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Mazeikiai vs Alytaus Alytus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 94-60
27-12 30-14 18-10 19-24
Position#11
Record13-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game81.6
Mazeikiai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Alytaus Alytus
Lithuania
Position#17
Record5-22
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game85.3
LithuaniaNKL· Telsiu sporto arena
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mazeikiai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#10
W
75-60
75
60
+15
64avg 70
H11/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
104-88
104
88
+16
105avg 70
A13/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
79-59
79
59
+20
67avg 70
A18/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
79-74
79
74
+5
77avg 70
H20/12
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
94-95
94
95
-1
85avg 70
H03/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
66-73
66
73
-7
56avg 70
A08/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
67avg 70
H10/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
83-84
83
84
-1
no box
H15/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
A19/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
84-78
84
78
+6
78avg 70
A22/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
19-9
16-11
20-19
21-21
26-26
29-23
28-18
11-13
26-16
21-14
21-16
20-19
18-10
21-11
20-34
29-21
22-25
22-20
21-29
18-22
17-17
15-20
16-14
13-28
19-24
20-19
26-20
15-30
27-16
22-16
19-22
19-18
25-21
16-24
22-20
21-16
23-15
17-27
23-20
160.9Avg total
82.4Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.181.6164.7+1.548%
Season at home (13)84.082.0166.0+2.054%
Season away (14)82.381.3163.6+1.043%
Last 10 (10)82.478.5160.9+3.950%
Last 5 (5)78.681.8160.4-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.095.0173.0-17.00%
vs Similar (19)83.980.7164.6+3.347%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)81.381.0162.3+0.367%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
W
81-75
81
75
+6
86avg 68
A06/12
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 68
H11/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
69-92
69
92
-23
55avg 68
A13/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
71-76
71
76
-5
58avg 68
A16/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
82-95
82
95
-13
71avg 68
A18/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
80-85
80
85
-5
70avg 68
H03/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
60-88
60
88
-28
49avg 68
A08/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
A15/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
no box
H18/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
76-104
76
104
-28
61avg 68
H22/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
25-19
14-23
18-19
16-20
24-27
22-13
21-27
14-18
18-36
13-19
24-19
14-16
21-19
12-14
24-27
25-21
15-23
20-28
22-23
23-31
21-14
16-16
20-24
10-19
17-25
18-22
15-22
19-20
21-15
19-26
24-20
18-16
18-21
9-19
23-12
16-23
21-30
20-27
19-24
163.3Avg total
76.6Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.085.3163.3-7.219%
Season at home (15)79.382.9162.2-3.520%
Season away (12)76.488.2164.7-11.817%
Last 10 (10)76.686.7163.3-10.120%
Last 5 (5)76.088.4164.4-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)76.886.9163.7-10.113%
vs Similar (7)83.686.6170.1-3.029%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
MazeikiaiAlytaus Alytus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#10
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H11/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A13/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A18/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H20/12
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H03/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A08/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H10/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H15/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A19/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A22/01
NKL
79.7Avg total
40.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.881.5-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.540.582.0+1.050%-
Last 30 away (16)39.941.181.1-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.879.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.480.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.446.887.2-6.40%-
vs Similar (19)40.939.780.6+1.353%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.039.579.5+0.533%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A06/12
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H11/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A13/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A16/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A18/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H03/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A08/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A15/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H22/01
NKL
80.7Avg total
38.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.142.880.9-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.942.180.0-4.229%-
Last 30 away (13)38.543.782.2-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)38.042.780.7-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)36.842.879.6-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.542.480.0-4.930%-
vs Similar (7)40.144.084.1-3.929%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.6
53.8%
54.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.1
32.9%
32.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.014.8
77.9%
69.3%14.8
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.119.5
48.6%
54.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.7
30.6%
32.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws18.913.8
73.0%
69.3%13.8
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mazeikiai
WLLLLLWWWW
Alytaus Alytus
LLWLLLLLLW
#11
League position
#17
+0.8
Net rating
-16.8
102.6
Offensive rating
94.4
101.8
Defensive rating
111.2
51.9%
Effective FG%
47.7%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.5%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
20.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.9%
3-point %
30.6%
54.0%
Assist %
56.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 94.4Defence101.8 · 111.2Shooting51.9% · 47.7%3-point %32.9% · 30.6%Ball care16.3% · 16.5%Off. rebounds25.3% · 20.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Mazeikiai   ■ Alytaus Alytus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mazeikiai wins
0
Alytaus Alytus wins
DateGameScore
08/11/25Alytaus Alytus v Mazeikiai70-80
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26ARytas 284-78
19/01/26AVytis VDU82-83
15/01/26HKedainiu SC83-84
10/01/26HZalgiris Kaunas 278-91
08/01/26ANeptunas 266-73
03/01/26HKretinga94-95
20/12/25HUkmerges Stekas79-74
18/12/25AVilkaviskis79-59
13/12/25AOmega-Tauras104-88
11/12/25HTelsiai75-60
Alytaus Alytuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26HKedainiu SC76-104
18/01/26HOmega-Tauras81-84 OT
15/01/26ATelsiai83-81
08/01/26ABC Olimpas Palanga60-88
03/01/26HVytis VDU80-85
18/12/25ARytas 282-95
16/12/25AJurbarkas71-76
13/12/25ASuduva-Mantinga69-92
11/12/25HKretinga83-87
06/12/25ANeptunas 281-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mazeikiai
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW48%
HomeWWLLL54%
AwayWWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %48%54%43%
Points / game83.184.082.3
Allowed / game81.682.081.3
Point differential+1.5+2.0+1.0
Avg total164.7166.0163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%23%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)25% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL19%
HomeLLLLL20%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %19%20%17%
Points / game78.079.376.4
Allowed / game85.382.988.2
Point differential-7.2-3.5-11.8
Avg total163.3162.2164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%13%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won10% (10)0% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2824486%89.474.8+14.6
2 Vytis VDU2820871%87.883.2+4.6
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 22618869%86.084.7+1.3
4 Kedainiu SC27171063%89.085.6+3.3
5 Telsiai27161159%84.683.8+0.8
6 Jurbarkas26141254%77.377.0+0.3
7 Vilkaviskis28151354%83.079.2+3.9
8 Neptunas 227141352%78.277.2+1.0
9 Rytas 228141450%84.181.8+2.3
10 Kretinga28141450%85.686.0-0.4
11 Mazeikiai27131448%83.181.6+1.5
12 Silute28121643%86.289.9-3.7
13 Omega-Tauras27111641%85.989.5-3.6
14 BC Olimpas Palanga27111641%79.083.6-4.6
15 Ukmerges Stekas2671927%81.490.7-9.2
16 Plunges Olimpas2762122%80.386.2-6.0
17 Alytaus Alytus2752219%78.085.3-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mazeikiai2730181994
Alytaus Alytus1214102460
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