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Lusitania vs Sampaense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 21:15
Final 100-80
27-24 24-20 20-15 29-21
Position#6
Record8-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#11
Record8-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game84.3
PortugalProligaRound 5· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2024-25
Meetings · Lusitania v Sampaense
09 Jan 2027
LUSI v SAMP
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
LUSI87
SAMP60
22 Nov 2025
LUSI87
SAMP46
22 Feb 2025
LUSI100
SAMP80
02 Apr 2017
LUSI88
SAMP87
10 Dec 2016
LUSI88
SAMP83
10 Jan 2015
LUSI68
SAMP60
08 Mar 2014
LUSI78
SAMP77
06 Apr 2013
LUSI87
SAMP85
07 Jan 2012
LUSI69
SAMP79
13 Nov 2010
LUSI68
SAMP64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sampaense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#9
W
92-79
92
79
+13
94avg 65
H07/12
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 65
A14/12
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
50avg 65
H28/12
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
74-65
74
65
+9
66avg 65
A05/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
67avg 65
A09/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
66-70
66
70
-4
56avg 65
H11/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
82-69
82
69
+13
85avg 65
H25/01
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
86-69
86
69
+17
86avg 65
A02/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
66-82
66
82
-16
62avg 65
H08/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
83avg 65
A16/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
17-15
23-16
25-26
11-30
23-14
24-19
18-17
9-15
19-18
20-22
17-24
25-17
16-15
23-12
10-21
18-21
20-16
20-22
16-15
13-22
14-9
17-19
22-20
21-10
18-18
20-19
23-22
22-16
22-16
19-15
23-22
10-22
17-19
15-26
24-15
20-10
20-25
18-24
32-21
154.0Avg total
77.8Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.774.0147.7-0.344%
Season at home (9)71.474.3145.8-2.944%
Season away (9)75.973.7149.6+2.244%
Last 10 (10)77.876.2154.0+1.650%
Last 5 (5)78.074.0152.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.798.5172.2-24.80%
vs Similar (9)68.178.0146.1-9.911%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)79.270.0149.2+9.278%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#14
W
101-90
101
90
+11
no box
H07/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 67
A14/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
95-105 OT
95
105
-10
89avg 67
H21/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
86-83
86
83
+3
78avg 67
A28/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
75-87
75
87
-12
72avg 67
A04/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
97-84
97
84
+13
72avg 67
H11/01
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
86-73
86
73
+13
83avg 67
H25/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 67
A01/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
84-74
84
74
+10
87avg 67
A08/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
86-96
86
96
-10
80avg 67
H15/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
25-22
25-19
30-27
15-25
20-19
21-22
20-17
18-22
29-22
27-26
18-22
17-18
21-24
27-19
21-22
11-21
16-27
19-16
29-23
20-10
33-24
23-24
21-26
27-18
23-25
18-16
18-14
18-18
18-21
16-13
27-21
22-21
19-19
24-16
19-18
24-36
28-14
22-24
12-22
171.3Avg total
86.5Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.684.3163.9-4.844%
Season at home (9)82.385.6167.9-3.256%
Season away (9)76.883.1159.9-6.333%
Last 10 (10)86.584.8171.3+1.760%
Last 5 (5)86.480.0166.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)69.281.6150.8-12.312%
vs Similar (12)84.682.0166.6+2.658%
vs Weaker (2)80.576.0156.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
LusitaniaSampaense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H07/12
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A14/12
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H28/12
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A05/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A09/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H11/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H25/01
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A02/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H08/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A16/02
Proliga
71.2Avg total
36.2Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.640.176.7-3.430%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.642.480.0-4.819%-
Last 30 away (14)35.537.472.9-1.943%-
