LWD Basket vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2014

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 81-101

30-27 11-26 17-25 23-23

Position#6

Record2-5

FormWLLLL

Points / game75.7

Allowed / game87.3

LWD Basket

Leiden 🏆

Position#2

Record6-1

FormWWWLW

Points / game83.0

Allowed / game67.1

DBL

Other2014-15

Meetings · LWD Basket v Leiden

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LWD Basket winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Leiden winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LWD Basket Netherlands

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Amsterdam

79-67

+12

A19/04

DBL

Den Bosch

63-110

110

-47

A24/04

DBL

Den Bosch

80-88

-8

H27/04

DBL

Leiden

81-113

113

-32

A04/10

DBL

Weert

73-61

+12

H11/10

DBL

Amsterdam

82-76

A16/10

DBL

Rotterdam

91-92

-1

H18/10

DBL

Zwolle

77-89

-12

A26/10

DBL

Donar Groningen

54-86

-32

A28/10

DBL

Den Bosch

72-94

-22

H01/11

DBL

18-16

19-10

20-25

22-16

16-26

17-40

12-26

18-18

15-19

24-21

18-29

23-19

20-19

26-29

19-37

16-28

10-14

24-14

20-16

19-17

15-17

17-15

22-25

28-19

30-17

31-18

17-23

13-34

23-16

17-23

15-27

22-23

12-23

14-25

12-25

16-13

18-24

13-27

26-16

15-27

162.8Avg total

75.2Scored

87.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	75.7	87.3	163.0	-11.6	29%
Season at home (3)	78.7	82.3	161.0	-3.7	33%
Season away (4)	73.5	91.0	164.5	-17.5	25%
Last 10 (10)	75.2	87.6	162.8	-12.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	87.4	162.6	-12.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	72.6	87.8	160.4	-15.2	21%
vs Similar (1)	91.0	92.0	183.0	-1.0	0%
vs Weaker (10)	80.4	72.5	152.9	+7.9	80%

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leiden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Donar Groningen

66-74

-8

A06/05

DBL

Donar Groningen

66-72

-6

H08/05

DBL

Donar Groningen

62-76

-14

A11/05

DBL

LWD Basket

113-81

113

+32

H04/10

DBL

Weert

73-59

+14

A14/10

DBL

Amsterdam

95-66

+29

H18/10

DBL

Rotterdam

86-73

+13

A25/10

DBL

Zwolle

76-54

+22

H29/10

DBL

Den Bosch

66-67

-1

H08/11

DBL

Donar Groningen

72-70

A13/11

DBL

15-20

14-11

23-20

14-23

14-18

12-17

26-16

14-21

12-20

14-14

20-25

16-17

19-20

29-26

37-19

28-16

12-12

21-18

12-15

28-14

21-18

20-14

28-19

26-15

–

21-12

15-14

22-19

18-9

15-19

22-20

14-10

15-18

20-21

11-20

22-10

19-19

146.7Avg total

77.5Scored

69.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	83.0	67.1	150.1	+15.9	86%
Season at home (4)	87.5	67.0	154.5	+20.5	75%
Season away (3)	77.0	67.3	144.3	+9.7	100%
Last 10 (10)	77.5	69.2	146.7	+8.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	66.0	145.0	+13.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	67.0	72.6	139.6	-5.6	25%
vs Similar (9)	76.8	68.9	145.7	+7.9	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	84.4	65.5	149.8	+18.9	92%

This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LWD BasketLeiden

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.8	40.3	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	19.1	36.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.4	21.6	41.1	-2.2	37%	-
vs Similar (1)	30.0	17.0	47.0	+13.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.5	17.2	36.7	+2.3	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	16.8	16.9	33.8	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	15.9	34.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.0	18.1	33.1	-3.1	23%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.6	17.8	34.3	-1.2	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.4	34.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	14.1	18.3	32.4	-4.1	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.3	17.7	35.0	-0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	18.0	15.6	33.6	+2.4	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	20.4	37.6	-3.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	20.9	36.9	-4.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	22.2	42.4	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.6	40.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	16.3	22.8	39.1	-6.5	21%	-
vs Similar (1)	31.0	18.0	49.0	+13.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (10)	17.5	16.2	33.7	+1.3	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.1	16.9	36.0	+2.2	61%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	16.8	36.7	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.3	17.0	35.3	+1.3	54%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.6	17.1	34.7	+0.4	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.2	35.0	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	14.0	16.1	30.1	-2.1	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.8	17.7	38.4	+3.1	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.9	16.8	37.7	+4.2	67%	-

LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Amsterdam

37-26

+11

A19/04

DBL

Den Bosch

33-66

-33

A24/04

DBL

Den Bosch

39-40

-1

H27/04

DBL

Leiden

46-48

-2

A04/10

DBL

Weert

34-28

H11/10

DBL

Amsterdam

32-32

A16/10

DBL

Rotterdam

61-35

+26

H18/10

DBL

Zwolle

40-39

A26/10

DBL

Donar Groningen

26-48

-22

A28/10

DBL

Den Bosch

31-51

-20

H01/11

DBL

79.2Avg total

37.9Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	40.4	77.4	-3.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.4	39.2	77.6	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.6	41.7	77.3	-6.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	41.3	79.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	41.0	79.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	35.7	44.4	80.2	-8.7	16%	-
vs Similar (1)	61.0	35.0	96.0	+26.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (10)	37.0	33.4	70.4	+3.6	50%	-

