LWD Basket vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 May 2023

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 64-72

17-18 18-19 13-14 16-21

Position#3

Record2-2

FormLWLWL

Points / game92.8

Allowed / game89.8

LWD Basket

Leiden 🏆

Position#1

Record1-0

FormWWLLW

Points / game99.0

Allowed / game93.0

DBLDBL - Semi-finals· Sportcentrum Kalverdijkje

Other2022-23

Meetings · LWD Basket v Leiden

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LWD Basket winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Leiden winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LWD Basket Netherlands

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBasket

Date

Competition

Mechelen

90-96

-6

no box

H02/04

BNXT League

Spirou Charleroi

78-83

-5

no box

A07/04

BNXT League

Antwerp Giants

68-87

-19

no box

H14/04

BNXT League

Limburg

#10

77-96

-19

no box

A19/04

BNXT League

Oostende

78-97

-19

no box

H22/04

BNXT League

Mechelen

61-76

-15

no box

A28/04

BNXT League

Zwolle

101-98

101

96avg 87

A03/05

DBL

Zwolle

76-80

-4

70avg 87

H05/05

DBL

Zwolle

101-82

101

+19

95avg 87

A07/05

DBL

Leiden

93-99 OT

-6

no box

A10/05

DBL

20-20

16-27

26-25

28-24

12-19

21-21

19-22

26-21

12-16

14-26

19-27

23-18

27-17

18-29

15-29

17-21

21-23

23-30

18-22

16-22

19-15

18-22

13-22

11-17

21-25

34-22

26-26

20-25

27-16

13-23

21-15

15-26

32-22

21-22

22-19

26-19

26-18

16-25

23-28

20-14

171.7Avg total

82.3Scored

89.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	92.8	89.8	182.5	+3.0	50%
Season at home (1)	76.0	80.0	156.0	-4.0	0%
Season away (3)	98.3	93.0	191.3	+5.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	82.3	89.4	171.7	-7.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	87.0	173.4	-0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	76.1	88.7	164.8	-12.6	6%
vs Similar (5)	80.2	79.0	159.2	+1.2	60%
vs Weaker (7)	91.1	78.7	169.9	+12.4	86%

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leiden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLeiden

Date

Competition

Oostende

80-75

no box

H18/03

BNXT League

Limburg

#10

73-70

no box

A24/03

BNXT League

Mechelen

75-77

-2

no box

H29/03

BNXT League

Spirou Charleroi

86-66

+20

no box

H01/04

BNXT League

Oostende

56-81

-25

no box

A08/04

BNXT League

Limburg

#10

59-55

no box

H15/04

BNXT League

Spirou Charleroi

98-89 OT

no box

A19/04

BNXT League

Antwerp Giants

64-76

-12

no box

A21/04

BNXT League

Antwerp Giants

75-77

-2

no box

H28/04

BNXT League

LWD Basket

99-93 OT

no box

H10/05

DBL

13-14

20-19

21-20

26-22

18-22

20-17

19-18

16-13

13-16

22-18

17-19

23-24

21-20

21-19

25-11

19-16

14-17

11-18

13-30

18-16

17-17

20-14

4-7

18-17

15-21

19-21

22-19

28-23

16-24

14-19

21-16

13-17

20-20

23-12

16-21

16-24

18-26

25-16

28-23

14-20

152.4Avg total

76.5Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	99.0	93.0	192.0	+6.0	100%
Season at home (1)	99.0	93.0	192.0	+6.0	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	76.5	75.9	152.4	+0.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	78.0	157.0	+1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	71.9	77.9	149.7	-6.0	14%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	78.5	64.7	143.2	+13.9	86%

