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Southern Miss vs James Madison Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 86-80
0-0 35-33 0-0 51-47
Position#174
Record16-15
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#169
Record18-14
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game73.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Southern Miss v James Madison
19 Dec 2026
SOUT v JAME
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
SOUT86
JAME80
31 Jan 2026
SOUT73
JAME65
06 Jan 2024
SOUT81
JAME71
21 Jan 2023
SOUT83
JAME70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
James Madison winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A24/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H30/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A05/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H07/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H13/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H15/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
25-39
0-0
42-46
0-0
27-29
0-0
36-41
0-0
29-21
0-0
44-44
0-0
38-34
0-0
39-47
0-0
34-30
0-0
32-35
0-0
36-42
0-0
42-42
0-0
26-26
0-0
43-39
0-0
40-47
0-0
46-34
0-0
44-53
0-0
40-36
0-0
35-29
0-0
33-26
147.1Avg total
73.1Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)73.973.5147.4+0.552%
Season at home (15)75.968.4144.3+7.580%
Season away (16)72.178.2150.3-6.125%
Last 10 (10)73.174.0147.1-0.950%
Last 5 (5)77.074.8151.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.977.6148.5-6.838%
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.174.9148.1-1.843%
vs Weaker (8)77.865.2143.0+12.588%
This opponent (James Madison) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
James MadisonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#174
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H05/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H07/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
H13/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H14/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A19/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
80-65
80
65
+15
A21/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H26/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H04/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
21-29
0-0
44-44
0-0
32-29
0-0
29-35
0-0
32-32
0-0
41-39
0-0
41-33
0-0
29-37
0-0
29-24
0-0
40-34
0-0
32-32
0-0
35-33
0-0
40-26
0-0
40-39
0-0
38-37
0-0
44-29
0-0
33-31
0-0
35-38
0-0
37-27
0-0
50-45
141.5Avg total
73.3Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)74.473.5147.8+0.956%
Season at home (17)75.268.7143.9+6.576%
Season away (15)73.578.9152.3-5.433%
Last 10 (10)73.368.2141.5+5.170%
Last 5 (5)76.867.4144.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.876.8147.7-6.050%
vs Similar ◀ (18)75.274.3149.5+0.950%
vs Weaker (6)76.768.7145.3+8.083%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
Southern MissJames Madison
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A24/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H30/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A05/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H07/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H13/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H15/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H21/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A28/02
NCAA
68.4Avg total
33.4Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.233.466.7-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.531.364.8+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)32.935.668.5-2.747%-
Last 10 (10)33.435.068.4-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.475.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.034.467.4-1.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)31.634.265.9-2.643%-
vs Weaker (8)36.231.167.4+5.188%-
This opponent (James Madison) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
James MadisonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#174
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H05/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H07/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H13/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H14/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A19/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A21/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H04/03
NCAA
63.5Avg total
33.5Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.634.368.9+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.131.867.9+4.375%-
Last 30 away (14)32.937.170.0-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)33.530.063.5+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)36.030.666.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.534.065.5-2.567%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)34.636.571.1-1.939%-
vs Weaker (6)38.027.865.8+10.2100%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Southern Miss wins
1
James Madison wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26ASouth Alabama68-55
25/02/26AArkansas State84-89
21/02/26HOld Dominion86-81
15/02/26HTroy69-65
13/02/26HSouth Alabama78-84
07/02/26HKent State66-65
05/02/26AMarshall77-81
31/01/26HJames Madison73-65
30/01/26HAppalachian State63-70
24/01/26ACoastal Carolina67-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HLouisiana Lafayette87-72
28/02/26HCoastal Carolina68-69
26/02/26HGeorgia Southern82-66
21/02/26AGeorgia State80-65
19/02/26ACoastal Carolina67-65
14/02/26HAppalachian State69-58
13/02/26HGeorgia State81-79 OT
07/02/26HToledo73-71
05/02/26HLouisiana Lafayette61-64
31/01/26ASouthern Miss65-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Miss
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW52%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %52%80%25%
Points / game73.975.972.1
Allowed / game73.568.478.2
Point differential+0.5+7.5-6.1
Avg total147.4144.3150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)100% (3)0% (5)
Overtime %6%7%6%
James Madison
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW56%
HomeWWWLW76%
AwayLWLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %56%76%33%
Points / game74.475.273.5
Allowed / game73.568.778.9
Point differential+0.9+6.5-5.4
Avg total147.8143.9152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%41%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)62% (8)50% (4)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy31201165%80.573.6+6.9
2 Arkansas State31201165%83.277.1+6.0
3 Appalachian State31191261%72.065.4+6.6
4 South Alabama31191261%73.969.4+4.5
5 Marshall31191261%81.277.9+3.3
6 Texas State31191261%73.870.6+3.2
7 Coastal Carolina31191261%73.471.8+1.5
8 James Madison32181456%74.473.5+0.9
9 Georgia Southern32171553%80.780.0+0.7
10 Southern Miss31161552%73.973.5+0.5
11 Old Dominion33122136%76.277.9-1.7
12 Louisiana Lafayette33112233%63.770.7-7.0
13 Georgia State32102231%70.474.7-4.3
14 Louisiana Monroe3242812%72.483.9-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Southern Miss03505186
James Madison03304780
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