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Ukmerges Stekas vs Jurbarkas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-88
16-24 15-19 21-18 19-27
Position#16
Record8-19
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game90.4
Ukmerges Stekas
Lithuania
vs
Jurbarkas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#5
Record14-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game77.3
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Jurbarkas
03 Mar 2026
UKME79
JURB87
27 Jan 2026
UKME71
JURB88
18 Jan 2025
UKME84
JURB69
02 Dec 2023
UKME62
JURB54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
81avg 75
A13/12
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
74-79
74
79
-5
62avg 75
A20/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
103-111 OT
103
111
-8
91avg 75
A22/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
64-71
64
71
-7
51avg 75
H03/01
NKL
Silute
#12
L
83-99
83
99
-16
69avg 75
A08/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
84-81
84
81
+3
80avg 75
A11/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
79-113
79
113
-34
no box
A15/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
54-91
54
91
-37
no box
H17/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
83avg 75
H22/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
90-85
90
85
+5
89avg 75
A24/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
25-20
15-24
20-17
19-20
10-18
11-21
34-20
15-29
29-17
22-29
29-20
7-21
24-16
22-17
11-17
20-27
16-23
22-21
25-28
16-30
26-18
17-20
25-13
22-22
14-33
17-32
26-26
12-25
11-27
16-19
15-20
13-22
16-20
26-21
26-18
15-13
26-21
26-29
23-22
173.1Avg total
81.8Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.790.4172.2-8.730%
Season at home (12)80.287.8168.1-7.642%
Season away (15)82.992.5175.5-9.620%
Last 10 (10)81.891.3173.1-9.540%
Last 5 (5)80.292.2172.4-12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)81.790.3172.0-8.731%
vs Similar (4)84.291.5175.8-7.225%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
76-71
76
71
+5
74avg 71
H16/12
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 71
H18/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
60-81
60
81
-21
45avg 71
A20/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
84-70
84
70
+14
82avg 71
A04/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
80-58
80
58
+22
76avg 71
H08/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
54-72
54
72
-18
42avg 71
H10/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
A15/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
75-80
75
80
-5
no box
H17/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
92-86
92
86
+6
91avg 71
H22/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
82-84
82
84
-2
80avg 71
A24/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
19-21
14-12
27-24
29-10
13-21
20-23
18-22
24-16
8-20
18-20
10-25
23-18
28-15
19-15
14-22
16-17
18-12
23-16
23-13
17-23
15-15
13-15
9-19
17-26
15-23
27-12
22-22
21-14
24-20
12-21
18-25
20-25
27-20
22-27
23-14
23-22
22-17
20-23
17-22
152.5Avg total
76.4Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.577.3154.8+0.252%
Season at home (14)77.074.2151.2+2.857%
Season away (13)78.180.6158.7-2.546%
Last 10 (10)76.476.1152.5+0.350%
Last 5 (5)76.881.0157.8-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)64.078.5142.5-14.50%
vs Similar (18)74.977.4152.3-2.544%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)82.777.1159.8+5.670%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -6.9-6.9Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -6.9-6.9Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
Ukmerges StekasJurbarkas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A13/12
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A20/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A22/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H03/01
NKL
Silute
#12
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A08/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A11/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A15/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
23-52
23
52
-29
H17/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H22/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A24/01
NKL
79.5Avg total
35.5Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.545.484.9-5.927%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.544.585.0-3.938%-
Last 30 away (17)38.646.184.8-7.518%-
Last 10 (10)35.544.079.5-8.520%-
Last 5 (5)34.246.280.4-12.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)38.445.083.4-6.727%-
vs Similar (4)46.547.894.2-1.225%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#17
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H16/12
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H18/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A20/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A04/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H08/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H10/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A15/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H17/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H22/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A24/01
NKL
76.4Avg total
39.5Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.875.2+1.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.333.571.9+4.873%-
Last 30 away (15)38.540.178.5-1.653%-
Last 10 (10)39.536.976.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.081.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.534.065.5-2.50%-
vs Similar (18)36.637.173.6-0.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.136.980.0+6.270%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.623.7
52.0%
54.5%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.8
37.0%
32.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.710.6
59.9%
69.3%10.6
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.1
52.0%
54.5%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.4
34.4%
32.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.211.0
67.9%
69.3%11.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
WWLLWLLLLW
Jurbarkas
LWLLLWWLWW
#16
League position
#5
-4.0
Net rating
+4.0
100.3
Offensive rating
98.8
104.4
Defensive rating
94.8
53.2%
Effective FG%
51.8%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
15.2%
Turnover %
17.9%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.0%
3-point %
34.4%
51.4%
Assist %
66.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 98.8Defence104.4 · 94.8Shooting53.2% · 51.8%3-point %37.0% · 34.4%Ball care15.2% · 17.9%Off. rebounds26.8% · 30.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Jurbarkas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ukmerges Stekas wins
2
Jurbarkas wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Jurbarkas v Ukmerges Stekas80-77
18/01/25Ukmerges Stekas v Jurbarkas84-69
02/11/24Jurbarkas v Ukmerges Stekas77-65
02/12/23Ukmerges Stekas v Jurbarkas62-54
12/10/23Jurbarkas v Ukmerges Stekas70-73
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26AOmega-Tauras90-85
22/01/26HTelsiai94-91 OT
17/01/26HSuduva-Mantinga54-91
15/01/26AKretinga79-113
11/01/26APlunges Olimpas84-81
08/01/26ASilute83-99
03/01/26HZalgiris Kaunas 264-71
22/12/25ARytas 2103-111 OT
20/12/25AMazeikiai74-79
13/12/25ANeptunas 293-92 OT
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26ANeptunas 282-84
22/01/26HVytis VDU92-86
17/01/26HBC Olimpas Palanga75-80
15/01/26AZalgiris Kaunas 281-83
10/01/26HVilkaviskis54-72
08/01/26HRytas 280-58
04/01/26APlunges Olimpas84-70
20/12/25ASuduva-Mantinga60-81
18/12/25HKretinga80-76
16/12/25HAlytaus Alytus76-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW30%
HomeWLLLW42%
AwayLLWLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %30%42%20%
Points / game81.780.282.9
Allowed / game90.487.892.5
Point differential-8.7-7.6-9.6
Avg total172.2168.1175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %11%8%13%
Jurbarkas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL52%
HomeWWLLW57%
AwayWLWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %52%57%46%
Points / game77.577.078.1
Allowed / game77.374.280.6
Point differential+0.2+2.8-2.5
Avg total154.8151.2158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%21%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)60% (5)0% (4)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2925486%89.574.6+14.9
2 Vytis VDU2921872%87.883.0+4.8
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 22819968%86.084.8+1.2
4 Kedainiu SC27171063%89.085.6+3.3
5 Telsiai28161257%84.283.5+0.8
6 Neptunas 228151354%78.477.4+1.1
7 Rytas 230161453%83.481.1+2.3
8 Jurbarkas27141352%77.577.3+0.2
9 Vilkaviskis29151452%82.578.9+3.6
10 Mazeikiai28141450%83.580.9+2.6
11 Kretinga28141450%85.686.0-0.4
12 Silute28121643%86.289.9-3.7
13 Omega-Tauras28111739%85.989.5-3.6
14 BC Olimpas Palanga28111739%79.384.0-4.7
15 Ukmerges Stekas2781930%81.790.4-8.7
16 Plunges Olimpas2862221%79.886.5-6.6
17 Alytaus Alytus2852318%77.485.6-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas1615211971
Jurbarkas2419182788
← all games of the day
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