LWD Basket vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 08 Dec 2015

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 64-88

19-28 11-27 17-14 17-19

Position#6

Record3-5

FormLWLWL

Points / game68.8

Allowed / game80.8

LWD Basket

Leiden 🏆

Position#2

Record6-2

FormLWLWL

Points / game74.0

Allowed / game63.4

DBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · LWD Basket v Leiden

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LWD Basket winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Leiden winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LWD Basket Netherlands

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Donar Groningen

66-101

101

-35

A23/04

DBL

Donar Groningen

73-87

-14

H25/04

DBL

Donar Groningen

65-73

-8

H10/10

DBL

Leiden

60-91

-31

A17/10

DBL

Amsterdam

86-82 OT

H24/10

DBL

Rotterdam

56-74

-18

A31/10

DBL

Weert

84-69

+15

A07/11

DBL

Zwolle

51-86

-35

H14/11

DBL

Den Bosch

78-71

H21/11

DBL

Den Bosch

70-100

100

-30

A06/12

DBL

9-33

19-16

21-34

17-18

14-14

22-20

26-25

11-28

14-13

18-16

14-27

19-17

12-26

18-23

10-24

20-18

28-17

15-19

11-24

16-10

9-20

20-15

11-17

16-22

15-21

27-24

20-9

22-15

16-16

6-24

12-24

17-22

19-19

17-16

20-17

22-19

17-15

20-35

20-24

13-26

152.3Avg total

68.9Scored

83.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	68.8	80.8	149.5	-12.0	38%
Season at home (4)	70.0	78.0	148.0	-8.0	50%
Season away (4)	67.5	83.5	151.0	-16.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	68.9	83.4	152.3	-14.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	67.8	80.0	147.8	-12.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	71.2	88.8	160.1	-17.6	11%
vs Similar (5)	77.8	82.6	160.4	-4.8	60%
vs Weaker (7)	87.0	82.0	169.0	+5.0	57%

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leiden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Bosch

68-58

+10

H31/10

DBL

FC Porto

#32

51-77

-26

A05/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Donar Groningen

66-77

-11

A08/11

DBL

KK Krka Novo mesto

#24

51-79

-28

A11/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Weert

80-55

+25

H14/11

DBL

Frankfurt

51-76

-25

H18/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Amsterdam

70-55

+15

A21/11

DBL

FC Porto

#32

62-70

-8

H25/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Rotterdam

80-69

+11

H28/11

DBL

KK Krka Novo mesto

#24

78-86

-8

H02/12

FIBA Europe Cup

14-14

17-19

18-11

19-14

14-26

17-19

6-21

14-11

17-11

13-16

18-28

18-22

18-24

14-22

11-14

8-19

13-14

21-10

29-10

17-21

16-23

7-18

9-19

19-16

13-17

20-9

17-13

20-16

12-13

9-20

22-18

19-19

22-16

22-19

17-14

19-20

23-25

20-18

18-17

17-26

135.9Avg total

65.7Scored

70.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	74.0	63.4	137.4	+10.6	75%
Season at home (4)	79.8	60.5	140.2	+19.2	100%
Season away (4)	68.2	66.2	134.5	+2.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	65.7	70.2	135.9	-4.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	68.2	71.2	139.4	-3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	58.5	75.2	133.7	-16.7	0%
vs Similar (4)	66.8	77.5	144.2	-10.8	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	78.7	67.8	146.4	+11.0	75%

This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LWD BasketLeiden

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	18.3	21.1	39.4	-2.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.7	19.2	38.8	+0.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.8	23.1	39.9	-6.2	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.3	19.4	34.7	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	18.2	33.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.8	21.5	38.3	-4.7	19%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.7	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	18.0	36.7	+0.8	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	16.9	35.9	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	19.1	37.5	-0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	18.3	34.5	-2.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	18.8	36.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.5	20.7	37.2	-4.2	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.2	16.0	35.2	+3.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.3	17.5	36.8	+1.8	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	18.3	20.3	38.6	-2.0	46%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.8	18.9	35.8	-2.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.7	21.7	41.4	-2.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.8	40.8	-4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.6	21.3	38.9	-3.7	44%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.8	17.5	36.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.2	16.7	34.9	+1.4	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	16.7	35.9	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	16.7	33.8	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	17.0	33.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	16.8	32.4	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	13.2	19.2	32.3	-6.0	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.2	15.0	31.2	+1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.2	16.3	36.5	+3.8	74%	-

LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Donar Groningen

28-49

-21

A23/04

DBL

Donar Groningen

36-34

H25/04

DBL

Donar Groningen

32-29

H10/10

DBL

Leiden

30-49

-19

A17/10

DBL

Amsterdam

43-36

H24/10

DBL

Rotterdam

29-35

-6

A31/10

DBL

Weert

42-45

-3

A07/11

DBL

Zwolle

22-40

-18

H14/11

DBL

Den Bosch

36-35

H21/11

DBL

Den Bosch

37-50

-13

A06/12

DBL

73.7Avg total

33.5Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	36.5	41.4	78.0	-4.9	35%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.5	38.1	74.6	-1.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.5	44.8	81.3	-8.2	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.5	40.2	73.7	-6.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	41.0	74.2	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	34.4	42.8	77.2	-8.4	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.0	38.5	77.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.5	39.7	80.2	+0.8	50%	-

