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Lusitania vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-69
21-10 18-18 20-19 23-22
Position#6
Record5-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#8
Record6-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game84.3
PortugalProligaRound 1· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2024-25
Meetings · Lusitania v Maia
13 Feb 2027
LUSI v MAIA
upcoming
31 Oct 2025
LUSI69
MAIA65
25 Jan 2025
LUSI82
MAIA69
09 Dec 2023
LUSI76
MAIA82
03 Apr 2021
LUSI93
MAIA67
07 Dec 2019
LUSI87
MAIA90
22 Apr 2017
LUSI87
MAIA85
05 Nov 2016
LUSI89
MAIA86
09 Apr 2016
LUSI59
MAIA58
28 Nov 2015
LUSI75
MAIA63
17 Jan 2015
LUSI75
MAIA60
14 Dec 2013
LUSI67
MAIA53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#4
L
57-79
57
79
-22
44avg 61
A01/11
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
70-56
70
56
+14
62avg 61
H09/11
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
73-86
73
86
-13
58avg 61
A16/11
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
102-65
102
65
+37
110avg 61
A01/12
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
92-79
92
79
+13
94avg 61
H07/12
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 61
A14/12
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
50avg 61
H28/12
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
74-65
74
65
+9
66avg 61
A05/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
67avg 61
A09/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
66-70
66
70
-4
56avg 61
H11/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
16-20
11-20
17-15
21-14
25-10
11-13
13-19
18-16
20-14
18-25
17-31
19-16
31-11
24-15
28-23
27-22
17-15
23-16
25-26
11-30
23-14
24-19
18-17
9-15
19-18
20-22
17-24
25-17
16-15
23-12
10-21
18-21
20-16
20-22
16-15
13-22
14-9
17-19
22-20
150.4Avg total
75.6Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.673.7145.3-2.136%
Season at home (7)70.774.0144.7-3.343%
Season away (7)72.473.4145.9-1.029%
Last 10 (10)75.674.8150.4+0.840%
Last 5 (5)72.476.6149.0-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.097.0170.0-24.00%
vs Similar (8)68.477.5145.9-9.112%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)75.868.7144.5+7.267%
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#10
W
86-83
86
83
+3
76avg 64
H01/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
82-77
82
77
+5
75avg 64
A09/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
80avg 64
H16/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
56-87
56
87
-31
40avg 64
A30/11
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
76-95
76
95
-19
68avg 64
H07/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
66-101
66
101
-35
45avg 64
A14/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
78-76
78
76
+2
69avg 64
H21/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
86-88
86
88
-2
78avg 64
A28/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
73-68
73
68
+5
65avg 64
H04/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
84-97
84
97
-13
65avg 64
A11/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
23-23
21-17
23-22
11-20
23-18
22-18
26-21
23-15
14-16
28-15
18-29
16-25
16-26
10-20
14-16
17-21
18-25
24-27
17-22
19-22
13-34
18-28
16-17
13-18
26-19
19-25
20-14
31-17
15-20
10-22
30-29
20-21
19-17
19-14
15-16
10-20
24-33
24-23
26-21
161.7Avg total
77.0Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.684.3160.9-7.643%
Season at home (7)78.179.1157.3-1.071%
Season away (7)75.189.4164.6-14.314%
Last 10 (10)77.084.7161.7-7.750%
Last 5 (5)77.486.0163.4-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)70.685.0155.6-14.420%
vs Similar (12)79.882.3162.2-2.558%
vs Weaker (3)82.071.0153.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
LusitaniaMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#4
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A01/11
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H09/11
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A16/11
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A01/12
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H07/12
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A14/12
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H28/12
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A05/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A09/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H11/01
Proliga
71.4Avg total
37.5Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.241.277.4-5.020%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.243.181.3-4.913%-
