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AEK Athens vs Maroussi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 104-83
27-26 24-21 22-19 31-17
Position#3
Record13-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#11
Record5-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game84.9
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 22· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · AEK Athens v Maroussi
03 Oct 2026
AAT91
MAR70
07 Feb 2026
AAT83
MAR74
23 Mar 2025
AAT104
MAR83
01 Apr 2024
AAT88
MAR85
09 Dec 2023
AAT91
MAR89
19 Jan 2011
AAT78
MAR82
27 Mar 2010
AAT66
MAR73
03 Jan 2009
AAT75
MAR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maroussi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
86-85
86
85
+1
80avg 79
A01/02
Basket League
Tortona
#5
W
93-86
93
86
+7
92avg 79
H04/02
Champions League
Promitheas
#5
W
91-71
91
71
+20
93avg 79
H08/02
Basket League
PAOK
#12
L
65-84
65
84
-19
57avg 79
A13/02
Greek Cup
Panionios
#8
W
80-75
80
75
+5
83avg 79
A01/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
W
77-71
77
71
+6
72avg 79
A04/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
96-67
96
67
+29
94avg 79
H08/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
W
84-77
84
77
+7
86avg 79
H11/03
Champions League
Lavrio
#12
W
90-79
90
79
+11
90avg 79
A15/03
Basket League
Tortona
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
76avg 79
A19/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
24-14
20-28
24-21
27-20
15-24
23-19
28-23
17-23
25-12
24-17
25-19
18-23
14-18
19-20
14-23
28-16
23-13
14-20
15-26
32-22
18-19
14-14
13-16
23-16
23-17
28-15
22-19
19-34
20-14
20-17
25-12
26-21
24-14
15-9
25-35
21-27
16-18
24-23
21-15
162.2Avg total
84.4Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.180.9165.0+3.362%
Season at home (10)89.179.1168.2+10.080%
Season away (11)79.682.5162.1-2.845%
Last 10 (10)84.477.8162.2+6.680%
Last 5 (5)85.875.4161.2+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.295.5170.8-20.20%
vs Similar (4)86.882.2169.0+4.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.778.5164.2+7.271%
This opponent (Maroussi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaroussiGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaroussi
Date
Competition
Tofas
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
66avg 74
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#8
W
65-64
65
64
+1
54avg 74
H18/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
84-93
84
93
-9
81avg 74
A25/01
Basket League
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
68-80
68
80
-12
51avg 74
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Aris
#7
L
73-78
73
78
-5
66avg 74
H01/02
Basket League
FC Porto
#7
L
76-80
76
80
-4
73avg 74
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Lavrio
#12
L
92-94
92
94
-2
95avg 74
A09/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
95-102
95
102
-7
89avg 74
H02/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
67-80
67
80
-13
56avg 74
A08/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
88-104
88
104
-16
81avg 74
H17/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
26-23
10-14
17-20
14-21
21-12
14-18
16-13
24-19
21-20
24-24
15-30
15-23
25-18
15-22
13-17
23-18
9-15
25-15
16-30
15-15
17-19
23-21
21-25
24-27
22-20
21-20
25-27
32-20
20-34
21-15
22-33
24-21
20-21
11-27
12-11
19-24
21-31
26-21
22-28
163.4Avg total
78.2Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.284.9162.1-7.624%
Season at home (11)77.882.8160.6-5.018%
Season away (10)76.687.1163.7-10.530%
Last 10 (10)78.285.2163.4-7.010%
Last 5 (5)83.692.0175.6-8.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)81.598.5180.0-17.00%
vs Similar (19)77.481.5158.9-4.232%
vs Weaker (5)78.272.8151.0+5.460%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -5.5-5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -5.5-5.5
AEK AthensMaroussi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A01/02
Basket League
Tortona
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H04/02
Champions League
Promitheas
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H08/02
Basket League
PAOK
#12
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A13/02
Greek Cup
Panionios
#8
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A01/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A04/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H08/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H11/03
Champions League
Lavrio
#12
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A15/03
Basket League
Tortona
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A19/03
Champions League
81.8Avg total
43.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.982.9+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.139.083.1+5.157%-
