LWD Basket vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2015

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 76-89

18-21 13-22 22-27 23-19

Position#6

Record6-14

FormWLLLL

Points / game79.5

Allowed / game88.2

LWD Basket

Leiden 🏆

Position#2

Record17-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game88.5

Allowed / game71.7

DBL

Other2014-15

Meetings · LWD Basket v Leiden

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LWD Basket winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Leiden winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LWD Basket Netherlands

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rotterdam

85-110

110

-25

A06/12

DBL

Zwolle

79-87

-8

H13/12

DBL

Donar Groningen

92-86

H16/12

DBL

Leiden

83-94

-11

A17/01

DBL

Weert

91-85

H25/01

DBL

Rotterdam

87-73

+14

H01/02

DBL

Zwolle

56-84

-28

A08/02

DBL

Den Bosch

66-93

-27

A12/02

DBL

Amsterdam

79-81

-2

A15/02

DBL

Donar Groningen

79-97

-18

H24/02

DBL

22-26

22-27

23-28

18-29

23-23

15-13

30-26

11-25

14-26

25-19

34-24

19-17

22-22

20-23

16-22

25-27

27-16

17-21

20-18

27-30

22-21

18-9

27-20

20-23

–

14-25

19-25

12-21

21-22

14-16

22-13

19-28

24-24

25-14

15-28

25-28

14-27

168.7Avg total

79.7Scored

89.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	79.5	88.2	167.8	-8.7	30%
Season at home (10)	83.4	87.3	170.7	-3.9	40%
Season away (10)	75.7	89.1	164.8	-13.4	20%
Last 10 (10)	79.7	89.0	168.7	-9.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	85.6	159.0	-12.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	76.5	90.3	166.8	-13.8	22%
vs Similar (3)	87.7	91.7	179.3	-4.0	33%
vs Weaker (9)	84.7	77.6	162.2	+7.1	67%

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leiden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rotterdam

97-89

H13/12

DBL

Zwolle

86-79

A16/12

DBL

Donar Groningen

72-81

-9

H20/12

DBL

Den Bosch

77-82

-5

A26/12

DBL

LWD Basket

94-83

+11

H17/01

DBL

Weert

99-53

+46

A27/01

DBL

Amsterdam

97-61

+36

H31/01

DBL

Rotterdam

109-72

109

+37

A07/02

DBL

Zwolle

93-80

+13

H14/02

DBL

Donar Groningen

76-72

H28/02

DBL

27-23

19-23

27-28

24-15

15-20

19-22

30-18

22-19

–

17-13

13-16

21-28

26-25

22-22

23-20

22-16

27-25

16-11

24-8

27-17

32-17

16-13

30-20

21-13

30-15

–

24-30

21-27

20-9

28-14

20-18

21-12

10-23

25-19

165.2Avg total

90.0Scored

75.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	88.5	71.7	160.2	+16.9	85%
Season at home (11)	89.2	71.7	160.9	+17.5	82%
Season away (9)	87.8	71.6	159.3	+16.2	89%
Last 10 (10)	90.0	75.2	165.2	+14.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	94.8	67.6	162.4	+27.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	65.8	65.0	130.8	+0.8	40%
vs Similar (7)	74.4	71.7	146.1	+2.7	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	90.4	71.3	161.8	+19.1	94%

This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LWD BasketLeiden

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.7	20.6	41.2	+0.1	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	19.7	41.5	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	21.4	40.9	-2.0	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.3	21.0	41.3	-0.7	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.8	21.4	42.1	-0.6	47%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.7	21.3	46.0	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.3	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	18.4	18.3	36.7	+0.1	44%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.4	38.1	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (12)	16.8	18.2	35.1	-1.4	33%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.9	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	14.8	17.4	32.2	-2.6	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.0	17.9	34.9	-0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.3	18.9	39.1	+1.4	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.6	20.8	39.3	-2.2	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	21.8	40.9	-2.6	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.5	23.4	40.8	-5.9	24%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.7	18.0	41.7	+5.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.9	16.8	35.7	+2.1	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.5	16.9	36.4	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	17.8	38.6	+3.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.9	15.8	33.7	+2.2	50%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.2	18.5	39.8	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	17.4	41.2	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	13.0	11.4	24.4	+1.6	60%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.1	18.6	37.7	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.9	17.9	39.8	+3.9	73%	-

LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rotterdam

44-53

-9

A06/12

DBL

Zwolle

38-36

H13/12

DBL

Donar Groningen

39-45

-6

H16/12

DBL

Leiden

42-45

-3

A17/01

DBL

Weert

44-37

H25/01

DBL

Rotterdam

40-30

+10

H01/02

DBL

Den Bosch

33-50

-17

A12/02

DBL

Amsterdam

36-29

A15/02

DBL

Donar Groningen

40-42

-2

H24/02

DBL

80.3Avg total

39.6Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.2	41.3	80.5	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.8	39.5	79.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	43.2	81.8	-4.6	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.6	40.8	80.3	-1.2	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	37.6	76.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	38.2	44.7	82.9	-6.5	24%	-
vs Similar (3)	48.3	39.3	87.7	+9.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	38.0	35.6	73.6	+2.4	56%	-

