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Maroussi vs AEK Athens Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record1-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
3.9/10
Below normal
Position#10
Record2-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game79.6
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 23· Dimotiko Gimnastirio Amarousiou
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Maroussi v AEK Athens
27 Mar 2027
MAR v AAT
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
MAR82
AAT103
14 Dec 2024
MAR81
AAT83
16 Mar 2024
MAR82
AAT90
16 Apr 2011
MAR78
AAT69
29 Dec 2009
MAR61
AAT56
15 Apr 2009
MAR86
AAT81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maroussi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaroussiGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaroussi
Date
Competition
Mykonos
#7
L
94-103
94
103
-9
no box
H21/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
91-72
91
72
+19
86avg 75
A29/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
108-93
108
93
+15
100avg 75
H18/04
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
85-101
85
101
-16
72avg 75
A25/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#10
L
70-91
70
91
-21
64avg 75
A03/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#13
L
79-82
79
82
-3
71avg 75
H10/10
Basket League
Aris
#4
L
57-74
57
74
-17
49avg 75
A17/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
81-83
81
83
-2
68avg 75
A24/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#14
W
87-76
87
76
+11
90avg 75
H31/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
H08/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
23-25
16-31
26-26
21-26
27-21
21-12
22-13
25-23
29-17
29-27
25-26
20-28
26-26
24-26
15-21
12-18
22-28
16-18
20-27
22-21
20-15
21-28
16-18
13-15
15-22
15-23
14-14
23-23
22-24
14-13
22-23
25-9
22-12
23-23
17-32
20-24
21-17
24-22
16-20
169.1Avg total
83.3Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.881.5157.3-5.717%
Season at home (3)82.380.3162.7+2.033%
Season away (3)69.382.7152.0-13.30%
Last 10 (10)83.385.8169.1-2.530%
Last 5 (5)77.079.6156.6-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)80.693.2173.9-12.67%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.188.4175.5-1.236%
vs Weaker (2)83.079.0162.0+4.050%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
W
91-70
91
70
+21
88avg 73
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#15
W
95-93
95
93
+2
95avg 73
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
58-88
58
88
-30
47avg 73
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 73
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#12
L
76-103
76
103
-27
65avg 73
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#2
L
62-65
62
65
-3
59avg 73
A24/10
Basket League
Vikos
#12
L
84-95
84
95
-11
69avg 73
A31/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#33
W
72-66
72
66
+6
no box
A04/11
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
H08/11
Basket League
Lefkadas
#9
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
H14/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
28-22
18-16
27-20
24-24
25-20
17-27
29-22
10-23
11-19
14-22
23-24
22-17
25-21
18-21
19-20
25-25
25-23
12-28
14-27
15-20
14-5
15-22
18-18
16-20
27-26
17-25
24-24
18-17
20-10
16-21
18-18
19-14
21-23
15-21
19-25
13-27
24-18
22-15
14-17
158.8Avg total
76.9Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.179.6154.7-4.429%
Season at home (4)80.577.2157.8+3.250%
Season away (3)68.082.7150.7-14.70%
Last 10 (10)76.981.9158.8-5.040%
Last 5 (5)73.077.2150.2-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.786.3161.0-11.527%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.281.8163.9+0.454%
vs Weaker (6)89.581.8171.3+7.783%
This opponent (Maroussi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
MaroussiAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaroussiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mykonos
#7
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H21/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A29/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H18/04
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A25/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#10
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A03/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H10/10
Basket League
Aris
#4
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A17/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A24/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#14
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H31/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H08/11
Basket League
85.2Avg total
43.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.186.4-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.643.387.9+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)40.044.984.9-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)43.741.585.2+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.636.477.0+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.546.987.4-6.421%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.843.687.4+0.250%-
vs Weaker (2)44.528.573.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#13
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#12
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#2
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A24/10
Basket League
Vikos
#12
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A31/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#33
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A04/11
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H08/11
Basket League
Lefkadas
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H14/11
Basket League
78.6Avg total
40.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.182.3+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.941.984.9+1.053%-
Last 30 away (13)38.840.178.8-1.346%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.678.6+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.073.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.539.578.1-1.055%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.541.782.2-1.246%-
vs Weaker (6)47.242.890.0+4.350%-
This opponent (Maroussi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maroussitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maroussi: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.3
54.1%
50.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.0
29.6%
34.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.516.5
76.7%
71.8%16.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.0
53.0%
50.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.3
33.2%
34.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws22.216.1
72.5%
71.8%16.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maroussi
LWLLLLLWWL
AEK Athens
LLWLLLWLWW
#11
League position
#10
-5.1
Net rating
-9.2
92.3
Offensive rating
93.6
97.4
Defensive rating
102.8
50.1%
Effective FG%
51.9%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
16.7%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.6%
3-point %
33.2%
62.5%
Assist %
67.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.3 · 93.6Defence97.4 · 102.8Shooting50.1% · 51.9%3-point %29.6% · 33.2%Ball care16.7% · 14.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Maroussi   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Maroussi wins
8
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
03/10/26AEK Athens v Maroussi91-70
07/02/26AEK Athens v Maroussi83-74
15/11/25Maroussi v AEK Athens82-103
23/03/25AEK Athens v Maroussi104-83
14/12/24Maroussi v AEK Athens81-83
01/04/24AEK Athens v Maroussi88-85
16/03/24Maroussi v AEK Athens82-90
09/12/23AEK Athens v Maroussi91-89
16/04/11Maroussi v AEK Athens78-69
19/01/11AEK Athens v Maroussi78-82
Maroussilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HOlympiacos81-83
31/10/26HPromitheas87-76
24/10/26APeristeri81-83
17/10/26AAris57-74
10/10/26HMykonos79-82
03/10/26AAEK Athens70-91
25/04/26APAOK85-101
18/04/26HKolossos Rhodes108-93
29/03/26AIraklis91-72
21/03/26HMykonos94-103
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HLefkadas73-77
08/11/26HPanathinaikos74-83
04/11/26ASzombathely72-66
31/10/26AVikos84-95
24/10/26APAOK62-65
21/10/26HAntwerp Giants76-103
17/10/26HMykonos84-79
10/10/26AAris58-88
07/10/26HSalon Vilpas95-93
03/10/26HMaroussi91-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maroussi
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game75.882.369.3
Allowed / game81.580.382.7
Point differential-5.7+2.0-13.3
Avg total157.3162.7152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game75.180.568.0
Allowed / game79.677.282.7
Point differential-4.4+3.2-14.7
Avg total154.7157.8150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos660100%85.867.8+18.0
2 PAOK770100%79.670.4+9.1
3 Panathinaikos76186%87.474.3+13.1
4 Aris65183%84.571.5+13.0
5 AS Karditsas74357%73.771.9+1.9
6 Peristeri74357%81.084.6-3.6
7 Iraklis73443%80.176.4+3.7
8 Kolossos Rhodes73443%79.681.3-1.7
9 Lefkadas73443%78.380.4-2.1
10 AEK Athens72529%75.179.6-4.4
11 Maroussi61517%75.881.5-5.7
12 Vikos61517%74.787.3-12.7
13 Mykonos71614%72.684.4-11.9
14 Promitheas71614%73.388.3-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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