This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LWD BasketLeiden

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.2	21.8	41.9	-1.6	34%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	22.3	42.8	-1.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	21.3	41.2	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.1	40.8	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	19.2	44.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.8	22.4	41.2	-3.5	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.0	22.6	41.6	-3.6	0%	-
vs Weaker (6)	25.3	19.3	44.7	+6.0	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.3	17.8	37.1	+1.5	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	16.5	36.3	+3.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	19.7	36.2	-3.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.6	38.8	-4.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	16.4	19.4	35.9	-3.0	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	19.9	17.9	37.8	+2.0	48%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.9	21.1	41.0	-1.2	34%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	20.4	41.6	+0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	21.7	40.6	-2.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	24.7	44.1	-5.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.8	43.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.5	22.4	40.9	-3.8	18%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.0	20.5	42.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	16.4	36.7	+3.9	72%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	15.9	39.2	+7.3	93%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	16.9	33.9	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.3	36.8	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.4	36.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	19.3	16.6	35.9	+2.7	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.5	16.4	37.0	+4.1	71%	-

LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mechelen

36-47

-11

H02/04

BNXT League

Spirou Charleroi

33-40

-7

A07/04

BNXT League

Antwerp Giants

26-42

-16

H14/04

BNXT League

Limburg

#10

45-46

-1

A19/04

BNXT League

Oostende

44-53

-9

H22/04

BNXT League

Mechelen

37-37

A28/04

BNXT League

Zwolle

55-47

A03/05

DBL

Zwolle

40-39

H05/05

DBL

Zwolle

53-44

A07/05

DBL

Leiden

42-43

-1

A10/05

DBL

84.9Avg total

41.1Scored

43.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.1	42.9	83.0	-2.8	41%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.7	42.7	84.4	-1.0	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.8	43.0	81.8	-4.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	43.8	84.9	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	42.0	87.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	37.4	44.7	82.1	-7.4	12%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.6	42.2	81.8	-2.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	47.3	39.8	87.2	+7.5	100%	-

This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oostende

33-33

H18/03

BNXT League

Limburg

#10

38-39

-1

A24/03

BNXT League

Mechelen

35-34

H29/03

BNXT League

Spirou Charleroi

42-39

H01/04

BNXT League

Oostende

25-35

-10

A08/04

BNXT League

Limburg

#10

37-31

H15/04

BNXT League

Spirou Charleroi

34-42

-8

A19/04

BNXT League

Antwerp Giants

30-43

-13

A21/04

BNXT League

Antwerp Giants

43-32

+11

H28/04

BNXT League

LWD Basket

43-42

H10/05

DBL

73.0Avg total

36.0Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.6	34.2	73.8	+5.4	69%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	32.4	75.5	+10.7	93%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.8	36.1	71.9	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	37.0	73.0	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	38.0	75.4	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	35.7	36.0	71.7	-0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	40.4	34.3	74.7	+6.1	71%	-

This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	21.1	41.1	-1.0	34%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	21.7	41.4	-2.0	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	23.5	43.7	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.5	22.2	41.8	-2.7	24%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.4	19.0	34.4	-3.6	20%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.7	19.3	42.0	+3.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.4	17.2	36.6	+2.2	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	15.7	34.7	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.2	35.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	18.1	21.3	39.4	-3.1	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	19.5	15.8	35.3	+3.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.9	21.5	40.5	-2.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	19.1	40.4	+2.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.8	20.9	39.7	-2.2	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	25.2	17.8	43.0	+7.4	100%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.2	21.5	42.7	-0.3	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	17.6	37.7	+2.4	62%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	18.5	39.1	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	16.7	36.1	+2.7	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.2	38.3	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.1	17.0	37.1	+3.0	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.2	41.3	81.5	-1.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.4	41.8	81.2	-2.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.9	40.8	81.8	+0.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	44.2	84.6	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	42.2	81.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	38.3	43.2	81.5	-4.9	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	40.6	36.8	77.4	+3.8	100%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.8	40.8	84.7	+3.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.4	34.8	74.2	+4.7	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	34.1	73.8	+5.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.2	35.5	74.7	+3.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	37.6	75.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	37.4	73.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	36.1	41.9	78.0	-5.7	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	39.6	32.9	72.4	+6.7	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

LWD Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LWD Basket: 91.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.3 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.0 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 71.9 points a game

52%

29%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	21.7	59.1%	49.3%	43.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	11.3	42.5%	31.6%	34.0
🏀 Free throws	20.7	14.0	67.7%	71.4%	14.0

They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 69.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 71.9 points a game

