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Maia vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 93-86
19-28 30-14 18-17 26-27
Position#8
Record9-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game80.1
Maia 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#6
Record10-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game76.2
PortugalProligaRound 8· Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope
Other2024-25
Meetings · Maia v Lusitania
24 Oct 2026
MAIA82
LUSI77
27 Dec 2025
MAIA85
LUSI81
16 Mar 2025
MAIA93
LUSI86
03 Jan 2021
MAIA65
LUSI76
27 Mar 2020
MAIA v LUSI
upcoming
18 Mar 2017
MAIA88
LUSI77
21 Jan 2017
MAIA82
LUSI89
05 Mar 2016
MAIA67
LUSI89
20 Feb 2016
MAIA72
LUSI79
26 Oct 2014
MAIA70
LUSI64
23 Mar 2014
MAIA60
LUSI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
78-76
78
76
+2
69avg 63
H21/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
86-88
86
88
-2
78avg 63
A28/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
73-68
73
68
+5
65avg 63
H04/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
84-97
84
97
-13
65avg 63
A11/01
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
69-82
69
82
-13
47avg 63
A25/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 63
H01/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
68-56
68
56
+12
56avg 63
H08/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
69-74
69
74
-5
58avg 63
A15/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
85-66
85
66
+19
80avg 63
A01/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
68-65
68
65
+3
56avg 63
H08/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
26-19
19-25
20-14
31-17
15-20
10-22
30-29
20-21
19-17
19-14
15-16
10-20
24-33
24-23
26-21
10-21
18-18
19-20
22-23
18-18
21-18
13-16
21-27
10-18
16-15
18-10
24-13
18-20
11-16
18-21
22-17
27-22
13-14
21-14
24-16
19-17
17-17
16-16
16-15
150.4Avg total
75.3Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.280.1155.3-4.845%
Season at home (10)75.675.4151.0+0.270%
Season away (10)74.984.8159.7-9.920%
Last 10 (10)75.375.1150.4+0.250%
Last 5 (5)72.668.0140.6+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)70.783.9154.6-13.320%
vs Similar (12)79.980.7160.6-0.858%
vs Weaker (3)74.367.0141.3+7.3100%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#13
W
74-65
74
65
+9
66avg 68
A05/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
67avg 68
A09/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
66-70
66
70
-4
56avg 68
H11/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
82-69
82
69
+13
85avg 68
H25/01
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
86-69
86
69
+17
86avg 68
A02/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
66-82
66
82
-16
62avg 68
H08/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
83avg 68
A16/02
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
100-80
100
80
+20
100avg 68
H22/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
94-82
94
82
+12
89avg 68
A02/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
102-106
102
106
-4
91avg 68
H08/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
16-15
23-12
10-21
18-21
20-16
20-22
16-15
13-22
14-9
17-19
22-20
21-10
18-18
20-19
23-22
22-16
22-16
19-15
23-22
10-22
17-19
15-26
24-15
20-10
20-25
18-24
32-21
27-24
24-20
20-15
29-21
19-33
27-18
28-9
20-22
30-29
32-25
17-20
23-32
163.3Avg total
84.1Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.276.2153.4+1.048%
Season at home (11)76.877.7154.5-0.945%
Season away (10)77.774.5152.2+3.250%
Last 10 (10)84.179.2163.3+4.960%
Last 5 (5)90.486.0176.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.199.4173.6-25.30%
vs Similar (9)68.178.0146.1-9.911%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.174.8158.9+9.275%
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +1.1+1.1
MaiaLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H21/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A28/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H04/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A11/01
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A25/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H01/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H08/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A15/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A01/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H08/03
Proliga
73.5Avg total
35.6Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.841.176.9-5.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.938.975.8-1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)34.643.478.0-8.813%-
