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Maia vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 65-78
16-19 13-24 17-19 19-16
Position#8
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#5
Record-
FormLLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalProligaRound 1· Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope
Other2024-25
Meetings · Maia v Illiabum
20 Mar 2027
MAIA v ILLI
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
MAIA75
ILLI79
22 Nov 2025
MAIA71
ILLI64
05 Oct 2024
MAIA65
ILLI78
20 Jan 2024
MAIA73
ILLI88
13 Nov 2022
MAIA79
ILLI75
02 Nov 2019
MAIA76
ILLI72
15 Oct 2016
MAIA86
ILLI89
04 Apr 2015
MAIA73
ILLI65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illiabum winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
66-86
66
86
-20
no box
H10/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
72-69
72
69
+3
57avg 64
A18/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
89-82 OT
89
82
+7
no box
A02/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
W
80-73
80
73
+7
76avg 64
H10/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
53avg 64
H16/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
71-83
71
83
-12
55avg 64
A23/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
84-79
84
79
+5
80avg 64
H29/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
44-88
44
88
-44
29avg 64
A13/04
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
69avg 64
H20/04
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
84-101
84
101
-17
72avg 64
A27/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
19-19
18-23
16-21
13-24
21-14
27-16
11-15
22-29
20-16
14-18
26-19
18-19
16-14
22-20
24-20
21-16
19-16
12-28
16-20
23-23
15-17
18-25
15-18
17-24
17-16
28-19
22-20
11-21
10-17
14-23
9-27
24-31
18-18
17-15
20-21
20-30
20-25
19-23
25-23
156.3Avg total
73.7Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.782.6156.3-8.940%
Last 5 (5)72.487.2159.6-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)72.784.0156.7-11.336%
vs Similar (10)78.276.5154.7+1.770%
vs Weaker (8)90.183.0173.1+7.175%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Braga
#8
L
64-89
64
89
-25
no box
A10/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
69-66
69
66
+3
64avg 66
A17/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
W
84-80
84
80
+4
79avg 66
H24/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
77-82
77
82
-5
72avg 66
A02/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
66avg 66
H09/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
73-83
73
83
-10
69avg 66
H16/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
63avg 66
A21/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
86-90
86
90
-4
74avg 66
H30/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
52avg 66
A13/04
Proliga
Braga
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
65avg 66
A14/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
15-29
11-19
19-17
14-7
20-20
22-19
13-20
21-14
21-30
19-17
23-19
20-17
19-19
18-16
20-30
17-23
18-15
23-21
16-26
15-21
29-18
8-22
21-22
10-22
18-14
18-17
21-14
24-14
18-27
21-28
23-21
11-18
19-22
17-22
18-17
16-25
17-11
20-18
23-18
155.0Avg total
74.5Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.580.5155.0-6.030%
Last 5 (5)75.480.6156.0-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.584.0159.5-8.50%
vs Similar (19)78.376.8155.1+1.463%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)83.975.7159.6+8.157%
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
MaiaIlliabum
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H10/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A18/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A02/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H10/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H16/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A23/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H29/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A13/04
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H20/04
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A27/04
Proliga
76.9Avg total
35.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.679.9-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.239.578.7-0.343%-
Last 30 away (16)39.341.680.9-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)35.741.276.9-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)35.044.479.4-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.540.978.4-3.527%-
vs Similar (10)36.940.577.4-3.620%-
vs Weaker (8)45.441.086.4+4.488%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Braga
#8
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A10/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A17/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H24/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A02/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H09/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H16/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A21/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H30/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A13/04
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/04
Proliga
75.1Avg total
36.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.275.6+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.740.180.8+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)36.434.771.1+1.862%-
Last 10 (10)36.139.075.1-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)35.438.473.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.538.875.2-2.250%-
vs Similar (19)37.636.774.4+0.953%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.737.679.3+4.171%-
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.1
48.0%
49.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.6
28.5%
30.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.512.0
68.6%
68.4%12.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.1
49.9%
49.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.6
28.9%
30.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws24.717.7
71.7%
68.4%17.7
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
LLLWLLWWWL
Illiabum
WLLLLLLWWL
#8
League position
#5
-8.0
Net rating
-7.8
94.6
Offensive rating
91.3
102.6
Defensive rating
99.1
45.9%
Effective FG%
47.4%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
19.6%
Turnover %
24.2%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.42
28.5%
3-point %
28.9%
44.9%
Assist %
54.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 91.3Defence102.6 · 99.1Shooting45.9% · 47.4%3-point %28.5% · 28.9%Ball care19.6% · 24.2%Off. rebounds30.1% · 24.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Maia   ■ Illiabum
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Maia wins
6
Illiabum wins
DateGameScore
20/01/24Maia v Illiabum73-88
18/11/23Illiabum v Maia63-81
21/01/23Illiabum v Maia72-67
13/11/22Maia v Illiabum79-75
01/02/20Illiabum v Maia93-60
02/11/19Maia v Illiabum76-72
30/12/16Illiabum v Maia86-65
15/10/16Maia v Illiabum86-89
04/04/15Maia v Illiabum73-65
20/12/14Illiabum v Maia71-58
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24ACA Queluz84-101
20/04/24HCA Queluz79-85
13/04/24ACAB Madeira44-88
29/03/24HSanto Andre84-79
23/03/24AGalitos Barreiro71-83
16/03/24HCA Queluz68-80
10/03/24HCAB Madeira80-73
02/03/24ASanto Andre89-82 OT
18/02/24ACA Queluz72-69
10/02/24HGalitos Barreiro66-86
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24ABraga76-72
13/04/24AGalitos Barreiro65-79
30/03/24HCA Queluz86-90
21/03/24ACAB Madeira77-79 OT
16/03/24HSanto Andre73-83
09/03/24HGalitos Barreiro74-85
02/03/24ACA Queluz77-82
24/02/24HCAB Madeira84-80
17/02/24ASanto Andre69-66
10/02/24ABraga64-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Illiabum
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga110100%81.065.0+16.0
2 CAB Madeira110100%65.055.0+10.0
3 CB Queluz1010%55.065.0-10.0
4 Sampaense1010%65.081.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maia1613171965
Illiabum1924191678
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