52%

29%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	18.5	53.6%	49.3%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.5	7.0	32.6%	31.6%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	16.5	11.5	69.7%	71.4%	11.5

They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.7	22.3	52.3%	49.3%	44.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.7	8.3	40.3%	31.6%	25.0
🏀 Free throws	22.0	16.3	74.2%	71.4%	16.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	17.0	43.6%	49.3%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.0	8.5	40.5%	31.6%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	17.5	12.0	68.6%	71.4%	12.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.7	22.3	52.3%	49.3%	44.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.7	8.3	40.3%	31.6%	25.0
🏀 Free throws	22.0	16.3	74.2%	71.4%	16.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	17.0	43.6%	49.3%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.0	8.5	40.5%	31.6%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	17.5	12.0	68.6%	71.4%	12.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/2 games with a box score before 12 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

LWD Basket

LWLWLLLLLL

Leiden

WLLWWLWLWW

League position

+6.8

Net rating

-2.7

117.3

Offensive rating

95.2

110.4

Defensive rating

98.0

61.1%

Effective FG%

51.8%

55.0%

Opp. effective FG%

49.6%

15.3%

Turnover %

27.5%

18.8%

Off. rebound %

35.6%

0.33

Free-throw rate

0.29

42.5%

3-point %

32.6%

60.6%

Assist %

68.6%

20%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ LWD Basket ■ Leiden

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

LWD Basket wins

Leiden wins

Date	Game	Score
10/05/23	Leiden v LWD Basket	99-93 OT
13/01/23	LWD Basket v Leiden	75-76
21/12/22	Leiden v LWD Basket	100-66
18/12/22	LWD Basket v Leiden	74-83
05/11/22	Leiden v LWD Basket	87-70
19/02/22	LWD Basket v Leiden	70-94
22/12/21	Leiden v LWD Basket	114-68
30/01/21	Leiden v LWD Basket	75-63
08/02/20	LWD Basket v Leiden	64-60
04/12/19	Leiden v LWD Basket	73-62

LWD Basketlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/05/23	A	Leiden	93-99 OT
07/05/23	A	Zwolle	101-82
05/05/23	H	Zwolle	76-80
03/05/23	A	Zwolle	101-98
28/04/23	A	Mechelen	61-76
22/04/23	H	Oostende	78-97
19/04/23	A	Limburg	77-96
14/04/23	H	Antwerp Giants	68-87
07/04/23	A	Spirou Charleroi	78-83
02/04/23	H	Mechelen	90-96

Leidenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/05/23	H	LWD Basket	99-93 OT
28/04/23	H	Antwerp Giants	75-77
21/04/23	A	Antwerp Giants	64-76
19/04/23	A	Spirou Charleroi	98-89 OT
15/04/23	H	Limburg	59-55
08/04/23	A	Oostende	56-81
01/04/23	H	Spirou Charleroi	86-66
29/03/23	H	Mechelen	75-77
24/03/23	A	Limburg	73-70
18/03/23	H	Oostende	80-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LWD Basket

DBL 2022-23

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWL	50%
Home	L	0%
Away	WWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	1	3
Win %	50%	0%	67%
Points / game	92.8	76.0	98.3
Allowed / game	89.8	80.0	93.0
Point differential	+3.0	-4.0	+5.3
Avg total	182.5	156.0	191.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	0%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	25%	0%	33%

Leiden

DBL 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	99.0	99.0	-
Allowed / game	93.0	93.0	-
Point differential	+6.0	+6.0	-
Avg total	192.0	192.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	100%	100%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Leiden	1	1	0	100%	99.0	93.0	+6.0
2	Den Bosch	1	1	0	100%	71.0	68.0	+3.0
3	Donar Groningen	3	2	1	67%	77.3	69.3	+8.0
4	LWD Basket	4	2	2	50%	92.8	89.8	+3.0
5	Zwolle	3	1	2	33%	86.7	92.7	-6.0
6	QSTA Utd	2	0	2	0%	68.5	82.0	-13.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
LWD Basket	17	18	13	16	64
Leiden	18	19	14	21	72

← all games of the day

LWD Basket vs Leiden Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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