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Maia vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 75-73
23-12 9-19 18-22 25-20
Position#4
Record16-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game74.3
Maia 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#1
Record24-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game67.3
PortugalProligaRound 13
Other2025-26
Meetings · Maia v CD Povoa
25 Apr 2026
MAIA75
CD P73
11 Oct 2025
MAIA69
CD P91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A14/02
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A21/02
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A01/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
93-69
93
69
+24
H07/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
84-49
84
49
+35
H15/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A21/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H28/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
109-81
109
81
+28
A29/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
108-100 OT
108
100
+8
H04/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H18/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
20-8
27-18
17-25
29-19
13-21
6-19
26-19
27-22
12-25
21-16
16-22
25-11
26-26
16-15
26-17
21-12
19-15
17-9
27-13
21-15
20-19
12-18
16-20
24-18
19-22
18-15
26-25
29-18
20-16
32-28
28-19
22-25
27-21
23-23
13-16
23-16
15-10
19-18
16-19
160.6Avg total
85.4Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.574.3157.8+9.262%
Season at home (13)86.072.0158.0+14.085%
Season away (13)81.076.5157.5+4.538%
Last 10 (10)85.475.2160.6+10.270%
Last 5 (5)89.279.2168.4+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)72.880.8153.6-8.040%
vs Similar (10)79.977.3157.2+2.660%
vs Weaker (15)87.668.9156.5+18.780%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A07/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H15/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A21/02
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H01/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
A07/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
94-58
94
58
+36
H14/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
90-69
90
69
+21
A22/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
75-48
75
48
+27
H28/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A04/04
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H18/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
16-20
24-9
21-24
21-18
22-33
18-7
27-20
17-25
10-21
18-18
25-11
22-27
25-12
16-21
22-16
14-15
22-22
11-13
19-16
32-14
19-15
23-19
20-10
19-17
29-10
23-23
19-19
18-12
17-13
22-14
18-9
20-30
19-19
18-14
30-14
23-25
23-20
22-14
13-16
152.3Avg total
82.0Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)85.267.3152.5+17.892%
Season at home (13)86.264.5150.7+21.8100%
Season away (13)84.170.2154.2+13.985%
Last 10 (10)82.070.3152.3+11.780%
Last 5 (5)85.465.4150.8+20.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.389.3163.7-15.00%
vs Similar (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.267.3152.5+17.892%
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +5.9+5.9
MaiaCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A14/02
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/02
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A01/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H07/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H15/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A21/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H28/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A29/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H18/04
Proliga
79.2Avg total
42.9Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.236.576.8+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.335.976.1+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)40.237.277.4+3.060%-
Last 10 (10)42.936.379.2+6.690%-
Last 5 (5)44.036.080.0+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)34.642.477.0-7.820%-
vs Similar (10)38.138.176.2+0.050%-
vs Weaker (15)43.533.577.1+10.087%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A07/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H15/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A21/02
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H01/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A07/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H14/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A22/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H28/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A04/04
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H18/04
Proliga
78.5Avg total
40.2Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.235.777.9+6.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.734.679.3+10.179%-
Last 30 away (16)39.936.776.6+3.250%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.378.5+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.835.078.8+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.343.077.3-8.70%-
vs Similar (1)41.048.089.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.134.477.5+8.773%-
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.420.1
44.3%
50.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.8
34.0%
30.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws24.518.3
74.7%
67.4%18.3
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.924.4
49.9%
50.0%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.16.7
29.0%
30.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.012.4
59.0%
67.4%12.4
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
WWWWLWWLLW
CD Povoa
WWWWWLWLWW
#4
League position
#1
+10.5
Net rating
+12.2
90.0
Offensive rating
88.8
79.5
Defensive rating
76.5
46.7%
Effective FG%
47.8%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
15.3%
Turnover %
13.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.0%
3-point %
29.0%
56.7%
Assist %
55.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence90.0 · 88.8Defence79.5 · 76.5Shooting46.7% · 47.8%3-point %34.0% · 29.0%Ball care15.3% · 13.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Maia   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Maia wins
4
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
01/03/26CD Povoa v Maia85-76
08/12/25CD Povoa v Maia95-77
11/10/25Maia v CD Povoa69-91
14/01/24CD Povoa v Maia98-68
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26HPortimonense73-63
04/04/26HCAB Madeira108-100 OT
29/03/26AGinasio109-81
28/03/26HGinasio87-80
21/03/26AIlliabum69-72
15/03/26HImortal B84-49
07/03/26HGinasio Olhanense93-69
01/03/26ACD Povoa76-85
21/02/26APortimonense74-78
14/02/26ACAB Madeira81-75
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26HCAB Madeira81-75
04/04/26AGinasio87-77
28/03/26HIlliabum75-48
22/03/26AImortal B90-69
14/03/26HGinasio Olhanense94-58
07/03/26APortimonense75-79 OT
01/03/26HMaia85-76
21/02/26ACAB Madeira70-75
15/02/26HGinasio88-78
07/02/26AIlliabum75-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%85%38%
Points / game83.586.081.0
Allowed / game74.372.076.5
Point differential+9.2+14.0+4.5
Avg total157.8158.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%54%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
CD Povoa
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %92%100%85%
Points / game85.286.284.1
Allowed / game67.364.570.2
Point differential+17.8+21.8+13.9
Avg total152.5150.7154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%77%69%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa2624292%85.267.3+17.8
2 CAB Madeira2721678%83.475.6+7.9
3 Lusitania2618869%83.675.3+8.2
4 Illiabum2617965%76.569.5+7.0
5 Portimonense2617965%80.175.7+4.5
6 Galomar27171063%84.179.3+4.9
7 Maia26161062%83.574.3+9.2
8 Imortal B26131350%75.980.1-4.2
9 Ginasio26121446%77.881.1-3.3
10 Ginasio Olhanense27111641%78.278.9-0.7
11 Sampaense27111641%69.877.7-7.9
12 Benfica Lisboa B2691735%70.672.7-2.1
13 Santo Andre2681831%73.377.5-4.2
14 CB Queluz2681831%70.278.9-8.7
15 Sangalhos2652119%70.885.3-14.5
16 Academica2632312%63.677.8-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maia239182575
CD Povoa1219222073
← all games of the day
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