Sangalhos will host Maia on 14 November 2026 in the Proliga, and with both sides evenly matched the contest feels almost a toss-up, the model even giving each a 50% chance of victory. Sangalhos, sitting first in the league after 6 games, has a 5-1 record, averaging 75.0 points per game while conceding 60.5, and they are undefeated at home with a 3-0 record and 81.3 points per game, 58.3 allowed; their last five games saw four wins and one loss, including a 96-67 home win over Ginasio Olhanense. Maia, positioned eighth, has a 3-2 record, 86.8 points per game and 88.2 allowed, but they have struggled on the road, going 0-2 with 72.0 points scored and 83.5 allowed; their recent five games include a 103-101 home win over Vasco Da Gama and a 85-95 away loss to Barreirense. The teams have split their eight meetings, with Maia's last encounter ending 106-59 in Maia's favour. Pythia sees a 50% chance for each side, projecting a 77-77 tie and a total of 154.5 points; the home team line is -6.5 with a 29% chance of covering, and the over line of 154.5 carries a 49% probability, while a 5% chance of overtime is noted. The game will hinge on whether Sangalhos can maintain their home dominance against Maia's higher scoring output.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 75.0 | 60.5 | 135.5 | +14.5 | 83% |
| Season at home (3) | 81.3 | 58.3 | 139.7 | +23.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 68.7 | 62.7 | 131.3 | +6.0 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 69.8 | 72.2 | 142.0 | -2.4 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.2 | 62.2 | 137.4 | +13.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (20) | 70.7 | 91.2 | 161.9 | -20.5 | 5% |
| vs Similar (4) | 70.8 | 64.5 | 135.2 | +6.2 | 100% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (6) | 75.0 | 60.5 | 135.5 | +14.5 | 83% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 86.8 | 88.2 | 175.0 | -1.4 | 60% |
| Season at home (3) | 96.7 | 91.3 | 188.0 | +5.3 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 72.0 | 83.5 | 155.5 | -11.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 88.2 | 83.1 | 171.3 | +5.1 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.8 | 88.2 | 175.0 | -1.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (5) | 73.8 | 80.4 | 154.2 | -6.6 | 40% |
| vs Similar (9) | 84.7 | 81.9 | 166.6 | +2.8 | 67% |
| vs Weaker (16) | 87.1 | 71.3 | 158.4 | +15.8 | 75% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.6 | 41.1 | 76.7 | -5.6 | 30% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 37.0 | 39.7 | 76.7 | -2.7 | 40% | 53% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 34.1 | 42.6 | 76.7 | -8.5 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 33.8 | 36.4 | 70.2 | -2.6 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.4 | 34.0 | 72.4 | +4.4 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (20) | 35.1 | 45.5 | 80.6 | -10.4 | 10% | 75% |
| vs Similar (4) | 36.8 | 33.0 | 69.8 | +3.8 | 75% | 0% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (6) | 36.3 | 32.0 | 68.3 | +4.3 | 67% | 33% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.8 | 36.9 | 78.7 | +4.9 | 73% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 42.5 | 37.4 | 79.9 | +5.1 | 73% | 67% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 41.1 | 36.5 | 77.6 | +4.7 | 73% | 47% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.6 | 38.8 | 81.4 | +3.8 | 70% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.6 | 42.2 | 84.8 | +0.4 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (5) | 35.8 | 38.4 | 74.2 | -2.6 | 40% | 60% |
| vs Similar (9) | 41.2 | 39.8 | 81.0 | +1.4 | 67% | 56% |
| vs Weaker (16) | 44.0 | 34.9 | 78.9 | +9.1 | 88% | 56% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia +8.5 | 76.6% | 1.71 | 1.85 | 1.57 | - | - | - | +23.9pp | Lost |
| Maia +7.5 | 73.7% | 1.68 | 1.68 | - | - | - | - | +21.1pp | Lost |
| Maia +7 | 72.8% | 1.76 | 1.76 | - | - | - | - | +20.8pp | Lost |
| Maia +6.5 | 70.6% | 1.82 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.82 | 1.80 | +20.6pp | Lost |
| Maia +9.5 | 79.2% | 1.48 | 1.48 | - | - | - | - | +19.5pp | Lost |
| Maia +10.5 | 81.6% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +18.4pp | Lost |
| Maia +11.5 | 83.8% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +17.1pp | Lost |
| Maia +12.5 | 85.8% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +15.8pp | Lost |
| Sangalhos under 83.5 | 72.8% | 1.48 | 1.48 | - | - | - | - | +14.0pp | Lost |
| Sangalhos under 84.5 | 75.9% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | +13.9pp | Lost |
| Sangalhos under 85.5 | 78.8% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +13.6pp | Lost |
