LWD Basket vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 May 2013

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 63-68

12-20 18-21 13-11 20-16

Position#4

Record26-18

FormWWLWL

Points / game81.8

Allowed / game78.3

LWD Basket

Leiden 🏆

Position#1

Record34-9

FormWWWWW

Points / game77.0

Allowed / game65.1

DBLDBL - Final

Other2012-13

Meetings · LWD Basket v Leiden

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LWD Basket winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Leiden winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LWD Basket Netherlands

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Bosch

96-76

+20

H06/04

DBL

Rotterdam

#10

87-75

+12

A13/04

DBL

Zwolle

73-67

H18/04

DBL

Zwolle

76-67

A21/04

DBL

Zwolle

68-67

H23/04

DBL

Den Bosch

82-67

+15

A01/05

DBL

Den Bosch

62-60

H05/05

DBL

Den Bosch

63-106

106

-43

A07/05

DBL

Den Bosch

93-76

+17

H09/05

DBL

Leiden

73-74

-1

A15/05

DBL

20-22

25-12

18-22

33-20

25-20

22-16

23-15

17-24

17-20

14-21

17-11

25-15

11-18

22-12

23-15

20-22

20-20

12-17

19-18

17-12

22-20

16-19

16-20

28-8

17-10

8-17

17-21

20-12

15-24

15-28

13-27

20-27

27-9

23-23

18-14

25-30

17-17

21-22

20-9

15-26

150.8Avg total

77.3Scored

73.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (44)	81.8	78.3	160.1	+3.5	59%
Season at home (22)	87.2	75.8	163.0	+11.5	86%
Season away (22)	76.3	80.9	157.2	-4.5	32%
Last 10 (10)	77.3	73.5	150.8	+3.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	76.6	151.2	-2.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	72.0	77.3	149.3	-5.3	40%
vs Similar (9)	81.1	76.8	157.9	+4.3	78%
vs Weaker (11)	86.1	75.4	161.5	+10.7	73%

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leiden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Bosch

85-88

-3

A01/04

DBL

Weert

91-58

+33

H06/04

DBL

Donar Groningen

70-79

-9

A13/04

DBL

Wijchen

64-53

+11

H17/04

DBL

Wijchen

67-56

+11

A20/04

DBL

Wijchen

88-64

+24

H23/04

DBL

Donar Groningen

75-52

+23

H01/05

DBL

Donar Groningen

64-57

A03/05

DBL

Donar Groningen

68-64

H07/05

DBL

LWD Basket

74-73

H15/05

DBL

20-28

17-18

25-12

23-30

24-14

23-13

24-13

20-18

18-17

14-13

17-26

21-23

15-9

15-10

25-13

9-21

17-19

18-9

20-11

12-17

26-15

26-17

18-15

18-17

17-16

25-10

17-9

16-17

9-6

18-22

13-10

24-19

14-18

18-13

19-18

17-15

17-17

22-21

9-20

26-15

139.0Avg total

74.6Scored

64.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (43)	77.0	65.1	142.1	+11.9	79%
Season at home (23)	76.6	60.8	137.4	+15.8	96%
Season away (20)	77.5	70.2	147.6	+7.3	60%
Last 10 (10)	74.6	64.4	139.0	+10.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	73.8	62.0	135.8	+11.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	86.0	84.3	170.3	+1.7	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	75.7	64.1	139.9	+11.6	81%

This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LWD BasketLeiden

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.3	18.8	41.2	+3.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	21.6	39.1	-4.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.0	37.1	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.0	35.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.9	18.1	36.0	-0.2	30%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.6	20.9	40.5	-1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.6	22.4	44.0	-0.9	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.6	16.6	35.3	+2.0	61%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.3	16.5	34.8	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.1	16.8	35.9	+2.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	15.9	33.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	14.4	31.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	19.5	23.5	43.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	18.6	16.1	34.7	+2.5	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.3	17.6	36.9	+1.6	44%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.9	16.8	36.7	+3.2	42%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.3	37.1	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	18.7	36.5	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	21.8	38.4	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.3	19.8	37.1	-2.5	10%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.3	13.8	35.1	+7.6	89%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.8	15.6	33.4	+2.2	61%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	13.6	32.0	+4.8	81%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.0	18.2	35.2	-1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	14.6	34.2	+5.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	16.6	38.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	14.5	19.5	34.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	18.0	15.3	33.3	+2.7	65%	-

LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Bosch

45-34

+11

H06/04

DBL

Rotterdam

#10

47-36

+11

A13/04

DBL

Zwolle

31-41

-10

H18/04

DBL

Zwolle

33-30

A21/04

DBL

Zwolle

32-37

-5

H23/04

DBL

Den Bosch

38-39

-1

A01/05

DBL

Den Bosch

25-27

-2

H05/05

DBL

Den Bosch

30-52

-22

A07/05

DBL

Den Bosch

50-32

+18

H09/05

DBL

Leiden

38-39

-1

A15/05

DBL

73.6Avg total

36.9Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	38.9	38.0	76.9	+0.9	44%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.2	35.6	77.8	+6.7	58%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.2	39.9	76.1	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	36.7	73.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	37.8	74.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	35.2	37.9	73.1	-2.7	20%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.0	40.1	79.1	-1.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	42.9	36.2	79.1	+6.7	78%	-

