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Maia vs Sampaense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 73-79
18-18 21-18 13-16 21-27
Position#8
Record6-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Position#11
Record6-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game85.0
PortugalProligaRound 2· Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope
Other2024-25
Meetings · Maia v Sampaense
24 Apr 2027
MAIA v SAMP
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
MAIA79
SAMP68
01 Feb 2025
MAIA73
SAMP79
16 Nov 2024
MAIA83
SAMP75
04 Feb 2024
MAIA91
SAMP68
18 Dec 2022
MAIA74
SAMP69
16 Dec 2021
MAIA85
SAMP62
21 Apr 2017
MAIA81
SAMP91
12 Nov 2016
MAIA79
SAMP68
24 Jan 2015
MAIA82
SAMP84
06 Apr 2014
MAIA72
SAMP81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sampaense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
82-77
82
77
+5
75avg 64
A09/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
80avg 64
H16/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
56-87
56
87
-31
40avg 64
A30/11
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
76-95
76
95
-19
68avg 64
H07/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
66-101
66
101
-35
45avg 64
A14/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
78-76
78
76
+2
69avg 64
H21/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
86-88
86
88
-2
78avg 64
A28/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
73-68
73
68
+5
65avg 64
H04/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
84-97
84
97
-13
65avg 64
A11/01
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
69-82
69
82
-13
47avg 64
A25/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
23-18
22-18
26-21
23-15
14-16
28-15
18-29
16-25
16-26
10-20
14-16
17-21
18-25
24-27
17-22
19-22
13-34
18-28
16-17
13-18
26-19
19-25
20-14
31-17
15-20
10-22
30-29
20-21
19-17
19-14
15-16
10-20
24-33
24-23
26-21
10-21
18-18
19-20
22-23
159.9Avg total
75.3Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.184.1160.3-8.040%
Season at home (7)78.179.1157.3-1.071%
Season away (8)74.488.5162.9-14.112%
Last 10 (10)75.384.6159.9-9.340%
Last 5 (5)78.082.2160.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)70.584.8155.3-14.319%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.283.3163.5-3.155%
vs Weaker (3)82.071.0153.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#5
L
56-94
56
94
-38
44avg 65
H09/11
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
75-83
75
83
-8
58avg 65
A16/11
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
59-96
59
96
-37
44avg 65
A30/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
101-90
101
90
+11
no box
H07/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 65
A14/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
95-105 OT
95
105
-10
89avg 65
H21/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
86-83
86
83
+3
78avg 65
A28/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
75-87
75
87
-12
72avg 65
A04/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
97-84
97
84
+13
72avg 65
H11/01
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
86-73
86
73
+13
83avg 65
H25/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-12
18-25
21-38
8-19
15-23
16-14
15-28
29-18
16-24
18-23
13-23
12-26
21-22
25-22
25-19
30-27
15-25
20-19
21-22
20-17
18-22
29-22
27-26
18-22
17-18
21-24
27-19
21-22
11-21
16-27
19-16
29-23
20-10
33-24
23-24
21-26
27-18
23-25
18-16
18-14
168.4Avg total
80.6Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.985.0163.9-6.140%
Season at home (8)81.984.2166.1-2.462%
Season away (7)75.485.9161.3-10.414%
Last 10 (10)80.687.8168.4-7.240%
Last 5 (5)87.886.4174.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)69.782.7152.4-12.911%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.380.2165.5+5.160%
vs Weaker (2)80.576.0156.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
MaiaSampaense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A09/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H16/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A30/11
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H07/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A14/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H21/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A28/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H04/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A11/01
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A25/01
Proliga
78.2Avg total
35.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.342.478.7-6.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.040.278.2-2.247%-
Last 30 away (15)34.744.579.2-9.97%-
Last 10 (10)35.642.678.2-7.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.878.0-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)34.642.977.5-8.219%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.542.880.3-5.427%-
vs Weaker (3)41.338.079.3+3.367%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#5
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H09/11
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A16/11
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A30/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H07/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A14/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H21/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A28/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A04/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H11/01
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H25/01
Proliga
80.8Avg total
38.8Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.740.377.0-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.538.679.1+1.967%-
Last 30 away (15)32.941.974.8-9.17%-
Last 10 (10)38.842.080.8-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.285.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)34.340.474.8-6.128%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.340.180.4+0.250%-
vs Weaker (2)40.039.579.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 69.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.1
48.7%
49.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.4
29.7%
30.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.011.2
70.0%
68.4%11.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.8
56.8%
49.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.5
28.6%
30.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws19.013.9
73.2%
68.4%13.9
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
LLWLWLLLWW
Sampaense
WWLWLLWLLL
#8
League position
#11
-9.7
Net rating
-10.7
98.1
Offensive rating
102.1
107.8
Defensive rating
112.8
47.0%
Effective FG%
51.6%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
19.1%
Turnover %
19.4%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.7%
3-point %
28.6%
55.7%
Assist %
56.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 102.1Defence107.8 · 112.8Shooting47.0% · 51.6%3-point %29.7% · 28.6%Ball care19.1% · 19.4%Off. rebounds30.8% · 25.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Maia   ■ Sampaense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Maia wins
5
Sampaense wins
DateGameScore
11/01/25Sampaense v Maia97-84
16/11/24Maia v Sampaense83-75
04/02/24Maia v Sampaense91-68
02/12/23Sampaense v Maia77-89
18/12/22Maia v Sampaense74-69
22/10/22Sampaense v Maia91-81
16/12/21Maia v Sampaense85-62
09/10/21Sampaense v Maia93-77
21/04/17Maia v Sampaense81-91
12/03/17Sampaense v Maia95-88
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25ALusitania69-82
11/01/25ASampaense84-97
04/01/25HGalitos Aveiro73-68
28/12/24ASangalhos86-88
21/12/24HVasco Da Gama78-76
14/12/24AGinasio66-101
07/12/24HBraga76-95
30/11/24AIlliabum56-87
16/11/24HSampaense83-75
09/11/24AGalitos Aveiro82-77
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HBarreirense86-73
11/01/25HMaia97-84
04/01/25AIlliabum75-87
28/12/24AGalitos Aveiro86-83
21/12/24HSangalhos95-105 OT
14/12/24AVasco Da Gama76-83
07/12/24HGinasio101-90
30/11/24ABraga59-96
16/11/24AMaia75-83
09/11/24HIlliabum56-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%71%12%
Points / game76.178.174.4
Allowed / game84.179.188.5
Point differential-8.0-1.0-14.1
Avg total160.3157.3162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sampaense
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW40%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%62%14%
Points / game78.981.975.4
Allowed / game85.084.285.9
Point differential-6.1-2.4-10.4
Avg total163.9166.1161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga1613381%86.470.0+16.4
2 Vasco Da Gama1613381%82.676.3+6.3
3 Illiabum1611569%76.667.4+9.2
4 CB Queluz1611569%77.172.8+4.3
5 CAB Madeira1610662%74.266.6+7.7
6 Portimonense1610662%76.473.5+2.9
7 Imortal B168850%66.869.2-2.4
8 Santo Andre157847%68.769.7-1.1
9 Sangalhos167944%78.077.1+0.9
10 Lusitania156940%72.373.4-1.1
11 Sampaense156940%78.985.0-6.1
12 Ginasio156940%79.986.1-6.3
13 Maia156940%76.184.1-8.0
14 Benfica Lisboa B1551033%66.373.7-7.5
15 Barreirense1541127%68.875.1-6.3
16 Galitos Aveiro151147%67.479.5-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maia1821132173
Sampaense1818162779
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