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Mechelen vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 74-72
17-15 18-22 25-17 14-18
Position#5
Record17-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#9
Record15-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game69.9
EuropeBNXT League
Other2022-23
Meetings · Mechelen v Donar Groningen
11 Apr 2027
MECH v DGR
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
MECH93
DGR84
12 Apr 2025
MECH85
DGR62
19 Apr 2023
MECH74
DGR72
03 Jun 2022
MECH85
DGR89
30 Mar 2022
MECH86
DGR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#6
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A04/02
BNXT League
Liege
#13
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H11/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H18/02
BNXT League
Leiden
#4
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H04/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#3
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A17/03
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
W
101-62
101
62
+39
H25/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#4
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A29/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
96-90
96
90
+6
A02/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#3
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H08/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A14/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
16-18
20-20
17-13
24-16
19-23
22-24
19-22
22-16
19-22
21-14
20-19
17-19
18-19
24-23
21-18
19-15
21-19
18-23
16-14
32-12
22-13
21-14
26-23
16-13
18-22
19-17
24-23
20-20
27-16
25-26
24-28
19-16
18-13
17-15
16-9
21-20
25-17
12-24
23-23
155.5Avg total
81.3Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.377.6160.9+5.868%
Season at home (12)87.277.2164.5+10.075%
Season away (13)79.777.8157.5+1.862%
Last 10 (10)81.374.2155.5+7.170%
Last 5 (5)85.072.8157.8+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.180.1153.3-7.043%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.679.5164.1+5.175%
vs Weaker (10)88.277.8166.0+10.470%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feyenoord
#17
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H08/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#3
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H14/02
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A18/02
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A03/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H18/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A24/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H29/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H02/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
W
88-77
88
77
+11
A07/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
69-55
69
55
+14
H15/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-10
13-15
19-10
11-22
27-26
17-19
10-22
11-10
24-27
12-21
22-21
22-19
20-27
19-18
16-25
26-18
18-14
24-23
12-17
14-12
21-13
14-12
13-24
23-19
14-17
13-14
6-14
18-20
18-12
18-11
14-17
13-20
21-20
17-15
18-23
32-19
25-17
12-12
16-15
16-11
140.1Avg total
70.0Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.069.9144.9+5.060%
Season at home (13)71.864.6136.5+7.269%
Season away (12)78.375.7154.0+2.750%
Last 10 (10)70.070.1140.1-0.160%
Last 5 (5)68.465.0133.4+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)62.578.1140.6-15.518%
vs Similar ◀ (8)70.566.9137.4+3.662%
vs Weaker (10)80.865.9146.7+14.980%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
MechelenDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#6
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A04/02
BNXT League
Liege
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H11/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H18/02
BNXT League
Leiden
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H04/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#3
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A17/03
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
W
54-25
54
25
+29
H25/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#4
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A29/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A02/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#3
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H08/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A14/04
BNXT League
75.8Avg total
40.8Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.438.681.0+3.966%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.138.282.3+5.973%-
Last 30 away (14)40.638.979.5+1.657%-
Last 10 (10)40.835.075.8+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.632.476.0+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.140.478.6-2.343%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.240.182.2+2.158%-
vs Weaker (10)45.735.481.1+10.390%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feyenoord
#17
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H08/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H14/02
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A18/02
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A03/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H18/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A24/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H29/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H02/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#10
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A07/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H15/04
BNXT League
71.1Avg total
36.8Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.135.272.3+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.633.168.7+2.567%-
Last 30 away (15)38.637.375.9+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)36.834.371.1+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)34.628.663.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.840.674.5-6.827%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.231.868.0+4.575%-
vs Weaker (10)40.332.172.4+8.270%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.0
46.2%
54.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.5
31.1%
34.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws8.57.0
82.4%
72.3%7.0
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mechelen wins
2
Donar Groningen wins
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/23AZwolle81-84
08/04/23HDen Bosch70-53
02/04/23ALWD Basket96-90
29/03/23ALeiden77-75
25/03/23HZwolle101-62
17/03/23ADen Bosch74-71
04/03/23HLeiden80-79
18/02/23HSpirou Charleroi82-71
11/02/23HLiege84-85
04/02/23ALeuven Bears68-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/23HSpirou Charleroi69-55
07/04/23ALimburg88-77
02/04/23HOostende63-60
29/03/23HAntwerp Giants51-65
24/03/23ASpirou Charleroi71-68
18/03/23HLimburg68-66
03/03/23AAntwerp Giants81-88
18/02/23ALWD Basket80-88
14/02/23HDen Bosch65-77
08/02/23HFeyenoord64-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL68%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %68%75%62%
Points / game83.387.279.7
Allowed / game77.677.277.8
Point differential+5.8+10.0+1.8
Avg total160.9164.5157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeLWLWW69%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %60%69%50%
Points / game75.071.878.3
Allowed / game69.964.675.7
Point differential+5.0+7.2+2.7
Avg total144.9136.5154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2620677%86.473.6+12.8
2 Antwerp Giants2620677%78.569.7+8.8
3 Den Bosch2619773%82.667.8+14.8
4 Leiden2517868%76.867.1+9.7
5 Mechelen2517868%83.377.6+5.8
6 Donar Groningen25151060%75.069.9+5.0
7 Leuven Bears25151060%79.074.0+5.0
8 Okapi Aalst25141156%82.980.7+2.2
9 Spirou Charleroi25131252%79.176.7+2.4
10 Belfius Mons25131252%81.781.4+0.3
11 Zwolle26131350%77.678.9-1.3
12 Limburg25121348%81.679.6+2.0
13 QSTA Utd25121348%81.282.0-0.8
14 LWD Basket25111444%79.880.9-1.1
15 Liege25111444%78.883.0-4.2
16 Feyenoord2491538%74.975.8-0.9
17 Circus Brussels2581732%77.087.2-10.2
18 BAL Weert2561924%69.682.6-13.0
19 Den Helder2652119%72.388.0-15.7
20 Amsterdam252238%64.987.4-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen1718251474
Donar Groningen1522171872
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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