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Portimonense vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 79-75 (OT)
15-14 22-22 13-11 16-19 13-9
Position#6
Record14-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game74.8
Portimonense 🏆
Portugal
vs
CD Povoa
Portugal
Position#1
Record19-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game67.2
PortugalProligaRound 7· Pavilhão Desportivo da Boavista
Other2025-26
Meetings · Portimonense v CD Povoa
06 Mar 2027
PORT v CD P
upcoming
09 May 2026
PORT90
CD P93
07 Mar 2026
PORT79
CD P75
06 Apr 2024
PORT72
CD P74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portimonense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortimonense
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
L
76-80
76
80
-4
74avg 76
A19/12
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
92-86
92
86
+6
95avg 76
A21/12
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
86-54
86
54
+32
88avg 76
A03/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
64-71
64
71
-7
62avg 76
A10/01
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
78-72
78
72
+6
73avg 76
A24/01
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
82-72
82
72
+10
84avg 76
H31/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
72-69 OT
72
69
+3
66avg 76
H07/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
86-78 OT
86
78
+8
80avg 76
A15/02
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
78-74
78
74
+4
78avg 76
H21/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
66-73
66
73
-7
60avg 76
A28/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
22-16
23-17
15-23
29-20
17-24
20-24
26-18
17-16
19-20
27-8
23-10
15-14
12-23
17-19
20-15
17-12
13-15
19-20
29-25
24-14
20-11
14-22
24-25
21-14
12-19
19-22
10-7
15-19
21-20
23-24
14-10
19-29
21-13
19-6
19-26
21-23
15-20
14-11
16-19
150.9Avg total
78.0Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.674.8155.4+5.870%
Season at home (10)81.775.4157.1+6.370%
Season away (10)79.574.3153.8+5.270%
Last 10 (10)78.072.9150.9+5.170%
Last 5 (5)76.873.2150.0+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)73.075.0148.0-2.033%
vs Similar (12)79.079.9158.9-0.950%
vs Weaker (15)81.771.5153.1+10.280%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 74
A13/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
70avg 74
H20/12
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
89-66
89
66
+23
78avg 74
A03/01
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
82-72
82
72
+10
71avg 74
H10/01
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
71-69
71
69
+2
59avg 74
A25/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
89-59
89
59
+30
81avg 74
H01/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
75-68
75
68
+7
62avg 74
A07/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
85avg 74
H15/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
70-75
70
75
-5
49avg 74
A21/02
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
85-76
85
76
+9
72avg 74
H01/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
17-17
24-15
31-22
11-11
25-16
20-25
20-18
21-16
24-21
20-18
24-11
23-23
23-16
16-14
20-19
18-11
20-27
12-19
21-12
19-16
34-18
13-19
23-6
14-15
16-20
24-9
21-24
21-18
22-33
18-7
27-20
17-25
10-21
18-18
25-11
22-27
25-12
16-21
22-16
151.7Avg total
81.5Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.667.2152.8+18.495%
Season at home (10)87.165.7152.8+21.4100%
Season away (10)84.168.7152.8+15.490%
Last 10 (10)81.570.2151.7+11.390%
Last 5 (5)81.471.2152.6+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.082.6154.6-10.612%
vs Similar (2)82.578.5161.0+4.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)85.667.2152.8+18.495%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +7.5+7.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +7.5+7.5
PortimonenseCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A19/12
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A21/12
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A03/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A10/01
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A24/01
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H31/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H07/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A15/02
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H21/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A28/02
Proliga
73.2Avg total
36.6Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.835.673.4+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.635.273.8+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)37.235.973.1+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)36.636.673.2+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.836.474.2+1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)33.336.069.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (12)38.239.878.1-1.633%-
vs Weaker (15)38.432.170.5+6.373%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A13/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H20/12
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A03/01
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H10/01
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H01/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A07/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H15/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A21/02
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H01/03
Proliga
77.8Avg total
40.0Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.036.678.6+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.936.180.0+7.971%-
Last 30 away (16)40.337.177.4+3.256%-
Last 10 (10)40.037.877.8+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.081.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.540.978.4-3.438%-
vs Similar (2)47.045.092.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.334.177.4+9.275%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.8
52.0%
50.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.15.3
27.7%
30.3%15.9
🏀 Free throws26.418.1
68.6%
67.4%18.1
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.023.3
50.7%
50.0%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.6
32.1%
30.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.912.4
59.3%
67.4%12.4
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Portimonense
LWWWWWLWWL
CD Povoa
WLWWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#1
-2.2
Net rating
+13.4
81.8
Offensive rating
92.4
83.9
Defensive rating
79.0
48.8%
Effective FG%
49.8%
43.4%
Opp. effective FG%
44.2%
20.3%
Turnover %
15.9%
40.6%
Off. rebound %
35.9%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.30
27.7%
3-point %
32.1%
67.9%
Assist %
51.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence81.8 · 92.4Defence83.9 · 79.0Shooting48.8% · 49.8%3-point %27.7% · 32.1%Ball care20.3% · 15.9%Off. rebounds40.6% · 35.9%Free throws0.43 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Portimonense   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Portimonense wins
2
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
06/04/24Portimonense v CD Povoa72-74
25/11/23CD Povoa v Portimonense81-74 OT
Portimonenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26AIlliabum66-73
21/02/26HMaia78-74
15/02/26AImortal B86-78 OT
07/02/26HCAB Madeira72-69 OT
31/01/26HGinasio Olhanense82-72
24/01/26AGinasio78-72
10/01/26ABenfica Lisboa B64-71
03/01/26ACB Queluz86-54
21/12/25AGalomar92-86
19/12/25ACAB Madeira76-80
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HMaia85-76
21/02/26ACAB Madeira70-75
15/02/26HGinasio88-78
07/02/26AIlliabum75-68
01/02/26HImortal B89-59
25/01/26AGinasio Olhanense71-69
10/01/26HLusitania82-72
03/01/26AAcademica89-66
20/12/25HIlliabum76-70
13/12/25AGinasio90-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portimonense
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeLLWWW70%
AwayWLWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%70%70%
Points / game80.681.779.5
Allowed / game74.875.474.3
Point differential+5.8+6.3+5.2
Avg total155.4157.1153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %10%10%10%
CD Povoa
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW95%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %95%100%90%
Points / game85.687.184.1
Allowed / game67.265.768.7
Point differential+18.4+21.4+15.4
Avg total152.8152.8152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%80%70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa2019195%85.667.2+18.4
2 CAB Madeira1916384%84.172.6+11.5
3 Portimonense2014670%80.674.8+5.8
4 Illiabum2114767%78.070.8+7.1
5 Imortal B2013765%79.478.9+0.5
6 Lusitania2012860%80.875.8+5.1
7 Galomar2112957%83.979.8+4.1
8 Maia2011955%82.074.3+7.8
9 Ginasio20101050%76.578.4-1.9
10 Sampaense1991047%70.176.4-6.3
11 Ginasio Olhanense2091145%78.677.2+1.4
12 Benfica Lisboa B2071335%70.572.8-2.2
13 Santo Andre2171433%74.378.6-4.3
14 CB Queluz2031715%70.284.2-13.9
15 Sangalhos2031715%70.386.0-15.7
16 Academica191185%63.681.8-18.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Portimonense152213161379
CD Povoa14221119975
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