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rotterdam

46-46

H13/12

DBL

Zwolle

34-42

-8

A16/12

DBL

Den Bosch

30-29

A26/12

DBL

LWD Basket

45-42

H17/01

DBL

Weert

40-19

+21

A27/01

DBL

Amsterdam

46-33

+13

H31/01

DBL

Zwolle

45-57

-12

H14/02

DBL

Donar Groningen

41-30

+11

H28/02

DBL

78.1Avg total

40.9Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	37.9	35.2	73.1	+2.7	56%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	36.2	76.7	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (12)	34.8	34.0	68.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (8)	40.9	37.2	78.1	+3.6	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	36.2	79.6	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	27.8	28.8	56.6	-1.0	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	36.1	36.4	72.6	-0.3	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	42.1	36.8	78.9	+5.3	73%	-

This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	22.1	42.4	-1.8	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	20.0	42.3	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	24.4	42.6	-6.2	21%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.9	23.9	46.8	-1.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	23.0	43.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.4	23.2	42.6	-3.9	35%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.3	23.7	46.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.9	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.9	17.3	39.1	+4.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	16.2	37.8	+5.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.2	18.6	40.8	+3.6	67%	-
Last 10 (8)	22.2	19.0	41.2	+3.2	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	15.6	35.6	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	60%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.6	16.4	35.0	+2.1	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	23.7	17.5	41.1	+6.2	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.0	22.9	43.9	-1.8	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	25.6	47.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	19.9	40.4	+0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.9	24.9	44.8	-5.0	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	25.2	46.4	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.1	22.7	42.8	-2.6	35%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.0	28.7	45.7	-11.7	0%	-
vs Weaker (9)	24.1	21.2	45.3	+2.9	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.4	16.7	38.2	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	15.8	36.7	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.1	17.9	40.0	+4.2	67%	-
Last 10 (8)	26.8	18.6	45.4	+8.1	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.4	18.0	46.4	+10.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.2	17.2	32.4	-2.0	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.4	17.4	35.9	+1.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	24.9	16.3	41.2	+8.7	87%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.3	45.0	86.3	-3.7	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.9	45.6	89.5	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	44.4	83.0	-5.7	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	42.8	48.8	91.6	-6.0	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	48.2	90.0	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	39.5	45.9	85.4	-6.5	24%	-
vs Similar (3)	39.3	52.3	91.7	-13.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	45.6	40.8	86.3	+4.8	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	43.3	34.0	77.3	+9.3	81%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	32.0	74.5	+10.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (12)	44.2	36.5	80.8	+7.8	75%	-
Last 10 (8)	49.0	37.6	86.6	+11.4	75%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	33.6	82.0	+14.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.2	35.0	71.2	+1.2	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.0	33.9	70.9	+3.1	86%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	48.6	33.7	82.3	+14.9	93%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

LWD Basket wins

Leiden wins

Date	Game	Score
17/01/15	Leiden v LWD Basket	94-83
22/11/14	LWD Basket v Leiden	81-101
04/10/14	Leiden v LWD Basket	113-81
19/03/14	LWD Basket v Leiden	83-71
01/02/14	Leiden v LWD Basket	80-68
28/11/13	LWD Basket v Leiden	78-94
09/11/13	Leiden v LWD Basket	86-66
23/05/13	LWD Basket v Leiden	59-65
21/05/13	Leiden v LWD Basket	74-64
18/05/13	LWD Basket v Leiden	63-68

LWD Basketlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/02/15	H	Donar Groningen	79-97
15/02/15	A	Amsterdam	79-81
12/02/15	A	Den Bosch	66-93
08/02/15	A	Zwolle	56-84
01/02/15	H	Rotterdam	87-73
25/01/15	H	Weert	91-85
17/01/15	A	Leiden	83-94
16/12/14	H	Donar Groningen	92-86
13/12/14	H	Zwolle	79-87
06/12/14	A	Rotterdam	85-110

Leidenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/02/15	H	Donar Groningen	76-72
14/02/15	H	Zwolle	93-80
07/02/15	A	Rotterdam	109-72
31/01/15	H	Amsterdam	97-61
27/01/15	A	Weert	99-53
17/01/15	H	LWD Basket	94-83
26/12/14	A	Den Bosch	77-82
20/12/14	H	Donar Groningen	72-81
16/12/14	A	Zwolle	86-79
13/12/14	H	Rotterdam	97-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LWD Basket

DBL 2014-15

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	30%
Home	LWWWL	40%
Away	LLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	30%	40%	20%
Points / game	79.5	83.4	75.7
Allowed / game	88.2	87.3	89.1
Point differential	-8.7	-3.9	-13.4
Avg total	167.8	170.7	164.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	20%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Leiden

DBL 2014-15

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	85%
Home	LWWWW	82%
Away	WWLWW	89%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	11	9
Win %	85%	82%	89%
Points / game	88.5	89.2	87.8
Allowed / game	71.7	71.7	71.6
Point differential	+16.9	+17.5	+16.2
Avg total	160.2	160.9	159.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	65%	64%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Leiden	20	17	3	85%	88.5	71.7	+16.9
2	Den Bosch	19	16	3	84%	85.4	63.9	+21.4
3	Zwolle	20	15	5	75%	80.0	71.8	+8.2
4	Donar Groningen	22	16	6	73%	79.2	67.3	+12.0
5	Rotterdam	21	7	14	33%	80.0	86.8	-6.7
6	LWD Basket	20	6	14	30%	79.5	88.2	-8.7
7	Amsterdam	22	3	19	14%	64.7	83.2	-18.5
8	Weert	22	3	19	14%	62.9	83.4	-20.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
LWD Basket	18	13	22	23	76
Leiden	21	22	27	19	89

← all games of the day

LWD Basket vs Leiden Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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