Last 30 away (15)34.239.373.5-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)37.533.971.4+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)33.635.469.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.847.484.2-10.60%-
vs Similar (8)31.835.066.8-3.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.532.773.2+7.867%-
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H01/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A09/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H16/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A30/11
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H07/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A14/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H21/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A28/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H04/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A11/01
Proliga
80.1Avg total
37.0Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.742.479.1-5.727%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.140.178.2-2.144%-
Last 30 away (14)35.144.980.1-9.87%-
Last 10 (10)37.043.180.1-6.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.044.282.2-6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.143.178.2-8.120%-
vs Similar (12)37.642.580.1-4.925%-
vs Weaker (3)41.338.079.3+3.367%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.516.9
45.1%
49.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.5
33.0%
30.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.712.3
69.5%
68.4%12.3
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.1
50.4%
49.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.2
30.8%
30.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws16.111.7
72.7%
68.4%11.7
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
LLWLLWWLWL
Maia
LWLWLLLWWW
#6
League position
#8
+0.8
Net rating
-6.9
95.2
Offensive rating
101.2
94.4
Defensive rating
108.2
47.0%
Effective FG%
48.8%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
25.1%
Turnover %
18.6%
37.7%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.0%
3-point %
30.8%
63.6%
Assist %
54.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 101.2Defence94.4 · 108.2Shooting47.0% · 48.8%3-point %33.0% · 30.8%Ball care25.1% · 18.6%Off. rebounds37.7% · 30.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Lusitania   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Lusitania wins
3
Maia wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Lusitania v Maia76-82
03/04/21Lusitania v Maia93-67
03/01/21Maia v Lusitania65-76
07/12/19Lusitania v Maia87-90
22/04/17Lusitania v Maia87-85
18/03/17Maia v Lusitania88-77
21/01/17Maia v Lusitania82-89
05/11/16Lusitania v Maia89-86
09/04/16Lusitania v Maia59-58
05/03/16Maia v Lusitania67-89
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HCAB Madeira66-70
09/01/25AImortal B81-89 OT
05/01/25ABarreirense74-65
28/12/24HCB Queluz65-79
14/12/24APortimonense76-80
07/12/24HSanto Andre92-79
01/12/24ABenfica Lisboa B102-65
16/11/24ACAB Madeira73-86
09/11/24HBarreirense70-56
01/11/24ACB Queluz57-79
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25ASampaense84-97
04/01/25HGalitos Aveiro73-68
28/12/24ASangalhos86-88
21/12/24HVasco Da Gama78-76
14/12/24AGinasio66-101
07/12/24HBraga76-95
30/11/24AIlliabum56-87
16/11/24HSampaense83-75
09/11/24AGalitos Aveiro82-77
01/11/24HSangalhos86-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL36%
HomeLWWLL43%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%43%29%
Points / game71.670.772.4
Allowed / game73.774.073.4
Point differential-2.1-3.3-1.0
Avg total145.3144.7145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Maia
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%71%14%
Points / game76.678.175.1
Allowed / game84.379.189.4
Point differential-7.6-1.0-14.3
Avg total160.9157.3164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga1512380%85.869.1+16.7
2 Vasco Da Gama1411379%84.477.8+6.6
3 CB Queluz1511473%76.771.3+5.5
4 Illiabum1410471%78.968.6+10.3
5 CAB Madeira159660%73.166.6+6.5
6 Portimonense159660%75.973.9+2.0
7 Imortal B148657%68.068.4-0.4
8 Sangalhos147750%79.476.9+2.6
9 Santo Andre157847%68.769.7-1.1
10 Maia146843%76.684.3-7.6
11 Sampaense156940%78.985.0-6.1
12 Ginasio156940%79.986.1-6.3
13 Lusitania145936%71.673.7-2.1
14 Benfica Lisboa B1551033%66.373.7-7.5
15 Barreirense1541127%68.875.1-6.3
16 Galitos Aveiro151147%67.479.5-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania2118202382
Maia1018192269
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