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Maia vs Barreirense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record3-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game87.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.5/10
Above normal
6.2/10
Above normal
Position#13
Record2-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game83.9
PortugalProligaRound 20· Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope
Other2026-27
Meetings · Maia v Barreirense
20 Feb 2027
MAIA v BARR
upcoming
08 Mar 2025
MAIA68
BARR65
01 Apr 2023
MAIA107
BARR109
13 Dec 2020
MAIA79
BARR77
05 Oct 2019
MAIA93
BARR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Barreirense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
W
108-100 OT
108
100
+8
96avg 75
H04/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
73-63
73
63
+10
63avg 75
H18/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
75-73
75
73
+2
74avg 75
H25/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
85avg 75
A01/05
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
105-96
105
96
+9
67avg 75
H03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
59-72
59
72
-13
44avg 75
A17/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
82-77
82
77
+5
76avg 75
H24/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
85-95
85
95
-10
83avg 75
A31/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
103-101 OT
103
101
+2
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
65-86
65
86
-21
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
27-21
23-23
13-16
23-16
15-10
19-18
16-19
23-12
9-19
18-22
25-20
23-16
22-24
16-13
22-20
30-24
28-23
16-24
31-25
20-10
11-21
16-18
12-23
28-18
8-26
25-15
21-18
28-20
23-23
11-23
23-29
14-24
23-22
31-27
22-17
17-15
23-18
8-24
17-29
167.4Avg total
83.8Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.287.8171.0-4.750%
Season at home (3)96.791.3188.0+5.3100%
Season away (3)69.784.3154.0-14.70%
Last 10 (10)83.883.6167.4+0.270%
Last 5 (5)78.886.2165.0-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.381.3153.7-9.033%
vs Similar (9)84.781.9166.6+2.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.771.6159.3+16.173%
This opponent (Barreirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarreirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarreirense
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#9
L
51-58
51
58
-7
no box
A26/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
76-70
76
70
+6
no box
H27/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
72-76
72
76
-4
no box
H04/05
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
63-71
63
71
-8
47avg 66
H03/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
61avg 66
A10/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
91-90
91
90
+1
84avg 66
H17/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
65-92
65
92
-27
49avg 66
A24/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
W
95-85
95
85
+10
89avg 66
H31/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
68-93
68
93
-25
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
64-75
64
75
-11
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-17
9-6
15-19
20-16
13-24
22-20
19-9
22-17
21-22
17-13
17-18
17-23
21-22
10-22
12-12
20-15
10-22
14-19
18-17
29-13
22-20
29-21
22-19
18-30
9-22
14-29
16-16
26-25
20-28
23-23
23-11
29-23
17-23
25-24
11-17
15-29
11-18
18-19
17-17
18-21
151.5Avg total
72.4Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.083.9158.9-8.929%
Season at home (3)83.082.0165.0+1.067%
Season away (4)69.085.2154.2-16.20%
Last 10 (10)72.479.1151.5-6.730%
Last 5 (5)76.687.0163.6-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)71.882.4154.2-10.618%
vs Similar (10)76.975.7152.6+1.240%
vs Weaker (3)76.771.0147.7+5.767%
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
MaiaBarreirense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H18/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H25/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A01/05
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A17/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A31/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A14/11
Proliga
80.4Avg total
41.7Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.936.878.7+5.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.537.479.9+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)41.336.377.5+5.073%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.780.4+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.478.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.537.574.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (9)41.239.881.0+1.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.434.879.2+9.687%-
This opponent (Barreirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarreirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#9
L
16-23
16
23
-7
A26/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H27/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H04/05
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H03/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A10/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H17/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
23-51
23
51
-28
A24/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H31/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/11
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A14/11
Proliga
74.6Avg total
33.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.541.377.8-4.823%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.341.380.6-2.036%-
Last 30 away (16)34.041.375.3-7.312%-
Last 10 (10)33.241.474.6-8.220%-
Last 5 (5)37.645.483.0-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.943.479.4-7.518%-
vs Similar (10)36.538.374.8-1.830%-
vs Weaker (3)39.339.378.7+0.033%-
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.4
49.4%
52.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.9
35.5%
30.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws25.418.6
73.2%
67.3%18.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barreirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barreirense: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.0
47.6%
52.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.7
29.5%
30.6%20.1
🏀 Free throws24.516.5
67.3%
67.3%16.5
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
LWLWLWWWWW
Barreirense
LLWLWLLLWL
#10
League position
#13
+5.7
Net rating
-1.0
91.8
Offensive rating
93.7
86.2
Defensive rating
94.7
50.8%
Effective FG%
46.4%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
17.5%
Turnover %
18.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.5%
3-point %
29.5%
63.8%
Assist %
56.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence91.8 · 93.7Defence86.2 · 94.7Shooting50.8% · 46.4%3-point %35.5% · 29.5%Ball care17.5% · 18.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Maia   ■ Barreirense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Maia wins
4
Barreirense wins
DateGameScore
31/10/26Barreirense v Maia95-85
04/05/25Barreirense v Maia72-76
08/03/25Maia v Barreirense68-65
01/04/23Maia v Barreirense107-109 OT
04/03/23Barreirense v Maia78-91
19/03/21Barreirense v Maia102-97 OT
13/12/20Maia v Barreirense79-77 OT
29/12/19Barreirense v Maia107-79
05/10/19Maia v Barreirense93-70
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASangalhos65-86
07/11/26HVasco Da Gama103-101 OT
31/10/26ABarreirense85-95
24/10/26HLusitania82-77
17/10/26ASanto Andre59-72
03/10/26HGinasio Olhanense105-96
01/05/26AGinasio Olhanense83-73
25/04/26HCD Povoa75-73
18/04/26HPortimonense73-63
04/04/26HCAB Madeira108-100 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASanto Andre64-75
07/11/26ALusitania68-93
31/10/26HMaia95-85
24/10/26AGalomar65-92
17/10/26HGinasio Olhanense91-90
10/10/26ABarcelos79-81 OT
03/10/26HGalitos Aveiro63-71
04/05/25HMaia72-76
27/04/25HGalitos Aveiro76-70
26/04/25ASanto Andre51-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game83.296.769.7
Allowed / game87.891.384.3
Point differential-4.7+5.3-14.7
Avg total171.0188.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
Barreirense
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL29%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game75.083.069.0
Allowed / game83.982.085.2
Point differential-8.9+1.0-16.2
Avg total158.9165.0154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Galomar64267%77.767.2+10.5
6 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
16 Benfica Lisboa B71614%66.380.6-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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