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Maia vs Benfica Lisboa B Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 87-72
Projected total 158.8
Scheduled
Position#10
Record3-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game87.8
Maia
Portugal
Vs
89%
■ MAIA 89%■ BENF 11%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.5/10
Above normal
5.9/10
Above normal
Benfica Lisboa B
Portugal
Position#16
Record1-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game80.6
PortugalProligaRound 8· Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope
Other2026-27
Meetings · Maia v Benfica Lisboa B
21 Nov 2026
MAIA v BENF
upcoming
05 Apr 2025
MAIA84
BENF81
24 Mar 2023
MAIA89
BENF77
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Maia host Benfica Lisboa B in the Proliga. Pythia makes Maia the favourite at 89% and projects 87-72, about 159 points in all. Overtime chance: 2%. Maia are 3-3 this season (83.2 scored, 87.8 allowed a game), form LWLWL; Benfica Lisboa B are 1-6 this season (66.3 scored, 80.6 allowed a game), form WLLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia win
89.3%fair 1.12
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica Lisboa B win
10.7%fair 9.39
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
W
108-100 OT
108
100
+8
96avg 75
H04/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
73-63
73
63
+10
63avg 75
H18/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
75-73
75
73
+2
74avg 75
H25/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
85avg 75
A01/05
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
105-96
105
96
+9
67avg 75
H03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
59-72
59
72
-13
44avg 75
A17/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
82-77
82
77
+5
76avg 75
H24/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
85-95
85
95
-10
83avg 75
A31/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
103-101 OT
103
101
+2
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
65-86
65
86
-21
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
27-21
23-23
13-16
23-16
15-10
19-18
16-19
23-12
9-19
18-22
25-20
23-16
22-24
16-13
22-20
30-24
28-23
16-24
31-25
20-10
11-21
16-18
12-23
28-18
8-26
25-15
21-18
28-20
23-23
11-23
23-29
14-24
23-22
31-27
22-17
17-15
23-18
8-24
17-29
167.4Avg total
83.8Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.287.8171.0-4.750%
Season at home (3)96.791.3188.0+5.3100%
Season away (3)69.784.3154.0-14.70%
Last 10 (10)83.883.6167.4+0.270%
Last 5 (5)78.886.2165.0-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.381.3153.7-9.033%
vs Similar (9)84.781.9166.6+2.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.771.6159.3+16.173%
This opponent (Benfica Lisboa B) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Benfica Lisboa BPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormB
Date
Competition
Academica
#16
W
63-59
63
59
+4
51avg 60
H19/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
L
80-94
80
94
-14
63avg 60
A26/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
100-55
100
55
+45
99avg 60
H02/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
59-65
59
65
-6
49avg 60
H04/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
64-76
64
76
-12
54avg 60
A10/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
W
69-67
69
67
+2
62avg 60
H18/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
68-90
68
90
-22
61avg 60
A24/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
70-80
70
80
-10
63avg 60
H01/11
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
L
76-106
76
106
-30
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
58-80
58
80
-22
no box
H15/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-17
19-17
17-14
16-11
20-25
22-20
15-24
23-25
21-14
27-19
22-11
30-11
14-13
21-19
13-9
11-24
22-23
18-17
14-23
10-13
15-15
15-18
24-16
15-18
26-16
9-24
20-30
13-20
24-18
18-24
15-17
13-21
16-33
15-25
29-26
16-22
10-10
10-24
18-26
20-20
147.9Avg total
70.7Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)66.380.6146.9-14.314%
Season at home (4)64.073.0137.0-9.025%
Season away (3)69.390.7160.0-21.30%
Last 10 (10)70.777.2147.9-6.530%
Last 5 (5)68.284.6152.8-16.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)69.979.2149.1-9.320%
vs Similar (6)64.072.8136.8-8.817%
vs Weaker (9)74.170.8144.9+3.344%
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 149
Over 149
73.0%
Under 149
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 154
Over 154
61.6%
Under 154
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 159
Over 159
49.2%
Under 159
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Maia total 75
Over 75
88.5%
Under 75
11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maia total 79
Over 79
78.6%
Under 79
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maia total 83
Over 83
64.6%
Under 83
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica Lisboa B total 71.5
Over 71.5
52.5%
Under 71.5
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica Lisboa B total 75.5
Over 75.5
36.9%
Under 75.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica Lisboa B total 79.5
Over 79.5
23.4%
Under 79.5
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Maia -3
MAIA -3
85.4%
BENF +3
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
MAIA
No market prices yet.
