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McNeese State vs Southern Miss Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 11 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Scheduled
Position#151
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game100.3
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#228
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · McNeese State v Southern Miss
10 Dec 2026
MCNE v SOUT
upcoming
13 Dec 2023
MCNE67
SOUT48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

McNeese State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Miss win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

McNeese StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H22/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H24/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A03/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
H11/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
W
76-59
76
59
+17
A11/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A19/03
NCAA
UAB
#221
W
99-78
99
78
+21
H02/11
NCAA
North Texas
#100
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A05/11
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#414
W
135-87
135
87
+48
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
24-23
46-31
34-22
41-46
39-29
27-34
40-31
35-34
31-23
27-35
42-25
34-34
35-38
33-40
44-35
55-43
32-34
35-43
63-44
72-43
152.4Avg total
81.5Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)100.380.7181.0+19.767%
Season at home (2)117.082.5199.5+34.5100%
Season away (1)67.077.0144.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)81.570.9152.4+10.680%
Last 5 (5)89.075.8164.8+13.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.0112.0183.0-41.00%
vs Similar (5)67.469.0136.4-1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)81.366.3147.6+15.092%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A28/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H05/03
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A06/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A07/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Tougaloo
#481
W
82-35
82
35
+47
H03/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#98
L
57-83
57
83
-26
A07/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#273
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
H12/11
NCAA
Texas State
#25
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-53
40-36
35-29
33-26
35-33
51-47
37-33
44-44
44-28
42-45
28-41
42-37
45-12
37-23
29-46
28-37
32-40
37-29
37-44
28-41
149.8Avg total
76.3Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.070.8142.8+1.250%
Season at home (2)83.057.5140.5+25.5100%
Season away (2)61.084.0145.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)76.373.5149.8+2.860%
Last 5 (5)71.672.2143.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.179.2150.3-8.130%
vs Similar (13)73.874.8148.7-1.054%
vs Weaker (6)73.267.2140.3+6.083%
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +1.7+1.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +1.7+1.7
McNeese StateSouthern Miss
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
McNeese StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
24-23
24
23
+1
H22/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H24/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A28/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A03/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H11/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A11/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A19/03
NCAA
UAB
#221
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H02/11
NCAA
North Texas
#100
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A05/11
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#414
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H10/11
NCAA
68.8Avg total
38.4Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.832.069.8+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.929.670.5+11.286%-
Last 30 away (16)35.234.169.2+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)38.430.468.8+8.080%-
Last 5 (5)43.235.278.4+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.060.089.0-31.00%-
vs Similar (5)32.433.265.6-0.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)39.330.669.9+8.879%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A28/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A06/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A07/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A08/03
NCAA
Tougaloo
#481
W
45-12
45
12
+33
H03/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#98
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A07/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#273
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H12/11
NCAA
Texas State
#25
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/11
NCAA
72.5Avg total
36.6Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.033.566.5-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.130.262.3+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)33.836.470.2-2.750%-
Last 10 (10)36.635.972.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.670.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.737.870.5-5.120%-
vs Similar (13)32.333.565.8-1.254%-
vs Weaker (6)32.830.062.8+2.883%-
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
McNeese State wins
1
Southern Miss wins
DateGameScore
14/12/23McNeese State v Southern Miss67-48
18/12/22Southern Miss v McNeese State86-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HCBS Ambassadors135-87
05/11/26ANorth Texas67-77
02/11/26HUAB99-78
19/03/26AVanderbilt68-78
11/03/26AStephen F. Austin76-59
11/03/26HUTRGV84-80 OT
03/03/26ANicholls State75-65
28/02/26ANew Orleans66-63
24/02/26HUTRGV75-68
22/02/26HTexas A&M-CC70-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ATexas State65-85
12/11/26HJackson State84-80 OT
07/11/26AIowa State57-83
03/11/26HTougaloo82-35
08/03/26ATroy70-78
07/03/26AAppalachian State86-73
06/03/26ATexas State81-77
05/03/26HJames Madison86-80
28/02/26ASouth Alabama68-55
25/02/26AArkansas State84-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

McNeese State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game100.3117.067.0
Allowed / game80.782.577.0
Point differential+19.7+34.5-10.0
Avg total181.0199.5144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southern Miss
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game72.083.061.0
Allowed / game70.857.584.0
Point differential+1.2+25.5-23.0
Avg total142.8140.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Christian440100%94.265.2+29.0
2 Stephen F. Austin43175%90.861.2+29.5
3 Lamar32167%109.067.3+41.7
4 McNeese State32167%100.380.7+19.7
5 New Orleans32167%81.782.3-0.7
6 Nicholls State42250%76.867.8+9.0
7 UTRGV42250%72.867.8+5.0
8 Texas A&M-CC42250%71.067.2+3.8
9 SE Louisiana31233%64.387.3-23.0
10 Northwestern St.51420%68.079.0-11.0
11 Incarnate Word4040%60.879.2-18.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State440100%89.862.8+27.0
2 Old Dominion550100%77.058.4+18.6
3 Appalachian State42250%69.060.2+8.8
4 Southern Miss42250%72.070.8+1.2
5 Arkansas State42250%80.279.5+0.8
6 Coastal Carolina42250%72.573.5-1.0
7 Georgia State52340%84.272.4+11.8
8 South Alabama52340%74.676.0-1.4
9 Louisiana Lafayette31233%59.060.3-1.3
10 James Madison31233%76.078.7-2.7
11 Marshall41325%78.276.0+2.2
12 Georgia Southern41325%77.882.8-5.0
13 Troy41325%66.078.0-12.0
14 Louisiana Monroe61517%75.087.7-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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