

18-23

21-25

20-23

15-20

10-21

18-16

28-12

16-15

20-20

152.2Avg total

71.7Scored

80.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	75.6	79.9	155.5	-4.4	47%
Season at home (9)	77.0	74.3	151.3	+2.7	56%
Season away (8)	74.0	86.2	160.2	-12.2	38%
Last 10 (10)	71.7	80.5	152.2	-8.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.8	79.4	153.2	-5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	75.4	87.1	162.4	-11.7	21%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	79.2	76.8	156.0	+2.3	67%
vs Weaker (8)	84.9	73.0	157.9	+11.9	100%

This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EsgueiraVitoria

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.7	42.4	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	22.1	41.9	-2.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	23.6	43.4	-3.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	23.0	44.4	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.6	24.2	41.8	-6.6	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.4	20.8	40.1	-1.4	25%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.0	19.6	43.6	+4.4	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.3	38.5	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	20.4	40.1	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	18.4	37.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.2	21.3	42.5	-0.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.9	15.0	33.9	+3.9	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	20.2	39.3	-1.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.3	22.7	40.0	-5.4	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.0	22.9	41.9	-3.9	25%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	19.8	40.2	+0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.2	36.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.2	18.0	39.2	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.1	21.8	41.9	-1.6	38%	-

EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

31-45

-14

H05/12

LPB

Benfica

34-41

-7

A09/12

LPB

Ovarense

#10

42-33

A13/12

LPB

Sporting CP

42-53

-11

H19/12

LPB

Oliveirense

38-45

-7

A03/01

LPB

Galitos

#11

37-34

H09/01

LPB

Maia

#13

44-42

H14/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

44-55

-11

A17/01

LPB

Illiabum

#13

52-43

H23/01

Taca de Portugal

Academica

29-38

-9

A31/01

LPB

82.2Avg total

39.3Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	42.7	82.4	-2.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.9	41.4	82.3	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.8	43.8	82.6	-4.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	42.9	82.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	42.4	83.6	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	34.9	46.9	81.8	-12.0	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	38.4	43.6	82.0	-5.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.2	38.4	81.6	+4.8	70%	-

This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

30-47

-17

A13/12

LPB

Imortal

39-39

H19/12

LPB

Academica

51-36

+15

A30/12

LPB

Benfica

40-43

-3

A06/01

LPB

Ovarense

#10

39-32

H09/01

LPB

Barreirense

#14

41-33

A15/01

LPB

FC Porto

35-38

-3

H17/01

LPB

Lusitania

37-33

A24/01

LPB

Benfica

41-48

-7

H31/01

LPB

Academica

#14

46-28

+18

A06/02

Taca de Portugal

77.6Avg total

39.9Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	38.7	78.4	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.2	39.4	79.6	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.2	38.1	77.4	+1.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	37.7	77.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	36.0	76.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	38.0	40.5	78.5	-2.5	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	42.3	39.3	81.7	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	39.0	36.8	75.8	+2.2	75%	-

This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.8	37.1	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	14.6	33.1	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	20.6	40.6	-0.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	14.9	34.9	+5.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	14.0	34.2	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.1	18.1	36.2	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.0	16.8	35.8	+2.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.6	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.1	41.2	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	20.4	41.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	21.7	41.0	-2.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	21.9	37.9	-5.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	21.6	37.8	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.9	24.6	43.5	-5.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.1	18.6	41.8	+4.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.4	38.9	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	20.7	40.5	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.4	38.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.4	35.4	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.6	20.3	38.9	-1.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.9	17.0	34.9	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.8	21.9	42.7	-1.1	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	18.3	37.2	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	21.1	40.9	-1.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.5	20.1	34.6	-5.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	20.2	35.2	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.4	22.0	40.4	-3.6	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	17.2	18.7	35.8	-1.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.1	16.6	37.8	+4.5	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	37.2	76.0	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.5	32.6	70.1	+4.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.9	41.2	81.1	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	33.3	73.0	+6.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	30.4	69.6	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	36.7	38.4	75.1	-1.7	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	36.9	33.8	70.6	+3.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.1	40.6	81.7	+0.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	40.9	80.4	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.1	38.6	78.7	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.1	42.8	81.9	-3.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.5	42.0	72.5	-11.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.2	41.8	73.0	-10.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	37.4	46.6	83.9	-9.2	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	36.8	37.5	74.3	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	44.2	35.2	79.5	+9.0	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Esgueira wins

