PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Maia vs Portimonense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 73-63
23-16 15-10 19-18 16-19
Position#4
Record15-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game74.7
Maia 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#6
Record17-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game75.8
PortugalProligaRound 12
Other2025-26
Meetings · Maia v Portimonense
18 Apr 2026
MAIA73
PORT63
13 Feb 2022
MAIA65
PORT60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portimonense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H31/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A14/02
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A21/02
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A01/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
93-69
93
69
+24
H07/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
84-49
84
49
+35
H15/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A21/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H28/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
109-81
109
81
+28
A29/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
108-100 OT
108
100
+8
H04/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
21-24
21-19
10-19
17-24
20-8
27-18
17-25
29-19
13-21
6-19
26-19
27-22
12-25
21-16
16-22
25-11
26-26
16-15
26-17
21-12
19-15
17-9
27-13
21-15
20-19
12-18
16-20
24-18
19-22
18-15
26-25
29-18
20-16
32-28
28-19
22-25
27-21
23-23
13-16
162.4Avg total
85.6Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.974.7158.6+9.260%
Season at home (12)87.172.8159.8+14.383%
Season away (13)81.076.5157.5+4.538%
Last 10 (10)85.676.8162.4+8.860%
Last 5 (5)91.476.4167.8+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.880.8153.6-8.040%
vs Similar (11)80.377.6157.9+2.664%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.669.3157.9+19.479%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H31/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
72-69 OT
72
69
+3
H07/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
86-78 OT
86
78
+8
A15/02
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H21/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A28/02
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
79-75 OT
79
75
+4
H07/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H14/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A21/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A28/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H07/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
20-11
14-22
24-25
21-14
12-19
19-22
10-7
15-19
21-20
23-24
14-10
19-29
21-13
19-6
19-26
21-23
15-20
14-11
16-19
15-14
22-22
13-11
16-19
24-22
23-28
27-22
15-19
17-21
25-18
26-20
22-24
17-29
17-13
22-17
18-22
14-20
16-24
27-7
19-16
155.5Avg total
79.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.875.8156.6+5.068%
Season at home (13)81.675.9157.5+5.769%
Season away (12)79.975.6155.5+4.367%
Last 10 (10)79.276.3155.5+2.970%
Last 5 (5)81.679.4161.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)77.076.3153.3+0.767%
vs Similar (10)78.781.9160.6-3.230%
vs Weaker (17)82.073.7155.7+8.376%
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
MaiaPortimonense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H31/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A14/02
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/02
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A01/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H07/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H15/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A21/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H28/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A29/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/04
Proliga
81.3Avg total
43.5Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.336.777.1+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.536.376.7+4.267%-
Last 30 away (15)40.237.277.4+3.060%-
Last 10 (10)43.537.881.3+5.790%-
Last 5 (5)44.436.280.6+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.642.477.0-7.820%-
vs Similar (11)38.437.575.9+0.855%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.934.178.0+9.986%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H31/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H07/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A15/02
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H21/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A28/02
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H07/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H14/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A21/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A28/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H07/04
Proliga
77.2Avg total
37.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.837.275.0+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.837.276.0+1.653%-
Last 30 away (15)36.937.274.1-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)37.939.377.2-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.280.2-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.038.373.3-3.333%-
vs Similar (10)37.841.379.1-3.520%-
vs Weaker (17)38.434.672.9+3.865%-
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.519.8
44.5%
50.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.9
34.6%
30.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws25.118.8
74.9%
67.4%18.8
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.9
51.9%
50.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.06.0
30.0%
30.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws28.019.4
69.3%
67.4%19.4
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
WWWLWWLLWL
Portimonense
WLWLWLWWWW
#4
League position
#6
+9.0
Net rating
-3.7
89.9
Offensive rating
79.7
80.9
Defensive rating
83.5
47.2%
Effective FG%
49.6%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
44.6%
16.0%
Turnover %
18.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.46
34.6%
3-point %
30.0%
55.7%
Assist %
74.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence89.9 · 79.7Defence80.9 · 83.5Shooting47.2% · 49.6%3-point %34.6% · 30.0%Ball care16.0% · 18.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.46Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Maia   ■ Portimonense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Maia wins
2
Portimonense wins
DateGameScore
21/02/26Portimonense v Maia78-74
27/02/22Portimonense v Maia84-81 OT
13/02/22Maia v Portimonense65-60
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HCAB Madeira108-100 OT
29/03/26AGinasio109-81
28/03/26HGinasio87-80
21/03/26AIlliabum69-72
15/03/26HImortal B84-49
07/03/26HGinasio Olhanense93-69
01/03/26ACD Povoa76-85
21/02/26APortimonense74-78
14/02/26ACAB Madeira81-75
31/01/26HIlliabum75-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/26HImortal B76-67
28/03/26ACAB Madeira74-81
21/03/26AGinasio Olhanense90-83
14/03/26HGinasio89-91
07/03/26HCD Povoa79-75 OT
28/02/26AIlliabum66-73
21/02/26HMaia78-74
15/02/26AImortal B86-78 OT
07/02/26HCAB Madeira72-69 OT
31/01/26HGinasio Olhanense82-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %60%83%38%
Points / game83.987.181.0
Allowed / game74.772.876.5
Point differential+9.2+14.3+4.5
Avg total158.6159.8157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Portimonense
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW68%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %68%69%67%
Points / game80.881.679.9
Allowed / game75.875.975.6
Point differential+5.0+5.7+4.3
Avg total156.6157.5155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)57% (7)50% (2)
Overtime %12%15%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa2523292%85.367.0+18.3
2 CAB Madeira2420483%84.474.8+9.7
3 Lusitania2517868%82.674.8+7.8
4 Portimonense2517868%80.875.8+5.0
5 Illiabum2516964%76.570.6+5.8
6 Galomar2516964%83.878.2+5.7
7 Maia25151060%83.974.7+9.2
8 Imortal B25131252%77.480.2-2.8
9 Ginasio25111444%77.881.4-3.6
10 Ginasio Olhanense24101442%78.079.1-1.1
11 Sampaense25101540%68.877.2-8.4
12 Benfica Lisboa B2581732%70.973.2-2.3
13 Santo Andre2581732%73.077.1-4.1
14 CB Queluz2681831%70.278.9-8.7
15 Sangalhos2652119%70.885.3-14.5
16 Academica2532212%63.878.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maia2315191673
Portimonense1610181963
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.