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Lyon W vs Toulouse W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record5-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game65.6
Lyon W
France
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.5/10
Below normal
3.8/10
Below normal
Toulouse W
France
Position#12
Record1-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game58.5
Allowed / game73.4
FranceLFB WRound 20· Gymnase Mado Bonnet
Women2026-27
Meetings · Lyon W v Toulouse W
27 Feb 2027
LYON v TOUL
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
LYON81
TOUL48
22 Oct 2025
LYON82
TOUL60
10 Oct 2025
LYON76
TOUL72
11 Dec 2022
LYON89
TOUL72
13 Apr 2016
LYON83
TOUL73
25 Mar 2015
LYON53
TOUL62
24 Apr 2014
LYON76
TOUL72
06 Apr 2014
LYON48
TOUL55
07 Dec 2012
LYON63
TOUL41
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lyon W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Toulouse W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lyon WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
La Roche W
#12
W
72-53
72
53
+19
67avg 66
H06/05
LFB W
Toulouse W
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
74avg 66
A12/05
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#2
W
78-70
78
70
+8
74avg 66
A26/09
LFB W
Tronche Meylan W
#11
W
73-56
73
56
+17
49avg 66
H03/10
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#4
L
69-74 OT
69
74
-5
56avg 66
A07/10
LFB W
Bourges W
#6
L
59-72
59
72
-13
49avg 66
H11/10
LFB W
Angers W
#9
W
69-63
69
63
+6
67avg 66
A17/10
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#7
L
77-86 OT
77
86
-9
60avg 66
H23/10
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#8
W
58-42
58
42
+16
51avg 66
H01/11
LFB W
Landes W
#3
W
68-62
68
62
+6
no box
A07/11
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
20-12
16-12
11-13
28-16
15-21
24-10
8-21
14-15
26-19
17-12
21-24
18-11
32-8
9-26
14-11
8-17
11-19
22-18
22-9
14-15
14-22
17-16
14-19
12-17
21-22
18-13
18-11
16-22
20-23
16-14
17-10
10-9
18-10
13-15
17-8
19-8
20-15
18-20
11-19
134.4Avg total
69.8Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)68.965.6134.5+3.262%
Season at home (4)66.864.0130.8+2.850%
Season away (4)71.067.2138.2+3.875%
Last 10 (10)69.864.6134.4+5.270%
Last 5 (5)66.265.0131.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.172.0141.1-2.943%
vs Similar (7)67.074.0141.0-7.014%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)74.162.6136.8+11.575%
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Angers W
#11
L
69-93
69
93
-24
52avg 50
H06/05
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
61avg 50
H12/05
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#7
L
55-70
55
70
-15
13avg 50
A26/09
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#2
L
54-75
54
75
-21
51avg 50
H03/10
LFB W
Tronche Meylan W
#11
L
53-62
53
62
-9
41avg 50
A07/10
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#4
L
37-79
37
79
-42
23avg 50
H10/10
LFB W
Bourges W
#6
L
69-87
69
87
-18
64avg 50
A17/10
LFB W
Angers W
#9
L
70-75
70
75
-5
61avg 50
H24/10
LFB W
Landes W
#3
W
61-60
61
60
+1
56avg 50
H31/10
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#1
L
69-79
69
79
-10
no box
A07/11
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
13-27
16-15
23-30
16-28
21-15
10-24
21-8
22-18
14-23
13-20
6-9
14-20
14-10
14-26
12-19
16-23
17-16
7-10
13-13
8-23
16-13
4-34
9-9
18-15
19-19
22-24
10-29
17-23
21-17
18-17
14-18
17-20
16-21
17-11
11-8
15-15
18-16
22-18
14-30
136.0Avg total
60.5Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)58.573.4131.9-14.912%
Season at home (4)55.572.2127.8-16.825%
Season away (4)61.574.5136.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)60.575.5136.0-15.010%
Last 5 (5)61.276.0137.2-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)63.177.7140.8-14.617%
vs Similar (7)72.167.7139.9+4.471%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lyon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -4.0-4.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -4.0-4.0
Lyon WToulouse W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lyon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Roche W
#12
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H06/05
LFB W
Toulouse W
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/05
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#2
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A26/09
LFB W
Tronche Meylan W
#11
W
50-19
50
19
+31
H03/10
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#4
L
19-36
19
36
-17
A07/10
LFB W
Bourges W
#6
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H11/10
LFB W
Angers W
#9
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A17/10
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H23/10
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#8
W
28-19
28
19
+9
H01/11
LFB W
Landes W
#3
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A07/11
LFB W
67.8Avg total
36.1Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.533.971.4+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.532.371.7+7.273%-