| Sangalhos under 86.5 | 81.4% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +13.1pp | Won |
| Maia over 71.5 | 70.7% | 1.46 | 1.46 | - | - | - | - | +11.3pp | Lost |
| Maia over 70.5 | 74.0% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +11.1pp | Lost |
| Maia over 69.5 | 77.0% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +11.0pp | Lost |
| Maia over 68.5 | 79.9% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +10.6pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 94.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 32.5 | 17.1 | 52.5% | 34.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.8 | 7.3 | 30.6% | 21.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.8 | 15.1 | 67.3% | 15.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.3 | 20.4 | 52.5% | 40.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.1 | 8.9 | 30.6% | 26.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 25.4 | 18.6 | 67.3% | 18.6 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 | Sangalhos v Maia | 59-106 |
| 15/11/25 | Maia v Sangalhos | 110-66 |
| 28/12/24 | Sangalhos v Maia | 88-86 |
| 01/11/24 | Maia v Sangalhos | 86-83 |
| 27/01/24 | Sangalhos v Maia | 70-67 |
| 25/11/23 | Maia v Sangalhos | 75-71 |
| 22/01/22 | Maia v Sangalhos | 52-53 |
| 13/11/21 | Sangalhos v Maia | 89-73 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Galomar | 57-56 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Ginasio Olhanense | 96-67 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Barcelos | 69-47 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Galitos Aveiro | 74-56 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Sampaense | 80-85 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Galitos Barreiro | 74-52 |
| 02/05/26 | A | Benfica Lisboa B | 55-100 |
| 25/04/26 | H | Santo Andre | 61-94 |
| 18/04/26 | A | CB Queluz | 60-88 |
| 04/04/26 | H | Sampaense | 72-77 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | Vasco Da Gama | 103-101 OT |
| 31/10/26 | A | Barreirense | 85-95 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Lusitania | 82-77 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Santo Andre | 59-72 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Ginasio Olhanense | 105-96 |
| 01/05/26 | A | Ginasio Olhanense | 83-73 |
| 25/04/26 | H | CD Povoa | 75-73 |
| 18/04/26 | H | Portimonense | 73-63 |
| 04/04/26 | H | CAB Madeira | 108-100 OT |
| 29/03/26 | A | Ginasio | 109-81 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWW | 83% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | LWW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Points / game | 75.0 | 81.3 | 68.7 |
| Allowed / game | 60.5 | 58.3 | 62.7 |
| Point differential | +14.5 | +23.0 | +6.0 |
| Avg total | 135.5 | 139.7 | 131.3 |
| Over 154.5 | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 67% | 100% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | - | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWLW | 60% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 86.8 | 96.7 | 72.0 |
| Allowed / game | 88.2 | 91.3 | 83.5 |
| Point differential | -1.4 | +5.3 | -11.5 |
| Avg total | 175.0 | 188.0 | 155.5 |
| Over 154.5 | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | 100% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 75.0 | 60.5 | +14.5 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 78.9 | 73.6 | +5.3 | |
| 3 | Santo Andre | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 78.1 | 74.4 | +3.7 |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 81.3 | 72.3 | +9.0 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 85.7 | 79.2 | +6.5 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 74.3 | 73.0 | +1.3 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 77.2 | 69.0 | +8.2 | |
| 8 | Maia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 86.8 | 88.2 | -1.4 |
| 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 74.1 | 74.4 | -0.3 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 72.1 | 72.6 | -0.4 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 85.8 | 88.8 | -3.0 | |
| 12 | Barcelos | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 68.5 | 75.8 | -7.3 |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 84.7 | 88.4 | -3.7 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 75.0 | 83.9 | -8.9 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 67.7 | 80.7 | -13.0 | |
| 16 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 79.3 | 88.0 | -8.7 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 18 | 24 | 29 | 86 | |
| Maia | 17 | 23 | 8 | 17 | 65 |
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