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Sampaense vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 97-84
20-10 33-24 23-24 21-26
Position#11
Record4-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#8
Record6-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game83.3
PortugalProligaRound 14· Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sampaense v Maia
03 Jan 2027
SAMP v MAIA
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
SAMP67
MAIA79
22 Mar 2025
SAMP96
MAIA72
11 Jan 2025
SAMP97
MAIA84
02 Dec 2023
SAMP77
MAIA89
22 Oct 2022
SAMP91
MAIA81
09 Oct 2021
SAMP93
MAIA77
12 Mar 2017
SAMP95
MAIA88
29 Jan 2017
SAMP89
MAIA74
02 Nov 2014
SAMP82
MAIA86
04 Jan 2014
SAMP79
MAIA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
68avg 64
A26/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
75-69
75
69
+6
68avg 64
H01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
56-94
56
94
-38
44avg 64
H09/11
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
75-83
75
83
-8
58avg 64
A16/11
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
59-96
59
96
-37
44avg 64
A30/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
101-90
101
90
+11
no box
H07/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 64
A14/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
95-105 OT
95
105
-10
89avg 64
H21/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
86-83
86
83
+3
78avg 64
A28/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
75-87
75
87
-12
72avg 64
A04/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-31
16-22
24-19
29-19
28-18
14-19
13-15
20-17
9-12
18-25
21-38
8-19
15-23
16-14
15-28
29-18
16-24
18-23
13-23
12-26
21-22
25-22
25-19
30-27
15-25
20-19
21-22
20-17
18-22
29-22
27-26
18-22
17-18
21-24
27-19
21-22
11-21
16-27
19-16
29-23
166.4Avg total
78.3Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.986.0162.9-9.131%
Season at home (6)78.786.2164.8-7.550%
Season away (7)75.485.9161.3-10.414%
Last 10 (10)78.388.1166.4-9.830%
Last 5 (5)86.689.6176.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)70.182.8152.9-12.810%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.880.6164.4+3.150%
vs Weaker (2)80.576.0156.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
61avg 64
A26/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
86-83
86
83
+3
76avg 64
H01/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
82-77
82
77
+5
75avg 64
A09/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
80avg 64
H16/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
56-87
56
87
-31
40avg 64
A30/11
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
76-95
76
95
-19
68avg 64
H07/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
66-101
66
101
-35
45avg 64
A14/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
78-76
78
76
+2
69avg 64
H21/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
86-88
86
88
-2
78avg 64
A28/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
73-68
73
68
+5
65avg 64
H04/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
14-21
23-13
19-28
19-21
23-23
21-17
23-22
11-20
23-18
22-18
26-21
23-15
14-16
28-15
18-29
16-25
16-26
10-20
14-16
17-21
18-25
24-27
17-22
19-22
13-34
18-28
16-17
13-18
26-19
19-25
20-14
31-17
15-20
10-22
30-29
20-21
19-17
19-14
15-16
159.5Avg total
76.3Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.183.3159.4-7.246%
Season at home (7)78.179.1157.3-1.071%
Season away (6)73.788.2161.8-14.517%
Last 10 (10)76.383.2159.5-6.950%
Last 5 (5)75.885.6161.4-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)71.684.8156.3-13.225%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.581.0160.5-1.564%
vs Weaker (3)82.071.0153.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
SampaenseMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#10
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A26/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H09/11
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A16/11
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A30/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H07/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A14/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H21/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A28/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A04/01
Proliga
79.2Avg total
35.9Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.140.176.2-4.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.338.377.6+1.064%-
Last 30 away (16)33.241.875.0-8.56%-
Last 10 (10)35.943.379.2-7.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.483.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.140.075.2-4.930%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.540.578.0-3.038%-
vs Weaker (2)40.039.579.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A26/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H01/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A09/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H16/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A30/11
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H07/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A14/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H21/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A28/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H04/01
Proliga
79.0Avg total
37.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.441.679.0-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.140.178.2-2.144%-
Last 30 away (14)36.643.379.9-6.714%-
Last 10 (10)37.141.979.0-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.242.881.0-4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.242.378.6-6.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.941.579.5-3.627%-
vs Weaker (3)41.338.079.3+3.367%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.6
53.2%
49.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.7
28.4%
30.1%20.1
🏀 Free throws19.813.7
69.2%
68.4%13.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.5
50.6%
49.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.0
30.7%
30.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws15.110.8
71.5%
68.4%10.8
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sampaense
LWLLWLLLWL
Maia
WLWLLLWWWL
#11
League position
#8
-15.0
Net rating
-5.8
99.5
Offensive rating
100.1
114.4
Defensive rating
105.9
49.2%
Effective FG%
48.9%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
18.2%
Turnover %
19.1%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.4%
3-point %
30.7%
54.9%
Assist %
54.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 100.1Defence114.4 · 105.9Shooting49.2% · 48.9%3-point %28.4% · 30.7%Ball care18.2% · 19.1%Off. rebounds26.3% · 30.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Sampaense   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sampaense wins
5
Maia wins
DateGameScore
16/11/24Maia v Sampaense83-75
04/02/24Maia v Sampaense91-68
02/12/23Sampaense v Maia77-89
18/12/22Maia v Sampaense74-69
22/10/22Sampaense v Maia91-81
16/12/21Maia v Sampaense85-62
09/10/21Sampaense v Maia93-77
21/04/17Maia v Sampaense81-91
12/03/17Sampaense v Maia95-88
29/01/17Sampaense v Maia89-74
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25AIlliabum75-87
28/12/24AGalitos Aveiro86-83
21/12/24HSangalhos95-105 OT
14/12/24AVasco Da Gama76-83
07/12/24HGinasio101-90
30/11/24ABraga59-96
16/11/24AMaia75-83
09/11/24HIlliabum56-94
01/11/24HGalitos Aveiro75-69
26/10/24ASangalhos85-91
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HGalitos Aveiro73-68
28/12/24ASangalhos86-88
21/12/24HVasco Da Gama78-76
14/12/24AGinasio66-101
07/12/24HBraga76-95
30/11/24AIlliabum56-87
16/11/24HSampaense83-75
09/11/24AGalitos Aveiro82-77
01/11/24HSangalhos86-83
26/10/24AVasco Da Gama77-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL31%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%50%14%
Points / game76.978.775.4
Allowed / game86.086.285.9
Point differential-9.1-7.5-10.4
Avg total162.9164.8161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Maia
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW46%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%71%17%
Points / game76.178.173.7
Allowed / game83.379.188.2
Point differential-7.2-1.0-14.5
Avg total159.4157.3161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga1310377%84.770.9+13.8
2 Illiabum1310377%79.367.7+11.6
3 Vasco Da Gama1310377%84.778.1+6.6
4 CB Queluz139469%73.869.8+4.1
5 CAB Madeira138562%74.564.6+9.8
6 Portimonense138562%74.573.2+1.2
7 Imortal B138562%68.868.8+0.0
8 Sangalhos136746%77.878.5-0.8
9 Santo Andre136746%68.869.8-1.0
10 Maia136746%76.183.3-7.2
11 Lusitania135838%72.074.0-2.0
12 Ginasio135838%81.585.7-4.2
13 Barreirense134931%68.172.5-4.4
14 Benfica Lisboa B134931%65.373.1-7.8
15 Sampaense134931%76.986.0-9.1
16 Galitos Aveiro131128%67.578.2-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sampaense2033232197
Maia1024242684
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