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Donar Groningen

29-31

-2

A06/05

DBL

Donar Groningen

26-35

-9

H08/05

DBL

Donar Groningen

26-34

-8

A11/05

DBL

LWD Basket

48-46

H04/10

DBL

Weert

33-30

A14/10

DBL

Amsterdam

41-32

H18/10

DBL

Zwolle

36-26

+10

H29/10

DBL

Den Bosch

37-39

-2

H08/11

DBL

Donar Groningen

31-41

-10

A13/11

DBL

69.0Avg total

34.1Scored

34.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	36.0	33.8	69.8	+2.1	54%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	32.7	71.0	+5.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (13)	33.3	35.1	68.4	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	34.1	34.9	69.0	-0.8	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	33.6	69.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	28.1	34.4	62.6	-6.3	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.1	35.3	73.4	+2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	38.9	32.3	71.2	+6.6	83%	-

This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.5	39.0	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.7	37.7	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.8	23.4	40.2	-6.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	24.9	43.0	-6.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	23.2	41.6	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.9	22.2	40.1	-4.3	37%	-
vs Similar (1)	17.0	23.0	40.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.6	17.1	36.7	+2.5	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.5	17.1	37.7	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	16.8	38.3	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.4	17.5	36.9	+1.8	62%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.7	17.0	39.7	+5.7	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	14.6	34.2	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.4	17.4	37.9	+3.0	57%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.6	16.9	35.4	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.1	17.2	39.2	+4.9	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.1	40.7	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	22.5	42.5	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.2	42.0	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	37%	-
vs Similar (1)	13.0	34.0	47.0	-21.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.0	15.8	35.8	+4.2	68%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	14.7	33.3	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	17.0	38.5	+4.5	69%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.8	16.9	36.7	+2.9	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	15.0	36.2	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.4	16.9	32.3	-1.4	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.1	15.6	34.7	+3.6	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	23.2	15.3	38.6	+7.9	92%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	41.6	79.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	40.2	80.3	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.0	43.0	79.0	-7.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	46.3	83.6	-9.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	46.4	83.6	-9.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	36.9	43.4	80.3	-6.5	21%	-
vs Similar (1)	30.0	57.0	87.0	-27.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.0	36.7	77.7	+4.3	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	40.5	32.9	73.4	+7.6	86%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	31.5	71.7	+8.6	93%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.9	34.5	75.5	+6.4	77%	-
Last 10 (9)	42.4	33.9	76.3	+8.6	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	29.6	70.4	+11.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.9	34.3	70.1	+1.6	57%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.7	32.4	70.1	+5.2	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	45.3	32.5	77.8	+12.8	92%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

LWD Basket wins

Leiden wins

Date	Game	Score
04/10/14	Leiden v LWD Basket	113-81
19/03/14	LWD Basket v Leiden	83-71
01/02/14	Leiden v LWD Basket	80-68
28/11/13	LWD Basket v Leiden	78-94
09/11/13	Leiden v LWD Basket	86-66
23/05/13	LWD Basket v Leiden	59-65
21/05/13	Leiden v LWD Basket	74-64
18/05/13	LWD Basket v Leiden	63-68
15/05/13	Leiden v LWD Basket	74-73
06/03/13	Leiden v LWD Basket	70-59

LWD Basketlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/14	H	Den Bosch	72-94
28/10/14	A	Donar Groningen	54-86
26/10/14	A	Zwolle	77-89
18/10/14	H	Rotterdam	91-92
16/10/14	A	Amsterdam	82-76
11/10/14	H	Weert	73-61
04/10/14	A	Leiden	81-113
27/04/14	H	Den Bosch	80-88
24/04/14	A	Den Bosch	63-110
19/04/14	A	Amsterdam	79-67

Leidenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/11/14	A	Donar Groningen	72-70
08/11/14	H	Den Bosch	66-67
29/10/14	H	Zwolle	76-54
25/10/14	A	Rotterdam	86-73
18/10/14	H	Amsterdam	95-66
14/10/14	A	Weert	73-59
04/10/14	H	LWD Basket	113-81
11/05/14	A	Donar Groningen	62-76
08/05/14	H	Donar Groningen	66-72
06/05/14	A	Donar Groningen	66-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LWD Basket

DBL 2014-15

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	29%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	LWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	29%	33%	25%
Points / game	75.7	78.7	73.5
Allowed / game	87.3	82.3	91.0
Point differential	-11.6	-3.7	-17.5
Avg total	163.0	161.0	164.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Leiden

DBL 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	86%
Home	WWWL	75%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	86%	75%	100%
Points / game	83.0	87.5	77.0
Allowed / game	67.1	67.0	67.3
Point differential	+15.9	+20.5	+9.7
Avg total	150.1	154.5	144.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	71%	75%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Den Bosch	7	6	1	86%	82.1	63.7	+18.4
2	Leiden	7	6	1	86%	83.0	67.1	+15.9
3	Zwolle	7	6	1	86%	79.9	71.7	+8.1
4	Donar Groningen	9	6	3	67%	76.9	64.2	+12.7
5	Rotterdam	9	4	5	44%	79.1	82.1	-3.0
6	LWD Basket	7	2	5	29%	75.7	87.3	-11.6
7	Weert	9	1	8	11%	64.0	79.9	-15.9
8	Amsterdam	7	0	7	0%	61.0	83.9	-22.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
LWD Basket	30	11	17	23	81
Leiden	27	26	25	23	101

← all games of the day

LWD Basket vs Leiden Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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