Last 30 away (16)41.940.882.6+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.781.8+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.484.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.547.085.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (4)42.040.882.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.538.482.9+6.171%-
This opponent (Maroussi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaroussiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#4
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#8
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H18/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A25/01
Basket League
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Aris
#7
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H01/02
Basket League
FC Porto
#7
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Lavrio
#12
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A09/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H02/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A08/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H17/03
Basket League
83.4Avg total
41.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.141.179.3-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.041.680.6-2.636%-
Last 30 away (16)37.440.878.1-3.444%-
Last 10 (10)41.342.183.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.846.489.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)40.349.890.2-9.517%-
vs Similar (19)37.739.977.6-2.242%-
vs Weaker (5)37.035.472.4+1.660%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.5
54.6%
53.5%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.0
34.0%
34.8%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.117.6
73.0%
73.3%17.6
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maroussitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maroussi: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.4
51.2%
53.5%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.6
34.4%
34.8%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.513.6
73.5%
73.3%13.6
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWWWWWLWWW
Maroussi
LLLLLLLLWL
#3
League position
#11
+8.6
Net rating
-9.5
112.4
Offensive rating
102.3
103.8
Defensive rating
111.9
53.4%
Effective FG%
51.4%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.1%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
20.1%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.0%
3-point %
34.4%
69.2%
Assist %
65.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 102.3Defence103.8 · 111.9Shooting53.4% · 51.4%3-point %34.0% · 34.4%Ball care16.4% · 17.1%Off. rebounds30.2% · 20.1%Free throws0.39 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Maroussi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
AEK Athens wins
6
Maroussi wins
DateGameScore
14/12/24Maroussi v AEK Athens81-83
01/04/24AEK Athens v Maroussi88-85
16/03/24Maroussi v AEK Athens82-90
09/12/23AEK Athens v Maroussi91-89
16/04/11Maroussi v AEK Athens78-69
19/01/11AEK Athens v Maroussi78-82
27/03/10AEK Athens v Maroussi66-73
29/12/09Maroussi v AEK Athens61-56
15/04/09Maroussi v AEK Athens86-81
03/01/09AEK Athens v Maroussi75-84
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25ATortona82-83
15/03/25ALavrio90-79
11/03/25HWurzburg84-77
08/03/25HPeristeri96-67
04/03/25AWurzburg77-71
01/03/25APanionios80-75
13/02/25APAOK65-84
08/02/25HPromitheas91-71
04/02/25HTortona93-86
01/02/25AKolossos Rhodes86-85
Maroussilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/25HOlympiacos88-104
08/03/25AAS Karditsas67-80
02/03/25HPanathinaikos95-102
09/02/25ALavrio92-94
05/02/25AFC Porto76-80
01/02/25HAris73-78
29/01/25ABasket Zaragoza68-80
25/01/25APAOK84-93
18/01/25HPanionios65-64
15/01/25HTofas74-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLWWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%80%45%
Points / game84.189.179.6
Allowed / game80.979.182.5
Point differential+3.3+10.0-2.8
Avg total165.0168.2162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%70%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Maroussi
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeLWLLL18%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %24%18%30%
Points / game77.277.876.6
Allowed / game84.982.887.1
Point differential-7.6-5.0-10.5
Avg total162.1160.6163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)29% (7)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos21210100%93.776.4+17.2
2 Olympiacos2119290%89.074.0+15.1
3 AEK Athens2113862%84.180.9+3.3
4 AS Karditsas21111052%76.578.2-1.7
5 Promitheas21101148%81.183.1-2.0
6 PAOK21101148%78.882.2-3.4
7 Panionios2191243%77.778.3-0.6
8 Peristeri2181338%76.582.1-5.6
9 Aris2181338%77.084.0-7.0
10 Lavrio2171433%80.484.5-4.1
11 Kolossos Rhodes2151624%77.981.7-3.8
12 Maroussi2151624%77.284.9-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens27242231104
Maroussi2621191783
← all games of the day
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