Last 10 (10)36.235.071.2+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.433.468.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.749.286.8-11.50%-
vs Similar (9)31.235.766.9-4.422%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.732.373.0+8.378%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#14
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H07/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A14/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H21/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A28/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A04/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H11/01
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H25/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A01/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A08/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H15/02
Proliga
85.3Avg total
42.5Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.440.978.3-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.239.380.5+1.967%-
Last 30 away (15)33.642.476.0-8.87%-
Last 10 (10)42.542.885.3-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)46.441.287.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.240.474.6-6.225%-
vs Similar (12)41.241.883.0-0.550%-
vs Weaker (2)40.039.579.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.417.9
49.2%
49.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.8
31.4%
30.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.314.8
72.9%
68.4%14.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.823.7
58.1%
49.9%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.5
31.4%
30.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.2
72.8%
68.4%14.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
WLWWLLWLLW
Sampaense
LWWWWLWLLW
#6
League position
#11
+2.3
Net rating
-4.9
99.4
Offensive rating
106.6
97.0
Defensive rating
111.5
48.3%
Effective FG%
54.4%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
23.2%
Turnover %
20.1%
36.7%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.4%
3-point %
31.4%
62.2%
Assist %
57.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 106.6Defence97.0 · 111.5Shooting48.3% · 54.4%3-point %31.4% · 31.4%Ball care23.2% · 20.1%Off. rebounds36.7% · 29.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Lusitania   ■ Sampaense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Lusitania wins
3
Sampaense wins
DateGameScore
29/04/17Sampaense v Lusitania109-97
02/04/17Lusitania v Sampaense88-87
25/02/17Sampaense v Lusitania65-96
10/12/16Lusitania v Sampaense88-83
18/04/15Sampaense v Lusitania66-78
10/01/15Lusitania v Sampaense68-60
08/03/14Lusitania v Sampaense78-77
08/12/13Sampaense v Lusitania89-81
06/04/13Lusitania v Sampaense87-85
22/12/12Sampaense v Lusitania77-74
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25ABarreirense90-80
08/02/25HSanto Andre66-82
02/02/25AGalitos Aveiro86-69
25/01/25HMaia82-69
11/01/25HCAB Madeira66-70
09/01/25AImortal B81-89 OT
05/01/25ABarreirense74-65
28/12/24HCB Queluz65-79
14/12/24APortimonense76-80
07/12/24HSanto Andre92-79
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HGinasio86-96
08/02/25ABenfica Lisboa B84-74
01/02/25AMaia79-73
25/01/25HBarreirense86-73
11/01/25HMaia97-84
04/01/25AIlliabum75-87
28/12/24AGalitos Aveiro86-83
21/12/24HSangalhos95-105 OT
14/12/24AVasco Da Gama76-83
07/12/24HGinasio101-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW44%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayLWLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%44%44%
Points / game73.771.475.9
Allowed / game74.074.373.7
Point differential-0.3-2.9+2.2
Avg total147.7145.8149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Sampaense
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL44%
HomeWLWWL56%
AwayLWLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%56%33%
Points / game79.682.376.8
Allowed / game84.385.683.1
Point differential-4.8-3.2-6.3
Avg total163.9167.9159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga1916384%84.768.9+15.8
2 Vasco Da Gama1915479%82.776.3+6.5
3 CB Queluz1914574%77.673.1+4.5
4 CAB Madeira1912763%75.268.7+6.5
5 Portimonense1811761%76.173.2+2.9
6 Illiabum1911858%74.568.3+6.2
7 Santo Andre1810856%71.968.9+2.9
8 Lusitania1881044%73.774.0-0.3
9 Imortal B1881044%66.570.3-3.8
10 Sampaense1881044%79.684.3-4.8
11 Ginasio1981142%80.585.6-5.1
12 Maia1871139%75.181.7-6.6
13 Sangalhos1971237%77.878.2-0.4
14 Benfica Lisboa B1971237%67.274.5-7.3
15 Barreirense1851328%70.875.9-5.1
16 Galitos Aveiro181176%66.179.5-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania27242029100
Sampaense2420152180
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