Vitoria wins

Date	Game	Score
11/11/20	Vitoria v Esgueira	99-71
04/03/20	Vitoria v Esgueira	89-81
11/01/20	Vitoria v Esgueira	85-72
19/10/19	Esgueira v Vitoria	57-65
26/04/19	Vitoria v Esgueira	73-81
29/03/19	Esgueira v Vitoria	69-66
12/01/19	Vitoria v Esgueira	99-88 OT
20/10/18	Esgueira v Vitoria	85-77

Esgueiralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/01/21	A	Academica	54-68
23/01/21	H	Illiabum	94-79
17/01/21	A	CAB Madeira	97-91 OT
14/01/21	H	Maia	88-70
09/01/21	H	Galitos	80-61
03/01/21	A	Oliveirense	81-86
19/12/20	H	Sporting CP	70-83
13/12/20	A	Ovarense	99-71
09/12/20	A	Benfica	73-78
05/12/20	H	Lusitania	65-80

Vitorialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/02/21	A	Academica	82-63
31/01/21	H	Benfica	66-89
24/01/21	A	Lusitania	70-87
17/01/21	H	FC Porto	62-74
15/01/21	A	Barreirense	89-84 OT
09/01/21	H	Ovarense	71-70
06/01/21	A	Benfica	60-102
30/12/20	A	Academica	83-78
19/12/20	H	Imortal	68-73
13/12/20	A	CAB Madeira	66-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira

LPB 2020-21

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	25%
Home	LLLWW	29%
Away	LWLWL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	7	9
Win %	25%	29%	22%
Points / game	75.5	74.7	76.1
Allowed / game	81.0	75.0	85.7
Point differential	-5.5	-0.3	-9.6
Avg total	156.5	149.7	161.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	29%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (5)	0% (2)	0% (3)
Overtime %	12%	0%	22%

Vitoria

LPB 2020-21

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	47%
Home	WLWLL	56%
Away	LWLWL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	47%	56%	38%
Points / game	75.6	77.0	74.0
Allowed / game	79.9	74.3	86.2
Point differential	-4.4	+2.7	-12.2
Avg total	155.5	151.3	160.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	44%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	50% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sporting CP	18	17	1	94%	89.0	67.2	+21.8
2	FC Porto	16	15	1	94%	80.6	63.4	+17.2
3	Benfica	18	14	4	78%	90.7	73.9	+16.8
4	Imortal	17	12	5	71%	83.3	77.0	+6.3
5	Lusitania	16	11	5	69%	80.6	77.6	+3.0
6	Oliveirense	18	12	6	67%	82.9	75.3	+7.6
7	Vitoria	17	8	9	47%	75.6	79.9	-4.4
8	CAB Madeira	18	7	11	39%	78.8	84.7	-5.9
9	Academica	18	7	11	39%	73.8	81.8	-8.1
10	Galitos	18	6	12	33%	74.3	82.4	-8.2
11	Esgueira	16	4	12	25%	75.5	81.0	-5.5
12	Ovarense	17	4	13	24%	74.5	82.6	-8.1
13	Maia	17	2	15	12%	70.9	85.5	-14.6
14	Barreirense	16	1	15	6%	71.4	91.1	-19.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Esgueira	20	14	10	27	26	97
Vitoria	17	23	17	14	17	88

← all games of the day

Esgueira vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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