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Bosch

37-46

-9

A01/04

DBL

Weert

47-27

+20

H06/04

DBL

Donar Groningen

32-30

A13/04

DBL

Wijchen

30-19

+11

H17/04

DBL

Wijchen

35-28

A20/04

DBL

Wijchen

52-32

+20

H23/04

DBL

Donar Groningen

42-26

+16

H01/05

DBL

Donar Groningen

27-28

-1

A03/05

DBL

Donar Groningen

32-31

H07/05

DBL

LWD Basket

39-38

H15/05

DBL

67.8Avg total

37.3Scored

30.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	36.4	32.2	68.7	+4.2	68%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.7	30.1	66.8	+6.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (12)	36.1	35.1	71.2	+1.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	30.5	67.8	+6.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	31.0	69.4	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	34.0	43.0	77.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	36.6	31.4	68.0	+5.2	73%	-

This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.4	18.1	37.4	+1.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.9	18.1	38.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	18.1	37.0	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	17.2	35.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.2	35.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.4	18.4	34.8	-2.0	30%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.9	15.9	35.8	+4.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.2	19.7	41.9	+2.6	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.9	15.5	35.4	+4.4	79%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	14.6	34.3	+5.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.1	16.8	36.8	+3.3	83%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	14.7	33.4	+4.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	14.4	29.6	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	28.5	13.0	41.5	+15.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	19.2	15.7	34.9	+3.5	77%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.4	20.4	40.8	-0.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.3	19.3	41.7	+3.0	83%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	21.3	40.1	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.8	20.3	40.1	-0.6	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.8	17.3	37.1	+2.5	61%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	16.2	35.8	+3.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.6	36.8	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	20.0	23.0	43.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	19.8	16.9	36.7	+2.9	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	39.7	38.5	78.2	+1.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.2	37.4	79.7	+4.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	39.3	77.1	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	36.8	77.2	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	38.8	77.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	36.8	39.4	76.2	-2.6	30%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.9	35.6	76.5	+5.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (9)	42.0	40.0	82.0	+2.0	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	39.7	32.8	72.5	+6.9	79%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.4	30.8	70.1	+8.6	81%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.2	35.6	75.8	+4.6	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	33.9	71.2	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	31.0	66.4	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	48.5	36.0	84.5	+12.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	39.0	32.6	71.6	+6.5	77%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

LWD Basket wins

Leiden wins

Date	Game	Score
15/05/13	Leiden v LWD Basket	74-73
06/03/13	Leiden v LWD Basket	70-59
19/01/13	LWD Basket v Leiden	72-93
22/12/12	Leiden v LWD Basket	72-58
10/11/12	LWD Basket v Leiden	73-69
01/05/12	Leiden v LWD Basket	82-72
24/04/12	LWD Basket v Leiden	55-87
07/04/12	Leiden v LWD Basket	81-71
18/02/12	LWD Basket v Leiden	76-77
21/01/12	Leiden v LWD Basket	88-65

LWD Basketlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/05/13	A	Leiden	73-74
09/05/13	H	Den Bosch	93-76
07/05/13	A	Den Bosch	63-106
05/05/13	H	Den Bosch	62-60
01/05/13	A	Den Bosch	82-67
23/04/13	H	Zwolle	68-67
21/04/13	A	Zwolle	76-67
18/04/13	H	Zwolle	73-67
13/04/13	A	Rotterdam	87-75
06/04/13	H	Den Bosch	96-76

Leidenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/05/13	H	LWD Basket	74-73
07/05/13	H	Donar Groningen	68-64
03/05/13	A	Donar Groningen	64-57
01/05/13	H	Donar Groningen	75-52
23/04/13	H	Wijchen	88-64
20/04/13	A	Wijchen	67-56
17/04/13	H	Wijchen	64-53
13/04/13	A	Donar Groningen	70-79
06/04/13	H	Weert	91-58
01/04/13	A	Den Bosch	85-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LWD Basket

DBL 2012-13

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	59%
Home	WWWWW	86%
Away	WWWLL	32%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	44	22	22
Win %	59%	86%	32%
Points / game	81.8	87.2	76.3
Allowed / game	78.3	75.8	80.9
Point differential	+3.5	+11.5	-4.5
Avg total	160.1	163.0	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	34%	50%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (10)	100% (3)	29% (7)
Overtime %	7%	5%	9%

Leiden

DBL 2012-13

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	79%
Home	WWWWW	96%
Away	LLLWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	43	23	20
Win %	79%	96%	60%
Points / game	77.0	76.6	77.5
Allowed / game	65.1	60.8	70.2
Point differential	+11.9	+15.8	+7.3
Avg total	142.1	137.4	147.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	78%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	42% (12)	75% (4)	25% (8)
Overtime %	5%	4%	5%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Den Bosch	43	34	9	79%	84.7	69.6	+15.2
2	Leiden	43	34	9	79%	77.0	65.1	+11.9
3	Donar Groningen	42	29	13	69%	77.0	71.3	+5.7
4	LWD Basket	44	26	18	59%	81.8	78.3	+3.5
5	Zwolle	39	19	20	49%	79.4	77.9	+1.5
6	Den Helder	39	18	21	46%	70.4	73.2	-2.8
7	Wijchen	39	17	22	44%	78.8	82.1	-3.3
8	Weert	39	16	23	41%	75.2	81.6	-6.4
9	Amsterdam	36	4	32	11%	70.6	85.1	-14.5
10	Rotterdam	36	3	33	8%	71.9	88.7	-16.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
LWD Basket	12	18	13	20	63
Leiden	20	21	11	16	68

← all games of the day

LWD Basket vs Leiden Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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