Last 30 away (15)35.535.571.0+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)36.131.767.8+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)32.832.665.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.736.769.4-4.043%-
vs Similar (7)35.034.769.7+0.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.732.272.9+8.475%-
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Angers W
#11
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H06/05
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/05
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A26/09
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#2
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H03/10
LFB W
Tronche Meylan W
#11
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A07/10
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#4
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H10/10
LFB W
Bourges W
#6
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A17/10
LFB W
Angers W
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H24/10
LFB W
Landes W
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H31/10
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#1
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A07/11
LFB W
71.2Avg total
32.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.639.172.7-5.523%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.239.771.9-7.513%-
Last 30 away (15)35.138.573.5-3.433%-
Last 10 (10)32.938.371.2-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.036.469.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)32.940.773.6-7.917%-
vs Similar (7)36.133.769.9+2.443%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lyon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lyon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lyon W: 66.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.7 points a game
55%
25%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.3
52.3%
46.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.96.4
26.8%
27.2%19.2
🏀 Free throws15.911.1
69.8%
73.5%11.1
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 57.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.7 points a game
55%
25%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.417.0
45.5%
46.1%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.94.2
22.2%
27.2%12.6
🏀 Free throws16.010.4
65.0%
73.5%10.4
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lyon W
WWLWLLWWWW
Toulouse W
LWLLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#12
+8.2
Net rating
-11.1
81.6
Offensive rating
71.2
73.4
Defensive rating
82.4
47.4%
Effective FG%
41.4%
40.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
20.1%
Turnover %
21.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
26.8%
3-point %
22.2%
67.2%
Assist %
69.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence81.6 · 71.2Defence73.4 · 82.4Shooting47.4% · 41.4%3-point %26.8% · 22.2%Ball care20.1% · 21.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Lyon W   ■ Toulouse W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Lyon W wins
2
Toulouse W wins
DateGameScore
12/05/26Toulouse W v Lyon W68-75
29/04/26Lyon W v Toulouse W81-48
10/01/26Toulouse W v Lyon W76-75
22/10/25Lyon W v Toulouse W82-60
10/10/25Lyon W v Toulouse W76-72
18/03/23Toulouse W v Lyon W70-83
11/12/22Lyon W v Toulouse W89-72
13/04/16Lyon W v Toulouse W83-73
19/12/15Toulouse W v Lyon W53-68
25/03/15Lyon W v Toulouse W53-62
Lyon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ALandes W68-62
01/11/26HLanderneau Bretagne W58-42
23/10/26HESB Villeneuve W77-86 OT
17/10/26AAngers W69-63
11/10/26HBourges W59-72
07/10/26ACharnay Bourgogne Sud W69-74 OT
03/10/26HTronche Meylan W73-56
26/09/26AFlammes Carolo W78-70
12/05/26AToulouse W75-68
06/05/26HLa Roche W72-53
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ALattes Montpellier W69-79
31/10/26HLandes W61-60
24/10/26HAngers W70-75
17/10/26ABourges W69-87
10/10/26HCharnay Bourgogne Sud W37-79
07/10/26ATronche Meylan W53-62
03/10/26HFlammes Carolo W54-75
26/09/26AESB Villeneuve W55-70
12/05/26HLyon W68-75
06/05/26HAngers W69-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lyon W
LFB W 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game68.966.871.0
Allowed / game65.664.067.2
Point differential+3.2+2.8+3.8
Avg total134.5130.8138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %25%25%25%
Toulouse W
LFB W 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL12%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game58.555.561.5
Allowed / game73.472.274.5
Point differential-14.9-16.8-13.0
Avg total131.9127.8136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lattes Montpellier W87188%74.271.5+2.8
2 Flammes Carolo W86275%72.860.5+12.2
3 Landes W86275%67.659.4+8.2
4 Charnay Bourgogne Sud W85362%78.869.9+8.9
5 Lyon W85362%68.965.6+3.2
6 Bourges W74357%75.069.6+5.4
7 ESB Villeneuve W84450%68.967.9+1.0
8 Landerneau Bretagne W84450%66.969.8-2.9
9 Angers W72529%67.472.3-4.9
10 Chartres W61517%64.376.2-11.8
11 Tronche Meylan W81712%65.876.0-10.2
12 Toulouse W81712%58.573.4-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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