Last 10 (10)35.637.973.5-2.360%-
Last 5 (5)34.035.069.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)34.242.176.3-7.920%-
vs Similar (12)38.441.179.5-2.750%-
vs Weaker (3)33.036.369.3-3.333%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#13
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A05/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A09/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H11/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H25/01
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A02/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H08/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A16/02
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H22/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A02/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H08/03
Proliga
80.0Avg total
41.5Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.779.3-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.942.982.9-3.029%-
Last 30 away (13)37.037.774.7-0.746%-
Last 10 (10)41.538.580.0+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)45.245.090.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.351.090.3-11.70%-
vs Similar (9)31.235.766.9-4.422%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.836.780.4+7.175%-
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.5
48.8%
49.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.3
31.3%
30.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.412.6
72.4%
68.4%12.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.4
53.4%
49.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.5
34.4%
30.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.716.0
77.3%
68.4%16.0
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
WWLWLLLWLW
Lusitania
LWWWLWWLLW
#8
League position
#6
+0.6
Net rating
+6.8
102.7
Offensive rating
106.7
102.2
Defensive rating
99.9
48.1%
Effective FG%
52.7%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
19.3%
Turnover %
22.1%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.3%
3-point %
34.4%
48.5%
Assist %
58.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 106.7Defence102.2 · 99.9Shooting48.1% · 52.7%3-point %31.3% · 34.4%Ball care19.3% · 22.1%Off. rebounds34.7% · 34.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Maia   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Maia wins
7
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Lusitania v Maia82-69
09/12/23Lusitania v Maia76-82
03/04/21Lusitania v Maia93-67
03/01/21Maia v Lusitania65-76
07/12/19Lusitania v Maia87-90
22/04/17Lusitania v Maia87-85
18/03/17Maia v Lusitania88-77
21/01/17Maia v Lusitania82-89
05/11/16Lusitania v Maia89-86
09/04/16Lusitania v Maia59-58
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HBarreirense68-65
01/03/25AGinasio85-66
15/02/25ABenfica Lisboa B69-74
08/02/25HGalitos Aveiro68-56
01/02/25HSampaense73-79
25/01/25ALusitania69-82
11/01/25ASampaense84-97
04/01/25HGalitos Aveiro73-68
28/12/24ASangalhos86-88
21/12/24HVasco Da Gama78-76
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HGinasio102-106
02/03/25ABenfica Lisboa B94-82
22/02/25HSampaense100-80
16/02/25ABarreirense90-80
08/02/25HSanto Andre66-82
02/02/25AGalitos Aveiro86-69
25/01/25HMaia82-69
11/01/25HCAB Madeira66-70
09/01/25AImortal B81-89 OT
05/01/25ABarreirense74-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW45%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%70%20%
Points / game75.275.674.9
Allowed / game80.175.484.8
Point differential-4.8+0.2-9.9
Avg total155.3151.0159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lusitania
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL48%
HomeLWLWL45%
AwayWLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%45%50%
Points / game77.276.877.7
Allowed / game76.277.774.5
Point differential+1.0-0.9+3.2
Avg total153.4154.5152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%36%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga2117481%83.669.5+14.0
2 Vasco Da Gama2217577%82.876.9+5.9
3 Portimonense2214864%76.372.5+3.9
4 CB Queluz2214864%77.574.1+3.4
5 CAB Madeira2113862%74.768.8+5.9
6 Illiabum2112957%73.768.0+5.7
7 Santo Andre2112957%71.868.6+3.2
8 Lusitania21101148%77.276.2+1.0
9 Maia2091145%75.280.1-4.8
10 Imortal B2191243%66.571.5-5.0
11 Sangalhos2291341%77.577.3+0.2
12 Ginasio2291341%80.085.8-5.8
13 Benfica Lisboa B2291341%67.873.9-6.1
14 Sampaense2281436%79.485.5-6.1
15 Barreirense2271532%71.675.9-4.3
16 Galitos Aveiro2231914%67.778.1-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maia1930182693
Lusitania2814172786
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