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Bosch

31-33

-2

H31/10

DBL

FC Porto

#32

31-45

-14

A05/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Donar Groningen

30-27

A08/11

DBL

KK Krka Novo mesto

#24

32-46

-14

A11/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Weert

34-24

+10

H14/11

DBL

Frankfurt

23-41

-18

H18/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Amsterdam

33-26

A21/11

DBL

FC Porto

#32

21-33

-12

H25/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Rotterdam

44-35

H28/11

DBL

KK Krka Novo mesto

#24

43-43

H02/12

FIBA Europe Cup

67.5Avg total

32.2Scored

35.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.9	34.7	71.6	+2.2	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	33.6	71.9	+4.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.4	35.9	71.3	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.2	35.3	67.5	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	35.6	68.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	29.7	39.8	69.5	-10.2	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	35.5	31.0	66.5	+4.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	39.5	33.8	73.3	+5.6	68%	-

This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	20.6	22.8	43.5	-2.2	42%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.6	23.2	45.8	-0.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.6	22.5	41.2	-3.9	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	22.5	39.0	-6.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.2	34.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.5	24.6	45.1	-4.1	31%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.0	22.2	40.2	-4.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.7	18.5	41.2	+4.2	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.4	17.8	35.2	-0.3	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	16.9	36.0	+2.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.6	18.8	34.4	-3.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	16.5	33.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	16.2	32.8	+0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	13.8	18.5	32.3	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	13.2	23.8	37.0	-10.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.5	16.3	35.8	+3.2	74%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	18.3	21.7	40.0	-3.5	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.3	22.2	40.5	-3.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	21.3	39.5	-3.1	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	19.5	36.8	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.8	38.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.0	21.7	38.7	-4.7	31%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.5	21.0	38.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.2	22.3	44.5	-0.2	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	18.1	37.1	+0.9	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	18.3	39.3	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	17.9	34.7	-1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	18.4	35.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.0	16.8	31.8	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.0	22.8	40.8	-4.8	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.5	17.5	37.9	+3.0	63%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	38.9	44.6	83.5	-5.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.9	45.3	86.2	-4.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.8	43.8	80.7	-7.0	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.8	42.0	75.8	-8.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	39.0	73.6	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	37.5	46.3	83.8	-8.8	12%	-
vs Similar (4)	35.5	43.2	78.8	-7.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (6)	44.8	40.8	85.7	+4.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.4	35.9	72.3	+0.6	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	35.1	75.3	+5.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.5	36.6	69.1	-4.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.5	34.9	68.4	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	35.6	71.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	28.8	35.3	64.2	-6.5	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	31.2	46.5	77.8	-15.2	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	39.9	33.8	73.7	+6.2	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

LWD Basket wins

Leiden wins

Date	Game	Score
17/10/15	Leiden v LWD Basket	91-60
07/03/15	LWD Basket v Leiden	76-89
17/01/15	Leiden v LWD Basket	94-83
22/11/14	LWD Basket v Leiden	81-101
04/10/14	Leiden v LWD Basket	113-81
19/03/14	LWD Basket v Leiden	83-71
01/02/14	Leiden v LWD Basket	80-68
28/11/13	LWD Basket v Leiden	78-94
09/11/13	Leiden v LWD Basket	86-66
23/05/13	LWD Basket v Leiden	59-65

LWD Basketlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/12/15	A	Den Bosch	70-100
21/11/15	H	Den Bosch	78-71
14/11/15	H	Zwolle	51-86
07/11/15	A	Weert	84-69
31/10/15	A	Rotterdam	56-74
24/10/15	H	Amsterdam	86-82 OT
17/10/15	A	Leiden	60-91
10/10/15	H	Donar Groningen	65-73
25/04/15	H	Donar Groningen	73-87
23/04/15	A	Donar Groningen	66-101

Leidenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/12/15	H	KK Krka Novo mesto	78-86
28/11/15	H	Rotterdam	80-69
25/11/15	H	FC Porto	62-70
21/11/15	A	Amsterdam	70-55
18/11/15	H	Frankfurt	51-76
14/11/15	H	Weert	80-55
11/11/15	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	51-79
08/11/15	A	Donar Groningen	66-77
05/11/15	A	FC Porto	51-77
31/10/15	H	Den Bosch	68-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LWD Basket

DBL 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	38%
Home	LWLW	50%
Away	LLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	38%	50%	25%
Points / game	68.8	70.0	67.5
Allowed / game	80.8	78.0	83.5
Point differential	-12.0	-8.0	-16.0
Avg total	149.5	148.0	151.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	0%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	12%	25%	0%

Leiden

DBL 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	75%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	75%	100%	50%
Points / game	74.0	79.8	68.2
Allowed / game	63.4	60.5	66.2
Point differential	+10.6	+19.2	+2.0
Avg total	137.4	140.2	134.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	75%	100%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zwolle	10	9	1	90%	80.2	65.6	+14.6
2	Leiden	8	6	2	75%	74.0	63.4	+10.6
3	Den Bosch	9	5	4	56%	79.0	70.9	+8.1
4	Donar Groningen	9	5	4	56%	78.8	72.2	+6.6
5	Amsterdam	8	3	5	38%	70.9	73.2	-2.4
6	LWD Basket	8	3	5	38%	68.8	80.8	-12.0
7	Rotterdam	9	3	6	33%	70.4	75.6	-5.1
8	Weert	9	1	8	11%	62.8	85.2	-22.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
LWD Basket	19	11	17	17	64
Leiden	28	27	14	19	88

← all games of the day

LWD Basket vs Leiden Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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