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Neptunas 2 vs Jurbarkas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 84-82
22-23 17-22 23-20 22-17
Position#4
Record14-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#5
Record14-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game77.0
LithuaniaNKL· Klaip
Other2025-26
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Jurbarkas
14 Nov 2026
NEPT82
JURB67
24 Jan 2026
NEPT84
JURB82
24 Oct 2024
NEPT73
JURB77
07 Oct 2023
NEPT82
JURB90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jurbarkas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
75-81
75
81
-6
68avg 70
H06/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
62-72
62
72
-10
46avg 70
A11/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
89avg 70
H13/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
74-71
74
71
+3
63avg 70
A03/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
73-66
73
66
+7
70avg 70
H08/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
87-65
87
65
+22
86avg 70
A10/01
NKL
Silute
#12
W
109-68
109
68
+41
no box
H15/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
90-65
90
65
+25
no box
A17/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
80-79
80
79
+1
72avg 70
H20/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
77-56
77
56
+21
71avg 70
A22/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
19-25
23-14
19-18
11-12
16-19
23-26
12-15
18-19
20-25
24-15
17-20
21-21
19-18
19-15
15-17
22-18
17-17
20-15
14-16
21-14
18-18
24-14
24-19
23-17
26-14
30-12
30-25
18-21
24-18
25-11
23-15
16-16
17-29
27-15
20-19
17-17
20-16
19-16
21-7
153.5Avg total
81.9Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.277.2155.4+1.052%
Season at home (13)79.077.9156.9+1.146%
Season away (14)77.576.5154.0+1.057%
Last 10 (10)81.971.6153.5+10.370%
Last 5 (5)88.666.6155.2+22.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.084.0157.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)73.778.8152.5-5.147%
vs Weaker (14)83.775.8159.5+7.957%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
104-74
104
74
+30
102avg 71
H13/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
76-71
76
71
+5
74avg 71
H16/12
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 71
H18/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
60-81
60
81
-21
45avg 71
A20/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
84-70
84
70
+14
82avg 71
A04/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
80-58
80
58
+22
76avg 71
H08/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
54-72
54
72
-18
42avg 71
H10/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
A15/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
75-80
75
80
-5
no box
H17/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
92-86
92
86
+6
91avg 71
H22/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
21-23
33-18
27-10
16-14
19-21
14-12
27-24
29-10
13-21
20-23
18-22
24-16
8-20
18-20
10-25
23-18
28-15
19-15
14-22
16-17
18-12
23-16
23-13
17-23
15-15
13-15
9-19
17-26
15-23
27-12
22-22
21-14
24-20
12-21
18-25
20-25
27-20
22-27
23-14
153.7Avg total
78.6Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.377.0154.4+0.354%
Season at home (14)77.074.2151.2+2.857%
Season away (12)77.880.3158.1-2.650%
Last 10 (10)78.675.1153.7+3.560%
Last 5 (5)76.475.8152.2+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)64.078.5142.5-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)74.677.1151.7-2.644%
vs Weaker (10)82.777.1159.8+5.670%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +8.1+8.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +8.1+8.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
Neptunas 2Jurbarkas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H06/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A11/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H13/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A03/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H08/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A10/01
NKL
Silute
#12
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H15/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A17/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H20/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A22/01
NKL
75.5Avg total
37.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.139.675.7-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.639.075.6-2.436%-
Last 30 away (16)35.640.275.8-4.625%-
Last 10 (10)37.737.875.5-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.076.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.048.086.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.839.474.2-4.627%-
vs Weaker (14)37.339.376.6-2.036%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H13/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H16/12
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H18/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A20/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A04/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H08/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H10/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A15/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H17/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H22/01
NKL
77.0Avg total
39.4Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.336.975.1+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.534.072.5+4.569%-
Last 30 away (14)38.040.178.1-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.677.0+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.077.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.534.065.5-2.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)36.337.273.5-0.861%-
vs Weaker (10)43.136.980.0+6.270%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.3
51.0%
54.5%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.9
28.9%
32.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.915.9
69.4%
69.3%15.9
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.3
54.4%
54.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.2
34.3%
32.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws14.49.7
67.4%
69.3%9.7
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
WWWWWWWLLL
Jurbarkas
WLLLWWLWWW
#4
League position
#5
+3.7
Net rating
+5.2
97.6
Offensive rating
100.7
93.9
Defensive rating
95.5
47.7%
Effective FG%
53.1%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
17.0%
Turnover %
18.0%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.22
28.9%
3-point %
34.3%
62.6%
Assist %
64.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 100.7Defence93.9 · 95.5Shooting47.7% · 53.1%3-point %28.9% · 34.3%Ball care17.0% · 18.0%Off. rebounds30.5% · 29.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Jurbarkas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Neptunas 2 wins
3
Jurbarkas wins
DateGameScore
08/11/25Jurbarkas v Neptunas 268-71 OT
20/12/24Jurbarkas v Neptunas 284-95
24/10/24Neptunas 2 v Jurbarkas73-77
25/11/23Jurbarkas v Neptunas 288-75
07/10/23Neptunas 2 v Jurbarkas82-90
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26ABC Olimpas Palanga77-56
20/01/26HZalgiris Kaunas 280-79
17/01/26APlunges Olimpas90-65
15/01/26HSilute109-68
10/01/26ATelsiai87-65
08/01/26HMazeikiai73-66
03/01/26ARytas 274-71
13/12/25HUkmerges Stekas92-93 OT
11/12/25AVilkaviskis62-72
06/12/25HAlytaus Alytus75-81
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26HVytis VDU92-86
17/01/26HBC Olimpas Palanga75-80
15/01/26AZalgiris Kaunas 281-83
10/01/26HVilkaviskis54-72
08/01/26HRytas 280-58
04/01/26APlunges Olimpas84-70
20/12/25ASuduva-Mantinga60-81
18/12/25HKretinga80-76
16/12/25HAlytaus Alytus76-71
13/12/25HSilute104-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW52%
HomeLLWWW46%
AwayLWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %52%46%57%
Points / game78.279.077.5
Allowed / game77.277.976.5
Point differential+1.0+1.1+1.0
Avg total155.4156.9154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%31%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Jurbarkas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW54%
HomeWWLLW57%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %54%57%50%
Points / game77.377.077.8
Allowed / game77.074.280.3
Point differential+0.3+2.8-2.6
Avg total154.4151.2158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%21%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)60% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %8%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2824486%89.474.8+14.6
2 Vytis VDU2820871%87.883.2+4.6
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 22618869%86.084.7+1.3
4 Kedainiu SC27171063%89.085.6+3.3
5 Telsiai27161159%84.683.8+0.8
6 Jurbarkas26141254%77.377.0+0.3
7 Vilkaviskis28151354%83.079.2+3.9
8 Neptunas 227141352%78.277.2+1.0
9 Rytas 228141450%84.181.8+2.3
10 Kretinga28141450%85.686.0-0.4
11 Mazeikiai27131448%83.181.6+1.5
12 Silute28121643%86.289.9-3.7
13 Omega-Tauras27111641%85.989.5-3.6
14 BC Olimpas Palanga27111641%79.083.6-4.6
15 Ukmerges Stekas2671927%81.490.7-9.2
16 Plunges Olimpas2762122%80.386.2-6.0
17 Alytaus Alytus2752219%78.085.3-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 22217232284
Jurbarkas2322201782
← all games of the day
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