BENF
No market prices yet.
Spread Maia 0
MAIA 0
89.3%
BENF 0
10.7%
Best 5 market prices
MAIA
No market prices yet.
BENF
No market prices yet.
Spread Maia +3
MAIA +3
92.9%
BENF -3
7.1%
Best 5 market prices
MAIA
No market prices yet.
BENF
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
MaiaBenfica Lisboa B
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H18/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H25/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A01/05
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H03/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A17/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A31/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A14/11
Proliga
80.4Avg total
41.7Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.936.878.7+5.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.537.479.9+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)41.336.377.5+5.073%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.780.4+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.478.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.537.574.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (9)41.239.881.0+1.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.434.879.2+9.687%-
This opponent (Benfica Lisboa B) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Benfica Lisboa BLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academica
#16
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H19/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A26/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H02/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H04/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H18/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A24/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H01/11
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
L
31-58
31
58
-27
A07/11
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
20-34
20
34
-14
H15/11
Proliga
74.4Avg total
35.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.139.273.3-5.120%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.034.868.8-0.833%-
Last 30 away (15)34.143.677.7-9.57%-
Last 10 (10)35.339.174.4-3.820%-
Last 5 (5)31.641.473.0-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)32.540.372.9-7.820%-
vs Similar (6)32.840.373.2-7.50%-
vs Weaker (9)37.436.674.0+0.933%-
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.4
49.4%
52.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.9
35.5%
30.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws25.418.6
73.2%
67.3%18.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benfica Lisboa Btheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica Lisboa B: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.716.2
41.9%
52.5%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.0
31.9%
30.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.913.3
63.6%
67.3%13.3
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
LWLWLWWWWW
Benfica Lisboa B
LLLLWLLWLW
#10
League position
#16
+5.7
Net rating
-2.4
91.8
Offensive rating
79.0
86.2
Defensive rating
81.4
50.8%
Effective FG%
44.2%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
17.5%
Turnover %
18.3%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.5%
3-point %
31.9%
63.8%
Assist %
57.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence91.8 · 79.0Defence86.2 · 81.4Shooting50.8% · 44.2%3-point %35.5% · 31.9%Ball care17.5% · 18.3%Free throws0.38 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Maia   ■ Benfica Lisboa B
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Maia wins
2
Benfica Lisboa B wins
DateGameScore
05/04/25Maia v Benfica Lisboa B84-81 OT
15/02/25Benfica Lisboa B v Maia74-69
26/03/23Benfica Lisboa B v Maia93-85
24/03/23Maia v Benfica Lisboa B89-77
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASangalhos65-86
07/11/26HVasco Da Gama103-101 OT
31/10/26ABarreirense85-95
24/10/26HLusitania82-77
17/10/26ASanto Andre59-72
03/10/26HGinasio Olhanense105-96
01/05/26AGinasio Olhanense83-73
25/04/26HCD Povoa75-73
18/04/26HPortimonense73-63
04/04/26HCAB Madeira108-100 OT
Benfica Lisboa Blast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HGalomar58-80
07/11/26AGinasio Olhanense76-106
01/11/26HBarcelos70-80
24/10/26AGalitos Aveiro68-90
18/10/26HSampaense69-67
10/10/26AGalitos Barreiro64-76
04/10/26HCB Queluz59-65
02/05/26HSangalhos100-55
26/04/26ACB Queluz80-94
19/04/26HAcademica63-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game83.296.769.7
Allowed / game87.891.384.3
Point differential-4.7+5.3-14.7
Avg total171.0188.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
Benfica Lisboa B
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game66.364.069.3
Allowed / game80.673.090.7
Point differential-14.3-9.0-21.3
Avg total146.9137.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Galomar64267%77.767.2+10.5
6 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
16 Benfica Lisboa B71614%66.380.6-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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