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Maia vs Barreirense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 68-65
19-17 17-17 16-16 16-15
Position#8
Record8-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game80.9
Maia 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#13
Record6-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game75.8
PortugalProligaRound 7· Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope
Other2024-25
Meetings · Maia v Barreirense
20 Feb 2027
MAIA v BARR
upcoming
08 Mar 2025
MAIA68
BARR65
01 Apr 2023
MAIA107
BARR109
13 Dec 2020
MAIA79
BARR77
05 Oct 2019
MAIA93
BARR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barreirense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#14
L
66-101
66
101
-35
45avg 64
A14/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
78-76
78
76
+2
69avg 64
H21/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
86-88
86
88
-2
78avg 64
A28/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
73-68
73
68
+5
65avg 64
H04/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
84-97
84
97
-13
65avg 64
A11/01
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
69-82
69
82
-13
47avg 64
A25/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 64
H01/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
68-56
68
56
+12
56avg 64
H08/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
69-74
69
74
-5
58avg 64
A15/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
85-66
85
66
+19
80avg 64
A01/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
13-34
18-28
16-17
13-18
26-19
19-25
20-14
31-17
15-20
10-22
30-29
20-21
19-17
19-14
15-16
10-20
24-33
24-23
26-21
10-21
18-18
19-20
22-23
18-18
21-18
13-16
21-27
10-18
16-15
18-10
24-13
18-20
11-16
18-21
22-17
27-22
13-14
21-14
24-16
153.8Avg total
75.1Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.680.9156.5-5.342%
Season at home (9)76.476.6153.0-0.167%
Season away (10)74.984.8159.7-9.920%
Last 10 (10)75.178.7153.8-3.640%
Last 5 (5)72.871.4144.2+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)70.783.9154.6-13.320%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.082.1163.1-1.155%
vs Weaker (4)78.567.2145.8+11.2100%
This opponent (Barreirense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarreirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarreirense
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#9
W
85-67
85
67
+18
87avg 61
H21/12
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
L
73-86
73
86
-13
62avg 61
A28/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
65-74
65
74
-9
54avg 61
H05/01
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
74-98
74
98
-24
59avg 61
A12/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
73-86
73
86
-13
67avg 61
A25/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
86-60
86
60
+26
84avg 61
H02/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
77-90
77
90
-13
65avg 61
A08/02
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 61
H16/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
80-67
80
67
+13
78avg 61
A22/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
66-82
66
82
-16
56avg 61
H01/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
20-17
18-14
19-14
11-19
23-29
17-23
22-15
17-25
15-16
12-23
21-10
22-20
27-29
14-24
11-25
18-27
25-23
16-18
14-18
23-17
15-11
21-14
27-18
13-26
20-18
18-25
26-21
10-20
25-20
24-18
21-32
21-29
23-15
14-6
22-17
19-20
9-19
15-21
23-22
155.9Avg total
75.9Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)71.075.8146.8-4.730%
Season at home (10)73.675.8149.4-2.240%
Season away (10)68.575.7144.2-7.220%
Last 10 (10)75.980.0155.9-4.130%
Last 5 (5)77.877.8155.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)68.877.8146.6-8.923%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.376.0150.3-1.740%
vs Weaker (7)68.768.1136.9+0.657%
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
MaiaBarreirense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#14
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A14/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H21/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A28/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H04/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A11/01
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A25/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H01/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H08/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A15/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A01/03
Proliga
75.3Avg total
35.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.341.377.5-5.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.939.177.1-1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)34.643.478.0-8.813%-
Last 10 (10)35.240.175.3-4.950%-
Last 5 (5)32.436.068.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)34.242.176.3-7.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.641.780.4-3.145%-
vs Weaker (4)37.536.874.2+0.850%-
This opponent (Barreirense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarreirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#9
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H21/12
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A28/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H05/01
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A12/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A25/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H02/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A08/02
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H16/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A22/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H01/03
Proliga
80.6Avg total
38.4Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.538.173.6-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.836.171.9-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)35.340.175.3-4.827%-
Last 10 (10)38.442.280.6-3.820%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.074.6-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.241.076.2-5.831%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.436.671.0-2.230%-
vs Weaker (7)37.734.772.4+3.057%-
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 69.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.7
49.3%
49.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.5
30.6%
30.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws16.311.7
71.8%
68.4%11.7
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barreirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barreirense: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.8
50.0%
49.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.1
31.4%
30.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.914.6
69.9%
68.4%14.6
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
WLWLLLWLWL
Barreirense
LWLLWLLLLW
#8
League position
#13
-1.5
Net rating
-4.5
102.6
Offensive rating
98.1
104.1
Defensive rating
102.6
47.9%
Effective FG%
49.0%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
19.2%
Turnover %
19.6%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.6%
3-point %
31.4%
48.0%
Assist %
59.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 98.1Defence104.1 · 102.6Shooting47.9% · 49.0%3-point %30.6% · 31.4%Ball care19.2% · 19.6%Off. rebounds34.9% · 24.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Maia   ■ Barreirense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Maia wins
3
Barreirense wins
DateGameScore
01/04/23Maia v Barreirense107-109 OT
04/03/23Barreirense v Maia78-91
19/03/21Barreirense v Maia102-97 OT
13/12/20Maia v Barreirense79-77 OT
29/12/19Barreirense v Maia107-79
05/10/19Maia v Barreirense93-70
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AGinasio85-66
15/02/25ABenfica Lisboa B69-74
08/02/25HGalitos Aveiro68-56
01/02/25HSampaense73-79
25/01/25ALusitania69-82
11/01/25ASampaense84-97
04/01/25HGalitos Aveiro73-68
28/12/24ASangalhos86-88
21/12/24HVasco Da Gama78-76
14/12/24AGinasio66-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HSanto Andre66-82
22/02/25AGalitos Aveiro80-67
16/02/25HLusitania80-90
08/02/25AGinasio77-90
02/02/25HBenfica Lisboa B86-60
25/01/25ASampaense73-86
12/01/25ACB Queluz74-98
05/01/25HLusitania65-74
28/12/24APortimonense73-86
21/12/24HSanto Andre85-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW42%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%67%20%
Points / game75.676.474.9
Allowed / game80.976.684.8
Point differential-5.3-0.1-9.9
Avg total156.5153.0159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Barreirense
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL30%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game71.073.668.5
Allowed / game75.875.875.7
Point differential-4.7-2.2-7.2
Avg total146.8149.4144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %10%10%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga2117481%83.669.5+14.0
2 Vasco Da Gama2117481%82.976.5+6.4
3 CB Queluz2114767%77.773.9+3.8
4 CAB Madeira2113862%74.768.8+5.9
5 Portimonense2113862%76.272.5+3.8
6 Santo Andre2012860%72.969.2+3.7
7 Illiabum2112957%73.768.0+5.7
8 Lusitania20101050%76.074.7+1.3
9 Imortal B2091145%66.871.3-4.5
10 Maia1981142%75.680.9-5.3
11 Ginasio2081240%79.885.6-5.8
12 Sampaense2181338%79.085.4-6.3
13 Sangalhos2071335%77.277.9-0.8
14 Benfica Lisboa B2071335%67.975.5-7.5
15 Barreirense2061430%71.075.8-4.7
16 Galitos Aveiro2021810%67.579.1-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maia1917161668
Barreirense1717161565
← all games of the day
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