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Maroussi vs Aris Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record1-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game71.5
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 16· Dimotiko Gimnastirio Amarousiou
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Maroussi v Aris
23 Jan 2027
MAR v ARI
upcoming
18 Oct 2025
MAR108
ARI103
26 Apr 2025
MAR91
ARI68
01 Feb 2025
MAR73
ARI78
03 Dec 2023
MAR84
ARI89
17 Mar 2012
MAR69
ARI90
04 May 2011
MAR51
ARI62
02 Apr 2011
MAR71
ARI82
23 Jan 2010
MAR75
ARI67
02 Oct 2009
MAR89
ARI60
30 May 2009
MAR72
ARI70
23 May 2009
MAR85
ARI78
07 Feb 2009
MAR66
ARI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maroussi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Aris win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaroussiGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaroussi
Date
Competition
Mykonos
#7
L
94-103
94
103
-9
84avg 75
H21/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
91-72
91
72
+19
86avg 75
A29/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
108-93
108
93
+15
100avg 75
H18/04
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
85-101
85
101
-16
72avg 75
A25/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#10
L
70-91
70
91
-21
64avg 75
A03/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
L
79-82
79
82
-3
71avg 75
H10/10
Basket League
Aris
#4
L
57-74
57
74
-17
49avg 75
A17/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#7
L
81-83
81
83
-2
68avg 75
A24/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#14
W
87-76
87
76
+11
90avg 75
H31/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
H08/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
23-25
16-31
26-26
21-26
27-21
21-12
22-13
25-23
29-17
29-27
25-26
20-28
26-26
24-26
15-21
12-18
22-28
16-18
20-27
22-21
20-15
21-28
16-18
13-15
15-22
15-23
14-14
23-23
22-24
14-13
22-23
25-9
22-12
23-23
17-32
20-24
21-17
24-22
16-20
169.1Avg total
83.3Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.881.5157.3-5.717%
Season at home (3)82.380.3162.7+2.033%
Season away (3)69.382.7152.0-13.30%
Last 10 (10)83.385.8169.1-2.530%
Last 5 (5)77.079.6156.6-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)80.693.2173.9-12.67%
vs Similar (14)87.188.4175.5-1.236%
vs Weaker (2)83.079.0162.0+4.050%
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#10
W
88-58
88
58
+30
84avg 83
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#17
W
88-68
88
68
+20
85avg 83
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
74-57
74
57
+17
65avg 83
H17/10
Basket League
Rostock
#28
W
110-79
110
79
+31
109avg 83
A20/10
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
W
88-72
88
72
+16
87avg 83
A24/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
78-73
78
73
+5
74avg 83
H28/10
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
101-91
101
91
+10
96avg 83
H01/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
A07/11
Basket League
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
105-81
105
81
+24
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-10
19-11
22-14
24-23
31-21
14-23
17-11
26-13
15-13
22-15
23-15
14-14
29-20
29-17
25-14
27-28
28-21
21-15
15-20
24-16
21-19
17-20
19-18
21-16
18-15
28-29
33-24
22-23
19-18
21-17
16-22
17-27
32-23
19-12
17-19
20-23
28-14
35-18
25-20
17-29
163.3Avg total
89.3Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.571.5156.0+13.083%
Season at home (3)87.768.7156.3+19.0100%
Season away (3)81.374.3155.7+7.067%
Last 10 (10)89.374.0163.3+15.390%
Last 5 (5)89.081.2170.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.594.8183.2-6.225%
vs Similar (9)84.683.7168.2+0.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.573.6162.1+14.894%
This opponent (Maroussi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
MaroussiAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaroussiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mykonos
#7
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H21/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A29/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H18/04
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A25/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#10
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A03/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H10/10
Basket League
Aris
#4
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A17/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A24/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#14
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H31/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H08/11
Basket League
85.2Avg total
43.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.186.4-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.643.387.9+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)40.044.984.9-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)43.741.585.2+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.636.477.0+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.546.987.4-6.421%-
vs Similar (14)43.843.687.4+0.250%-
vs Weaker (2)44.528.573.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#10
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#17
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Rostock
#28
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A20/10
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A24/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/10
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H01/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A04/11
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#9
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A07/11
Basket League
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
63-32
63
32
+31
H11/11
Eurocup
82.0Avg total
46.9Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.084.8+4.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.836.180.9+8.779%-
Last 30 away (16)44.843.488.2+1.438%-
Last 10 (10)46.935.182.0+11.890%-
Last 5 (5)47.637.084.6+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.844.085.8-2.225%-
vs Similar (9)43.443.787.1-0.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.237.183.4+9.165%-
This opponent (Maroussi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maroussitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maroussi: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.3
54.1%
50.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.0
29.6%
34.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.516.5
76.7%
71.8%16.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.7
51.1%
50.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.2
36.6%
34.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.719.5
78.9%
71.8%19.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maroussi
LWLLLLLWWL
Aris
WWLWWWWWWW
#11
League position
#4
-5.1
Net rating
+16.5
92.3
Offensive rating
96.8
97.4
Defensive rating
80.3
50.1%
Effective FG%
52.7%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
44.1%
16.7%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.38
29.6%
3-point %
36.6%
62.5%
Assist %
71.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence92.3 · 96.8Defence97.4 · 80.3Shooting50.1% · 52.7%3-point %29.6% · 36.6%Ball care16.7% · 15.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Maroussi   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Maroussi wins
6
Aris wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26Aris v Maroussi74-57
07/03/26Aris v Maroussi102-76
18/10/25Maroussi v Aris108-103 OT
17/05/25Aris v Maroussi114-109 OT
26/04/25Maroussi v Aris91-68
01/02/25Maroussi v Aris73-78
09/11/24Aris v Maroussi72-74
10/03/24Aris v Maroussi67-73
03/12/23Maroussi v Aris84-89
17/03/12Maroussi v Aris69-90
Maroussilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HOlympiacos81-83
31/10/26HPromitheas87-76
24/10/26APeristeri81-83
17/10/26AAris57-74
10/10/26HMykonos79-82
03/10/26AAEK Athens70-91
25/04/26APAOK85-101
18/04/26HKolossos Rhodes108-93
29/03/26AIraklis91-72
21/03/26HMykonos94-103
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HRigas Zelli105-81
07/11/26ALefkadas88-77
04/11/26AHapoel Jerusalem73-84
01/11/26HPanathinaikos101-91
28/10/26HCedevita Olimpija78-73
24/10/26AMykonos88-72
20/10/26ARostock110-79
17/10/26HMaroussi74-57
14/10/26HTortona88-68
10/10/26HAEK Athens88-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maroussi
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game75.882.369.3
Allowed / game81.580.382.7
Point differential-5.7+2.0-13.3
Avg total157.3162.7152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game84.587.781.3
Allowed / game71.568.774.3
Point differential+13.0+19.0+7.0
Avg total156.0156.3155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos660100%85.867.8+18.0
2 PAOK770100%79.670.4+9.1
3 Panathinaikos65183%89.074.5+14.5
4 Aris65183%84.571.5+13.0
5 AS Karditsas74357%73.771.9+1.9
6 Kolossos Rhodes63350%80.781.8-1.2
7 Peristeri63350%80.587.5-7.0
8 Iraklis73443%80.176.4+3.7
9 Lefkadas73443%78.380.4-2.1
10 AEK Athens72529%75.179.6-4.4
11 Maroussi61517%75.881.5-5.7
12 Mykonos61517%73.584.5-11.0
13 Vikos61517%74.787.3-12.7
14 Promitheas71614%73.388.3-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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