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Lusitania vs Galitos Aveiro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-71
18-8 22-25 25-14 20-24
Position#6
Record10-12
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#16
Record3-19
FormLLWLW
Points / game67.7
Allowed / game78.1
PortugalProligaRound 9· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Galitos Aveiro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Imortal B
#15
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
67avg 68
A09/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
66-70
66
70
-4
56avg 68
H11/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
82-69
82
69
+13
85avg 68
H25/01
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
86-69
86
69
+17
86avg 68
A02/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
66-82
66
82
-16
62avg 68
H08/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
83avg 68
A16/02
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
100-80
100
80
+20
100avg 68
H22/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
94-82
94
82
+12
89avg 68
A02/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
102-106
102
106
-4
91avg 68
H08/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
86-93
86
93
-7
75avg 68
A16/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
20-16
20-22
16-15
13-22
14-9
17-19
22-20
21-10
18-18
20-19
23-22
22-16
22-16
19-15
23-22
10-22
17-19
15-26
24-15
20-10
20-25
18-24
32-21
27-24
24-20
20-15
29-21
19-33
27-18
28-9
20-22
30-29
32-25
17-20
23-32
28-19
14-30
17-18
27-26
167.3Avg total
85.3Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.677.0154.6+0.745%
Season at home (11)76.877.7154.5-0.945%
Season away (11)78.576.2154.6+2.345%
Last 10 (10)85.382.0167.3+3.350%
Last 5 (5)94.488.2182.6+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.599.5172.0-27.00%
vs Similar (9)68.178.0146.1-9.911%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.276.2160.5+8.069%
This opponent (Galitos Aveiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Galitos AveiroPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAveiro
Date
Competition
Maia
#8
L
68-73
68
73
-5
59avg 59
A04/01
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
57-93
57
93
-36
39avg 59
H11/01
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
77-83
77
83
-6
66avg 59
A25/01
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
69-86
69
86
-17
52avg 59
H02/02
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
56-68
56
68
-12
51avg 59
A08/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
53-84
53
84
-31
47avg 59
A15/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
67-80
67
80
-13
59avg 59
H22/02
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
93-71
93
71
+22
88avg 59
A01/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
67-77
67
77
-10
66avg 59
H08/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
74-59
74
59
+15
67avg 59
H15/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
17-19
14-19
16-15
14-21
15-23
15-26
13-23
22-22
19-17
20-21
16-23
16-22
16-22
15-19
22-23
18-10
15-16
10-18
13-24
15-21
14-24
18-20
6-19
29-21
15-23
6-14
17-22
31-19
17-15
19-16
26-21
17-16
18-16
19-22
13-23
18-10
20-17
23-16
13-16
145.5Avg total
68.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)67.778.1145.8-10.414%
Season at home (11)69.178.1147.2-9.018%
Season away (11)66.478.1144.5-11.79%
Last 10 (10)68.177.4145.5-9.320%
Last 5 (5)70.874.2145.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)67.878.1145.9-10.414%
vs Similar (5)70.272.4142.6-2.240%
vs Weaker (4)76.075.8151.8+0.250%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -5.4-5.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -5.4-5.4
LusitaniaGalitos Aveiro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal B
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A09/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H11/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H25/01
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A02/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H08/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A16/02
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H22/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A02/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H08/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A16/03
Proliga
81.8Avg total
41.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.779.1-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.942.982.9-3.029%-
Last 30 away (13)36.537.774.2-1.246%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.281.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)48.246.694.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.151.289.4-13.10%-
vs Similar (9)31.235.766.9-4.422%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.637.681.2+6.069%-
This opponent (Galitos Aveiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Galitos AveiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A04/01
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H11/01
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A25/01
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H02/02
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A08/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A15/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H22/02
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A01/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H08/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H15/03
Proliga
74.1Avg total
36.7Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.136.871.9-1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.535.971.5-0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)34.737.772.3-3.047%-
Last 10 (10)36.737.474.1-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.836.475.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)35.137.772.8-2.643%-
vs Similar (5)33.635.469.0-1.860%-
vs Weaker (4)37.033.870.8+3.275%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.3
53.2%
49.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.8
34.9%
30.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.016.7
75.9%
68.4%16.7
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Galitos Aveirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galitos Aveiro: 67.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.8
49.4%
49.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.0
28.7%
30.1%18.0
🏀 Free throws19.513.9
71.3%
68.4%13.9
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
LLWWWLWWLL
Galitos Aveiro
WLWLLLLLLL
#6
League position
#16
+5.0
Net rating
-12.3
108.8
Offensive rating
91.1
103.8
Defensive rating
103.4
52.8%
Effective FG%
47.1%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
22.3%
Turnover %
23.9%
37.0%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.9%
3-point %
28.7%
58.1%
Assist %
59.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 91.1Defence103.8 · 103.4Shooting52.8% · 47.1%3-point %34.9% · 28.7%Ball care22.3% · 23.9%Off. rebounds37.0% · 27.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Lusitania   ■ Galitos Aveiro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lusitania wins
0
Galitos Aveiro wins
DateGameScore
02/02/25Galitos Aveiro v Lusitania69-86
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25AMaia86-93
08/03/25HGinasio102-106
02/03/25ABenfica Lisboa B94-82
22/02/25HSampaense100-80
16/02/25ABarreirense90-80
08/02/25HSanto Andre66-82
02/02/25AGalitos Aveiro86-69
25/01/25HMaia82-69
11/01/25HCAB Madeira66-70
09/01/25AImortal B81-89 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HGinasio74-59
08/03/25HBenfica Lisboa B67-77
01/03/25ASampaense93-71
22/02/25HBarreirense67-80
15/02/25ASanto Andre53-84
08/02/25AMaia56-68
02/02/25HLusitania69-86
25/01/25AGinasio77-83
11/01/25HBraga57-93
04/01/25AMaia68-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL45%
HomeLWLWL45%
AwayLWWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%45%45%
Points / game77.676.878.5
Allowed / game77.077.776.2
Point differential+0.7-0.9+2.3
Avg total154.6154.5154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%36%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Galitos Aveiro
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW14%
HomeLLLLW18%
AwayLLLLW9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %14%18%9%
Points / game67.769.166.4
Allowed / game78.178.178.1
Point differential-10.4-9.0-11.7
Avg total145.8147.2144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga2318578%82.969.8+13.1
2 Vasco Da Gama2318578%82.676.7+6.0
3 CAB Madeira2315865%75.068.8+6.2
4 Portimonense2315865%76.472.6+3.8
5 CB Queluz2314961%77.174.3+2.8
6 Santo Andre2213959%72.969.7+3.2
7 Illiabum23131057%74.668.4+6.2
8 Lusitania22101245%77.677.0+0.7
9 Maia22101245%75.981.1-5.2
10 Sangalhos2391439%77.477.3+0.1
11 Sampaense2391439%80.185.0-4.8
12 Ginasio2391439%80.686.2-5.6
13 Imortal B2391439%66.473.0-6.5
14 Benfica Lisboa B2391439%67.874.3-6.6
15 Barreirense2381535%72.175.6-3.4
16 Galitos Aveiro2231914%67.778.1-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania1822252085
Galitos Aveiro825142471
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